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Conway won't challenge Northup in '04: GOP surge in state factor in decision
The Courier-Journal ^ | November 18, 2003 | Al Cross

Posted on 11/18/2003 8:09:34 PM PST by Republican Wildcat

Edited on 05/07/2004 6:47:01 PM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]

Louisville lawyer Jack Conway said yesterday that he would not make a second bid for the 3rd Congressional District seat next year, leaving Jefferson Circuit Clerk Tony Miller as the likeliest Democratic challenger for Republican Rep. Anne Northup.

Conway lost to Northup by 3.2 percentage points last year in his first race for public office. He said yesterday that his chances in a rematch were not good and that he feared that a second loss in as many attempts would damage his political career.


(Excerpt) Read more at courier-journal.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Kentucky
KEYWORDS: 2004; conway; kentucky; northup

1 posted on 11/18/2003 8:09:36 PM PST by Republican Wildcat
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To: MeeknMing; aCDNinUSA; AFMobster; BlueOneGolf; anoldafvet; Apache48; aposiopetic; April19; ...
This is interesting. The Dems are fleeing from the fight -- in Kentucky.
2 posted on 11/18/2003 8:14:01 PM PST by Republican Wildcat (November 4, 2003. The day the 32-year Democrat lock on Kentucky came to an end.)
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To: Clintonfatigued; AuH2ORepublican; LdSentinal; JohnnyZ; Pubbie; Impy; William Creel; Theodore R.; ...
Anne Northup is getting a break next year.
3 posted on 11/18/2003 8:32:35 PM PST by Kuksool
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To: Republican Wildcat
I heard this last night on WHAS, You would've though the world was ending..."Women, Chil'ren and Minorities hurt the most. :/
4 posted on 11/18/2003 8:40:52 PM PST by skinkinthegrass (Just because you're paranoid,doesn't mean they aren't out to get you. :)
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To: Republican Wildcat
She has a tough seat to defend but she always seems to do it.
5 posted on 11/18/2003 8:41:19 PM PST by afuturegovernor
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To: Republican Wildcat
Do the Rats have much of a chance in Fletcher's old district?
6 posted on 11/18/2003 9:06:57 PM PST by Holden Magroin
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Comment #7 Removed by Moderator

To: Holden Magroin
I would say at this point it doesn't look like it. Senator Alice Forgy Kerr looks like the favorite to be the GOP nominee, and will be an excellent candidate.

Of course, this would spark yet another special election for her Senate seat when she wins, and possibly another if a current State House member runs for it and wins.
8 posted on 11/18/2003 10:53:56 PM PST by Republican Wildcat (November 4, 2003. The day the 32-year Democrat lock on Kentucky came to an end.)
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To: Republican Wildcat
Good news...Conway was the toughest competitor Ann ever had. This looks like a shoe-in seat for us next election.
9 posted on 11/19/2003 1:41:12 AM PST by Capitalism2003 (Principle matters. http://www.LP.org)
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To: Fred Mertz; Wally Cleaver; the irate magistrate; logos; pocat
Northup = RINO. This keeps a check mark in the Republican isle, but not much else.
10 posted on 11/19/2003 2:27:27 AM PST by SLB ("We must lay before Him what is in us, not what ought to be in us." C. S. Lewis)
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To: Republican Wildcat
Interesting.

He said he was discouraged by the Democrats' loss of the governorship in this month's election and the implications of that for the state Democratic Party. He also noted what he called a lack of a commitment by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee to again make the race a top priority.

"I felt the outside factors and outside infrastructure were not in place to optimize my chances of winning," Conway said. "I still want to serve the public and will be actively seeking opportunities to do so in the near future."

Well, maybe ole George Soros will bring his deep pockets to the scene like he is with the 2004 'RATS for Prez race ?? ...


11 posted on 11/19/2003 2:45:15 AM PST by MeekOneGOP (I won! I won! http://rmeek141.home.comcast.net/LotteryTicketRutRoh.JPG)
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Comment #12 Removed by Moderator

To: Republican Wildcat
I would say at this point it doesn't look like it. Senator Alice Forgy Kerr looks like the favorite to be the GOP nominee, and will be an excellent candidate.

