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Bush's Next Battle: How the president plans to take on John Kerry--and how the senator will respond
U.S. News ^ | 02/23/04 | Kenneth T. Walsh

Posted on 02/14/2004 3:37:45 PM PST by Pokey78

Day after day, the media and the Democrats were raising questions about whether George W. Bush had gone AWOL from the Texas Air National Guard three decades ago. White House Press Secretary Scott McClellan labeled the charges "gutter politics" and "trolling for trash." Bush tried to ignore them. Bush loyalists dismissed them as old news discounted long ago. Finally, the White House released a massive stack of documents outlining the record of Bush's military service but leaving basic questions still unanswered. Critics, hoping to find scandal, pressed for more. "The charges are false," sighed a frustrated senior Bush adviser. "But this shows that Democrats will go to any lengths and say anything to bring the president down."

Maybe so. But the furor over Bush's Guard service shows something else: The 2004 campaign has started with a vengeance, and everyone has been ordered to take no prisoners. It's also clear that in the weeks since Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry emerged as the likely Democratic presidential nominee, the normally sure-footed White House has been thrown off stride: Bush's job-approval rating has dropped, and a recent Washington Post/ABC survey had Kerry leading Bush, 52 to 43 percent. In another setback, barely half of those polled now believe Bush is "honest and trustworthy," a drop of 7 percentage points since October. The erosion of his credibility was generated mostly by questions about whether he led the nation into war under false pretenses, by arguing that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction. None have been found.

Kerry's lead may be only temporary, fueled by massive publicity surrounding his victories in the Democratic primaries and admiration for his heavily promoted background as a Vietnam war hero who later turned against the conflict as an act of conscience. But Bush's strategists aren't leaving anything to chance. They are about to launch a counterattack against the veteran senator from Massachusetts designed to raise public doubts about him and knock him off what they hope is a shaky pedestal.

It could be a long campaign. With nearly nine months to go until the election, both sides are already trading barbs, accusing each other of dirty politics and negativity--in the process, getting drawn into what they're denouncing. To wit: Kerry was forced to deny an unsubstantiated rumor about alleged infidelity on MSNBC's Don Imus show last week. And Republican National Committee Chairman Ed Gillespie, in a speech last week, not only slammed Kerry's political record but also alleged that the Democrats were planning to run a sleazy campaign that would include unsubstantiated claims about Bush's personal life. "It's only February, and they have made clear they intend to run the dirtiest campaign in modern presidential politics," Gillespie said.

Giving a preview of the Bush attack lines, he also blasted Kerry for supposedly being weak on national security, for favoring tax increases, and for reversing his position on many issues over the years, including the war in Iraq. Escalating the conflict, Republican Rep. Randy Cunningham of California charged that Kerry had offended veterans by appearing at antiwar protests three decades ago with actress Jane Fonda. A photo appeared on the Internet, and later in newspapers, showing Fonda at a peace rally with a sober-looking, longhaired Kerry a few rows back; Fonda has denied that she even knew Kerry back then.

To hammer their anti-Kerry points home, the Republicans plan to start a big advertising blitz in key television markets across the country in the next few weeks. The GOP is already road-testing an ad on the Bush campaign Web site, entitled "Unprincipled, Chapter 1" and blasting Kerry for alleged hypocrisy. The spot quotes Kerry condemning "the influence peddlers and the special interests" and goes on to cite a Washington Post report that he took more money from paid lobbyists than any other senator over the past 15 years.

The emerging GOP playbook against Kerry:

"The liberal." The Republicans will bill Kerry as an out-of-touch liberal who voted against a balanced budget and opposed increases in defense spending, who fought new weapons systems and attempted to cut funds for the CIA. Kerry's reply: He wanted to divert money to more worthwhile programs.

On domestic issues, Kerry will be targeted for voting against a ban on a procedure that critics call "partial-birth" abortion. And the GOP will shellac him for supporting a rollback of Bush's tax cuts and for backing higher spending on social programs. "These are old ideas that haven't worked," a Bush strategist argues in a refrain that conservatives have used against Democrats for many years. Bush backers say Kerry's programs, when added up, amount to a $1 trillion increase in the deficit over four years. "He's under Ted Kennedy's tutelage," says Ron Kaufman, a longtime Bush family friend and adviser, referring to Massachusetts's liberal senior senator. (Bush set the tone last week by casting opponents of making his tax cuts permanent as proponents of tax hikes.)

