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We'll likely never see a GOP landslide of 1972 or 1984 proportions again. Immigration (the 1965 Immigration Act) has changed our demographics. California, the largest state, has flipped over to the Democrat side. States that were once competitive in presidential elections, such as Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania, are now probable Democrat states. Plus some once safe GOP states like Arizona, New Mexico, and Nevada, are now becoming competitive for the Democrats.

From 1968 to 1988, the Democrats were in horrible shape in the electoral college. They had lost the south and lost a lot of Catholic voters in the north. So except for the fluke 1976 election, when Jimmy Carter ran as a conservative and was unknown enough to win the south back for the Democrats, the GOP rode high in the electoral college. During that period, the Democrats literally had only a handful of states they could count on (New York, Minnesota, Hawaii, and some of New England), and they couldn't even count on them every time. They were competitive in a few northern industrial states. But a huge chunk of the country was pretty much a lock for the GOP.

Other than the 1976 fluke, every Democrat from 1968 through 1988 scored numbers in low-to-mid forties on election day. Even Clinton in 1992 scored only 43%, though that was enough to win thanks to Perot. But by that point, the results of the 1965 Immigration Act were coming to fruition. We'd been admitting a million third worlders per year since the early 70's, and the first waves of children born to those immigrants began to reach voting age as well.

The result has been a surge in Democrat support in presidential elections, which will continue on into the future. Clinton (1996) and Gore (2000) each scored numbers in the high forties, something no Democrat had done since 1964 except for the Carter election where he won the south.

Kerry will likely lose, but as recently as the 1980's he would have been creamed in a landslide and would have gotten about 41 to 43 percent of the popular vote, winning only a few states. But this year Kerry will probably get 47 or 48 percent of the vote and win most of the northeast, plus California, Hawaii, and a few other states (Washington, Illinois, maybe Michigan).

The days of GOP landslides are likely over, and at current immigration and birth rates, it's hard to see how the GOP will be able to win after about 2012.

In other words, just as the Democrats were starting to collapse at the presidential level, with the loss of the south and the loss of Catholic voters in the north, they planted a seed called the 1965 Immigration Act. That seed slowly blossomed, and it's now repalacing all those lost Democrat voters with new ones from foreign lands.