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First, it appears that the writer believes that Arabs are capable of terrorism at the GOP convention. I also agree that it is possible, but I would be called a racist. He actually seems to be hoping for an attack.

Second, I was at one point expecting a floor fight at the Dem convention but no more. With the implosion of Kerry and Clark, it is now a 2 man race between Gephardt and Dean. If Dean wins Iowa, Gephardt will drop out before the end of February.

The author gives each candidate a varying percentage of the dem delegates. The delegates are apportioned to each candidate who wins at least 15% of a state's vote. Sharpton might do that in S.C., but where is Lieberman or Edwards going to win 15% or more of the vote and earn 7 and 8 percent of the delegates. He has Clark and Kerrry with a combined 28% of all delegates. I see Kerry melting down when he loses New Hampshire, ditto for Clark.

It is at this point Dean's race to lose. The media and his opponents are starting to get nasty with him. I think his supporters will dig in their heels and fight for their guy with all their might. If S.C. goes to a caucus, instead of primary, Dean wins. Dean will come in 1st or 2nd in Iowa and 1st in New Hampshire. He's expected to do nothing in S.Carolina. so if he comes in third or better, there will be stopping him from becoming the sacrificial lamb in November.

Betty Jane, your last paragraph is the real biscuit.
.."it's Dean's to lose...." and that means bye bye Hillary, Bill , el al and the devil. That ain't
gonna happen . Thunder Butt is coming and her fire is
not like ever seen before. I,m deadly serious.

Look at it this way, the power, media, and purse strings
fall to Dean or Bill/Hill. Lastly, listen to what you
don't hear, the media. They want Dean but are too afraid
of Bill/Hill to wholehog say so or at all.