"The vacillator." Kerry has changed his position on a variety of issues over the years, and Bush will try to portray him as unpredictable and hypocritical. For instance, he voted for the Patriot Act, which imposes many security restrictions and softens privacy safeguards across American society, but now wants it repealed. He voted to authorize the war on Iraq but now says that the president was deceptive and that the war as Bush conducted it, pre-emptively and without enough international support, was a mistake. Kerry says his shifts were justified by changing circumstances or by new information, or were part of the inevitable compromises required by the legislative process.

"Out of the cultural mainstream." Kerry will be attacked for supporting gun control (although he is a hunter) and for backing abortions funded by taxpayers. Republicans will also attack his opposition to most forms of capital punishment. The Bush team hopes Kerry's hits on the president for favoring the rich and big corporations can be turned against him. "He's practicing class warfare," says a senior White House official. "He's pitting one group of Americans against another. It's been tried before. And I don't think this is what the American people want."

Kerry's response: The Bush campaign is focusing on a tiny slice of his record. He says his centrist credentials are clear--such as in his votes for welfare reform and the North American Free Trade Agreement.

Bush will also push for a constitutional amendment to ban gay marriage--now legal in Kerry's home state. He hopes to force Kerry to choose between angering his gay supporters and alienating culturally conservative voters. Kerry says he opposes gay marriage but supports civil unions that give gays the same legal rights as married heterosexuals.

"The special-interest senator." Kerry has indeed taken money from an array of lobbyists. "John Kerry has left himself open to a charge of hypocrisy because he says one thing and does another," argues Bush chief strategist Matthew Dowd. But Kerry responds that he doesn't take money from political action committees, which, he says, shows him to be a reformer.

Despite the detailed nature of this game plan, it's unclear whether it will change the dynamic anytime soon. "Bush's natural flaws are coming to the surface," says presidential historian Robert Dallek. "He believes the public wants a president who is steadfast, who's unbending about his principles. But the public really wants someone who's realistic, and Bush seems to have unrealistic goals--on the economy, on Iraq. The public actually prefers someone who shifts course if it's warranted." Adds Dallek: "It's not that Bush is a liar. It's that his judgment is not good. What you're dealing with here is a guy who rushes to judgment, who is driven by evangelical principles."

Many observers see a parallel between the emerging Bush-Kerry race and George Herbert Walker Bush's campaign against Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis in 1988. Bush the elder was also behind in the early going but defeated Dukakis with a withering attack strategy that billed the Democrat as a "tax and spend" liberal who was weak on defense and soft on crime.

Yet Dowd and other Bush strategists don't think the current race will be a rerun of '88. For one thing, they don't think Kerry will be as susceptible as Dukakis was to gaffes. They expect Kerry to hit back hard when attacked, which Dukakis was hesitant to do. And they give him points for staying on message and not panicking when the heat's on.

Since April 2003, Dowd has been predicting that Bush would lose his stratospheric lead and that the campaign would tighten. He was correct on both counts. Now he's making another forecast: The race will settle into a pattern with Kerry ahead or tied with Bush from week to week, culminating in a dead heat in the final days. That could mean another long wait while the votes are counted on election night.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004; alexgate; electionpresident; gwb2004; kerry; massachusettsliberal
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1 posted on 02/14/2004 3:37:46 PM PST by Pokey78
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To: Pokey78
How about one entitled "KERRY'S WIFE IS COMMIE LOVER?"

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1078280/posts?page=1

How about THAT headline?
2 posted on 02/14/2004 3:41:56 PM PST by Humidston (Two Words: TERM LIMITS)
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To: Pokey78
"Intern's Dads think he is a sleazebag" may be just effective.
3 posted on 02/14/2004 3:47:14 PM PST by EternalVigilance (An income tax is like a cowpie...Flatten it, and it's still a cowpie...)
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To: Pokey78
Fonda has denied that she even knew Kerry back then.