Of course, this would spark yet another special election for her Senate seat when she wins, and possibly another if a current State House member runs for it and wins.

Any idea who might run for Senator Kerr's spot?

13 posted on 11/19/2003 5:30:35 AM PST by toddst
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To: William Creel
She sided with the ACLU in over 20% of the votes in 2000. She followed the NEA positions in 33% of the votes in 2000. The NRA and GOA have consistantly graded her in the lower 50% in voting on gun control issues. Brady Bill supporters gave her an approval rating of over 35% on two seperate occasions.

I understand she needs to take the moderate stand to get elected, but moderates still = RINO.
14 posted on 11/19/2003 5:58:26 AM PST by SLB ("We must lay before Him what is in us, not what ought to be in us." C. S. Lewis)
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To: William Creel
Add these numbers to her score: According to the National Journal - Composite Liberal Score's calculations, in 2002, Representative Northup voted more liberal on economic, defense and foreign policy issues than 27 percent of the Representatives.
15 posted on 11/19/2003 6:01:10 AM PST by SLB ("We must lay before Him what is in us, not what ought to be in us." C. S. Lewis)
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To: SLB
"According to the National Journal - Composite Liberal Score's calculations, in 2002, Representative Northup voted more liberal on economic, defense and foreign policy issues than 27 percent of the Representatives."


That means that she's in the 73rd percentile of the Republican House. How does that make her a RINO? Remember, with 435 Representatives, only 43 can be in the 90th precentile, and you can bet that very few if any of the 43 were from a district that gave Al Gore 51% of the vote while the rest of the state was giving Gore under 40%. Anne Northup is a courageous conservative who has managed to get elected and reelected in inhospitable turf against tough competition. Shame on you for disparaging her contributions to our nation, our party and the conservative movement.
16 posted on 11/19/2003 6:32:37 AM PST by AuH2ORepublican (Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice, moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue.)
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To: AuH2ORepublican
Maybe we have different standards we hold our elected officals to. I for one consider freedom of religion and pro-life issues to be number one followed closely by gun controls and other "conservative" but not necessarily republican issues. She did pretty decent on the pro-life side, but failed the gun control side. IMHO that equates to talking the talk, but not walking the walk.

Ain't life grand, we can agree to disagree.
17 posted on 11/19/2003 6:49:27 AM PST by SLB ("We must lay before Him what is in us, not what ought to be in us." C. S. Lewis)
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To: AuH2ORepublican
OBTW - would I vote for her? Considering the choices - YES!
18 posted on 11/19/2003 6:50:45 AM PST by SLB ("We must lay before Him what is in us, not what ought to be in us." C. S. Lewis)
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Comment #19 Removed by Moderator

Comment #20 Removed by Moderator

To: SLB
Northup = RINO. This keeps a check mark in the Republican isle, but not much else.

How is someone who is solidly pro-life, solidly pro-gun, solidly conservative, a RINO?

She'd make a great US Senator.

21 posted on 11/19/2003 7:03:08 AM PST by JohnnyZ (D-R-E-I-E-R . . . . . . H-U-M-P-H-R-E-Y-S)
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To: Republican Wildcat
given the fact I'm 34 years old and have my future ahead of me,

.... and where does he think most people's future is? ..... dumb a$$........

22 posted on 11/19/2003 7:07:50 AM PST by HoustonCurmudgeon (PEACE - Through Superior Firepower)
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To: JohnnyZ
We'd probably lose that seat without her though. Does Ritchie Farmer live in her district? I think he carried it.

She'll keep it as long as she wants, she's a strong campiagner and her seat isn't THAT rat-leaning.

