Bond? He is very popular in Missouri.It would take massive vote fraud to beat him.
In 2002Jim Talent beat the widder Carnahan in a fairly close election.St.Louis couldn't deliever the vote for her.The voting places where watched too close that time.Matt Blunt being Sec of State instituded rules making it Very hard to vote more than once.
He's certainly favored to win, but so are Lincoln, Feingold, Murray, Boxer, Reid, and Bunning. Bond has a decent challenger in Nancy Farmer, and all his races are close.