Understandable; but a look at his pecker should refresh her memory.

4 posted on 02/14/2004 3:47:29 PM PST by Agnes Heep
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To: Pokey78
Make that:

"Intern's Dads think he's a sleazebag" may be just AS effective.
5 posted on 02/14/2004 3:48:15 PM PST by EternalVigilance (An income tax is like a cowpie...Flatten it, and it's still a cowpie...)
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To: Pokey78
This is turning to be bloody campaign and this lad Kerry disserves it. After all he said bring it on. Let the rumble begin.
6 posted on 02/14/2004 3:48:24 PM PST by gdyniawitawa
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To: Pokey78
Isn't it ironic how a party which gave there draft dodger slick willie a pass for 8 yrs are now so concerned about a persons military record.
7 posted on 02/14/2004 3:48:32 PM PST by arly
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To: Pokey78
The race will settle into a pattern with Kerry ahead or tied with Bush from week to week, culminating in a dead heat in the final days. That could mean another long wait while the votes are counted on election night.

Complete bull! The public at large does not really know Kerry. The more they find out about him, the lower he'll go.

The best Kerry can do today, with Bush having a very bad month, and Kerry getting glowing coverage is tie Bush in some garbage poll. Just wait till the heavy guns start firing away at Kerry. BYE, BYE!

8 posted on 02/14/2004 3:48:54 PM PST by AmericaUnited
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To: Pokey78
According the RATs, the eeeeeeeeevil Republicans are always the candidate of "BIG polluters" "BIG oil", "BIG tobacco", etc., etc.

Therefore I suggest we refer to Kerry as the candidate of "BIG ketchup". Do the voters know how much the ketchup industry controls Kerry's warchest? ;-)
9 posted on 02/14/2004 3:50:22 PM PST by BillyBoy (George Ryan deserves a long term....without parole.)
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To: Pokey78
The only thing that Bush has to do is use Kerry's senatorial record as evidence of his inability to take a stand.
10 posted on 02/14/2004 3:50:37 PM PST by StatesEnemy
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Comment #11 Removed by Moderator

To: Pokey78
According to the Vietnamveteransagainstjohnkerry.com website Kerry got out of the Navy 6 months early as it was interfering with his turncoat (antiwar) activities.
12 posted on 02/14/2004 3:57:19 PM PST by wilmington2
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To: Pokey78
How anyone can take this democrat as a serious contender to lead the united states is beyond reason. The only justification is to keep the democrat party from dying out.

BTW the fraud will be in the air. FReepers need to be poll watchers.
13 posted on 02/14/2004 3:58:03 PM PST by longtermmemmory (Vote!)
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To: Pokey78
Does anyone in the media realize that this campaign will be the first chance Viet Nam Vets have had to get even with Kerry and Fonda.

2004 will be the year Viet Nam Vets get to protest against John Kerry and Jane Fonda

This time the VietNam Vets get to protest!!!


14 posted on 02/14/2004 4:00:25 PM PST by Common Tator
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To: Baynative
Kennedy and Kerry :Water, Whiskey, and Women
15 posted on 02/14/2004 4:01:40 PM PST by woofie ( If at first you don't succeed, destroy all evidence that you tried)
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To: wilmington2
If Kerrey wins the presidency, this once divine nation deserves all of the perdition that it gets!
16 posted on 02/14/2004 4:02:53 PM PST by appleharvey
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To: Baynative
Do you think Kerry would ever go so far as to pull an "Admiral Bourda"(sp) on us????????? ;^)
17 posted on 02/14/2004 4:03:09 PM PST by soozla (BUSH/CHENEY 2004**Send John "Effin'" Kerry back to Easter Island!!!!!)
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To: Common Tator
I say the United States should NOW give the VietNam vets their LONG OVERDUE WELCOME HOME....DON'T ELECT JOHN KERRY PRESIDENT!!
18 posted on 02/14/2004 4:04:38 PM PST by soozla (BUSH/CHENEY 2004**Send John "Effin'" Kerry back to Easter Island!!!!!)
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To: longtermmemmory
So they want to attack our President. Well, Bring it Yaaaawn! If they want to play the game of the politics of personal destruction with their allies in the media, well bring it Yaawn. The facts will come out and they will be the ones damaged and destroyed in the end. It is sad though that so many idealist sixty’s children have become such old, bitter, angry women in their later years. That is what happens when you become dinosaurs and realize that this is probably their last chance at turning this country into the Communist paradise they all dreamed in their 20s. The really sad part is they are left with trying to turn the heros over in Iraq into Viet Nam Vets!