Too bad that she's stinkin' RINO though with her puny Connie Morella-like 85% ACU rating. ;-p

23 posted on 11/19/2003 7:46:38 AM PST by Impy (Don't you fall into the trap, democrats are full of crap.)
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To: Impy
I think Rebecca Jackson(?), who lost is the guv primary, lives in that district. She'd be a strong candidate.
24 posted on 11/19/2003 7:54:33 AM PST by JohnnyZ (D-R-E-I-E-R . . . . . . H-U-M-P-H-R-E-Y-S)
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To: Impy
Ha. Richie lives about as far, politically speaking, from Northup's district as he can get. Richie is from a mountain county, while Northup represents the biggest urban area in the state - Louisville. Yes, her district is Rat-leaning, more so than any other in the state. When she took it, it had been a looong time since the GOP had held it.

25 posted on 11/19/2003 8:00:47 AM PST by Bluegrass Federalist
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To: FutureSenatorFromKentucky
Due to redistricting, the KY-03 is no longer an urban based district. It covers the suburbs of Jefferson County as well. Without these suburbs, Northup would lose.
26 posted on 11/19/2003 8:37:11 AM PST by Kuksool
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To: Republican Wildcat
"He also noted what he called a lack of a commitment by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee to again make the race a top priority."

Interesting... I suppose they are focusing on the presidential race. *..and they'll need a LOT of focus considering the candidates..*

Longtime (and conservative) Democrat Tom Kerr changed parties just prior to the election. He saw the writing on the wall..

27 posted on 11/19/2003 4:20:05 PM PST by Zipporah
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To: Republican Wildcat
Do you think Chandler will run for Congress? What would his chances be against Kerr?
28 posted on 11/19/2003 7:44:44 PM PST by Holden Magroin
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To: William Creel
I would not say "solidly pro-gun". She's not anti-gun, either, but not exactly a 2nd amendment champion. That's about the only problem I have with her. Otherwise she is quite conservative, and she represents a somewhat liberal district. She's as good a conservative as we could hope for to represent Louisville.
29 posted on 11/19/2003 8:55:03 PM PST by Republican Wildcat (November 4, 2003. The day the 32-year Democrat lock on Kentucky came to an end.)
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To: SLB
I think that's an excellent record for the district she represents. She's pro-life and votes to cut taxes. If you can get someone out of that district that can consistently win with those qualities, you've got a real prize.
30 posted on 11/19/2003 8:58:10 PM PST by Republican Wildcat (November 4, 2003. The day the 32-year Democrat lock on Kentucky came to an end.)
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To: Holden Magroin
I don't think he is going to run, but even if he did, his negatives are rather high in that district. He'd look like an also-ran at that point...besides, he lost the district by a wide margin. I think I'd still give Senator Kerr the advantage with that match-up.
31 posted on 11/19/2003 9:02:30 PM PST by Republican Wildcat (November 4, 2003. The day the 32-year Democrat lock on Kentucky came to an end.)
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To: Kuksool
What they did was shove the Third Congressional District to the northeast, and tossed the South and Southeast parts of Jefferson County out to the Second. It accomplished two things - made the GOP competitive in Louisville despite itself, and forced the Second District Congressman to be concerned about more than farm subsidies and tobacco support in order to pacify people from Southern suburbs as well as commuters from Bullitt and Spencer County.

They managed to make a silk purse from the sows ear when the state lost the 7th CD.

32 posted on 11/19/2003 9:08:03 PM PST by Chancellor Palpatine
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To: JohnnyZ
Yes, Rebecca Jackson is in that district. She was the Judge-Executive for Jefferson County from 1998-2002, and served 8 years as the county clerk before that. When she ran for re-election for county clerk she got 74% of the vote, a rather miraculous margin for a Republican to win in Jefferson County. I think she is about the same age as Northup.
33 posted on 11/19/2003 9:08:19 PM PST by Republican Wildcat (November 4, 2003. The day the 32-year Democrat lock on Kentucky came to an end.)
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To: toddst
I don't really know how the House districts overlap with the Senate districts, so I could't say for certain who would go for it, if a House member sought the seat.
34 posted on 11/19/2003 9:15:00 PM PST by Republican Wildcat (November 4, 2003. The day the 32-year Democrat lock on Kentucky came to an end.)
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