PravdABDNC and the rest of the leftist shills are trying to paint President George Bush into a liar. They are selling the American people 24/7 that there is not or ever was WMD in Iraq. We were sitting on their doorstep for six months and can speculate that he razed his weapon’s program or he was bluffing the world. Either way, it was not for President Bush to decide which it was or he would have been AWOL of his duties to ignore it like they did. After 9/11 the make nice with the terrorist mode of the TerroRat Party was no longer an option and still isn’t.

Now we have the nattering neighbobs clamoring that he did phonies wrong thing and lied to the country??? The big lie is that they can pretend that they even care about this country let alone the military or the CIA. These people have destroyed the morale and efficiency of the CIA and military over the past 20 years and now it is W’s fault that there are problems? Nobody, even PravdABC or Saddamn knows if those weapons were or were not there. Course the lackeys in PravdABDNC can choose which side to believe and push, 4th estate; try 4th axis of evil!

All of this continues to undermine the honor of our military, which is their real end goal. The left was at it’s apex when we crawled out of Viet Nam. This was when Jane Fonda, Abby Hoffman, Jerry Rubin and John Kerry were able to spit on the flag and had a real chance of moving this country to the Communist paradise they believe in. They with their Viet Vets Against the War and assorted Soviet funded anti-war anti-America protests brought this country down and made us leave Viet Nam early. Never mind the 10-20 million SE Asians that were immediately slaughtered because we went AWOL on South Viet Nam which should have become a South Korea, but Jerry Rubin Kerry had bigger fish to fry....US!

Now Jerry Rubin Kerry wants to do to Iraq what he did to Viet Nam. Rather than celebrating and parading our soldiers freeing of 25 million people from a brutal Communist Dictator he needs our troops coming home in shame. The WMD is nothing more than a convenient way to club the military’s accomplishments without upsetting the American electorate. If the electorate realized that this was the usual blame America first crowd attacking America they would be hammered come election time. However, if they hide behind the fact that WMD was not located then they have free reign to say and do what they like, just like in Viet Nam and those phony Civil War charges.

This country has done something very special in world history. Out of nothing more than wanting peace in the world and ridding it of a terrorist country it has freed millions of oppressed people. This country has an opportunity with the talent and hard working folks of this baby boomer generation of making this world a safer and better place. Unfortunately, my generation has a large group of interlopers like Witch Clinton and Jerry Rubin Kerry who fail to realize that Communism is fundamentally flawed by power thirsty people and that they were wrong about Viet Nam. They hate the military and the CIA and will never change their minds. They will do anything they can to destroy this country and will attack her in any way they can. They are now turning an event that should be celebrated, and for their own political thirst are attempting to make our boys feel like those Viet Nam Vets. Heck, we may even end up with a scar memorial if Jerry Rubin Kerry has his way??

Unfortunately, when my generation dies that will finally be the dead end of Communism, because too many of us cannot admit we were wrong back then and are still wrong. My generation had a chance to be something special, but we have a cancer in it that will not go away. If you want to see the tumor just listen to Jerry Rubin Kerry. God Bless and God Bless America!

Pray for W and Our Troops

19 posted on 02/14/2004 4:06:18 PM PST by bray (Comrade Kerry's got some splainin to do!!!)
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To: Pokey78
"the Democrats were planning to run a sleazy campaign that would include unsubstantiated claims about Bush's personal life."

This suggests Kerry has something wrong with his personal life and his defense will be to charge others with what he is doing. It is projecting his own shortcoming on others. He is using the same tactics elsewhere by claiming he is mainstream and Bush is extreme, when it is the exact opposite. Ditto on AWOL when he was AWOL.
20 posted on 02/14/2004 4:06:23 PM PST by Number_Cruncher
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