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Specter edges Toomey in tight Senate battle
Philadelphia Inquirer ^ | 4/28/04 | Carrie Budoff, Thomas Fitzgerald and Patrick Kerkstra

Posted on 04/28/2004 4:43:55 AM PDT by randita

Posted on Wed, Apr. 28, 2004

Specter edges Toomey in tight Senate battle

By Carrie Budoff, Thomas Fitzgerald and Patrick Kerkstra

Inquirer Staff Writers

U.S. Sen. Arlen Specter narrowly won the Republican nomination yesterday, beating back a surprisingly strong showing by U.S. Rep. Patrick Toomey in a race that underscored the national party's struggle to accommodate both moderates and conservatives.

Specter, who is seeking a fifth term, survived his toughest Republican primay challenge by leaning heavily on President Bush and U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum to bolster his standing among conservative voters.

"Now is the time, now that we've settled our family disagreement in the Republican Party, to unite for victory in November for the president," Specter told cheering supporters in a two-minute speech shortly before 1 a.m.

Toomey conceded about 12:45 a.m., saying he was proud to talk during the campaign about limited government, personal freedom, and lower taxes.

"We had a lot of ideas about the principles and values of the Republican Party," he said. "These ideas are at the heart of the Republican Party."

Voter turnout in the state appeared light - despite the close attention the race received from political observers around the country who considered it a guide on the direction of the Republican Party. At issue was whether the GOP still had room for centrists such as Specter, or only consistent conservatives such as Toomey.

President Bush actively backed Specter, believing he would be the best one to deliver Pennsylvania in the presidential election and hold the GOP's slight edge in the Senate.

Toomey was boosted by millions of dollars from conservative donors unhappy with Specter's tendency to vote with Republicans one day, Democrats the next.

Specter will face U.S. Rep. Joseph Hoeffel, a Montgomery County Democrat who ran unopposed for his party nomination, in the fall general election.

At the Park Hyatt at the Bellevue in Center City last night, Specter aides paced the grand ballroom shortly after the polls closed, nervously mining their BlackBerry handheld computers for information.

Specter made an unexpected visit early in the evening, joking about breaking tradition by speaking to supporters with the race still undecided. "But as you can tell by my record generally, I don't know a lot about protocol," the independent-minded senator said from the ballroom stage. "It's gotten me into a lot of hot water."

About an hour north, in Fogelsville, Lehigh County, Toomey supporters gathered at a Holiday Inn. As they waited for the election results, Star Trek played on a giant-screen TV.

Specter voted in Philadelphia before hitting poll sites in the region and giving several last-minute radio interviews.

Toomey started his day in Lancaster County, a conservative stronghold where he needed to perform well. He later returned to Zionsville, Lehigh County, to vote.

Only a month ago, Specter looked unbeatable. He had millions in campaign cash. He enjoyed the active support of the Republican establishment, from the White House to most Pennsylvania county courthouses. He had spread federal dollars across the state for 24 years, giving him plenty of local allies.

Specter positioned himself as Pennsylvania's powerbroker in Washington, the senator who used his seniority to bring influence to the state. He repeated the theme relentlessly.

But he found his reelection increasingly threatened by Toomey, a three-term junior representative from Lehigh County who was barely known outside in his district, which includes parts of Montgomery County.

Specter found himself weakened even as he outspent and outraised Toomey. The race's $18 million price tag - $14 million for Specter, $4 million for Toomey - made it the most expensive congressional race so far this year.

Toomey, a former restaurant owner and banker, used hard-hitting campaign ads and a tight focus on several key conservative issues - lower taxes, less government, abortion opposition - to narrow the race.

Toomey picked up support from leading conservatives around the country, who pushed his cause on the Internet and in right-leaning journals. The result was a steady flow of money and manpower to help combat Specter's advantages. The Club for Growth, a Washington group, pumped more than $2 million into the race in donations and campaign commercials.

The assistance allowed Toomey to tap into conservative resentment over Specter's 24-year record. Toomey repeatedly called the senator a tax-and-spend liberal. He reminded voters about Specter's 1987 vote that sank conservative U.S. Supreme Court nominee Robert Bork. And Specter's support from labor unions and trial lawyers, and history of siding with Democrats on issues.

Polls in the last two weeks showed that Toomey's message may have been resonating as he closed the race to single digits. But there was some evidence that Toomey's surge was beginning to slow over the weekend. That was when the Specter campaign began flooding the TV airwaves with a Bush endorsement ad.

Throughout the campaign, Specter and other top Republicans warned that a Toomey win could cost the GOP the White House and control of the U.S. Senate. Analysts say Bush would be better positioned to win Pennsylvania - a key swing state - with Specter on his ticket.

A Specter ad went up Friday asking voters to honor Bush's request to re-elect the senator. On Monday, voters across the state heard a telephone message that replayed clips from Bush's appearance last week in Pittsburgh at a Specter rally and fund-raiser. The National Republican Senatorial Committee, which had already provided $300,000 for Specter's final media buy, paid for the calls.

The active support from Bush and Santorum may have saved Specter, 74, a former Philadelphia district attorney. Last week, Specter acknowledged the value of their help. "Whether I would win it without them, I don't know," Specter said. "But I am glad to have them on my side."

Donald Matzelle, 68, a Chester County Republican, responded to the party pleas. "I believe as a centrist he will be of more value in the general election for George Bush," said Matzelle, a Birmingham Township resident who voted for Specter.

Julianne Eisele, 50, was drawn to Toomey because he opposed abortion and Specter was too happy to spend government money.

"I feel Specter is a Democrat in Republican guise," Eisele said after she voted in Birmingham Township, Chester County. "I'm very disappointed with the man, and I'm very disappointed that Bush endorsed him and Santorum endorsed him."

But not enough voters like Eisele decided to try somebody new.

Toomey was stymied by Specter's power of incumbency, which secured the state Republican committee to turn out the vote for him yesterday. Toomey had to rely on a network of committed volunteers.

By last night, Specter had pulled off another hair-thin victory.

Contact staff writer Carrie Budoff at 610-313-8211 or cbudoff@phillynews.com. Staff writers Diane Mastrull, Walter Naedele, Lini Kadaba and Dick Cooper contributed to this story.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2004; conservative; pennsylvania; republican; rino; scotsman; specter; toomey; ussenate
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Toomey almost pulled it off. Hope Bush has a position of some kind available for him in his administration. He's a staunch and loyal conservative.
1 posted on 04/28/2004 4:43:56 AM PDT by randita
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To: randita
Oh, rats. I had to stop following the thread pretty early yesterday so I went to sleep still hoping. Well, at least Senator Scottish Law got a good scare. There's some pleasure in that.
2 posted on 04/28/2004 4:48:12 AM PDT by Bahbah
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To: randita; JenB; Owl_Eagle; Petronski
OK, great; so I'm starting off the day with language I have to repent of. )c8<

I'm disappointed in PA voters. Not a new experience, of course; I do live in CA, after all. They sometimes get it right, but oh boy, when they get it WRONG... Boxer... Feinstein... Clinton... Gore.... Ay yi yi.

Very, very disappointing. I went to bed with 50/50, Toomey gaining. VERY disappointing. Blast. And other words.

Dan
3 posted on 04/28/2004 4:52:15 AM PDT by BibChr ("...behold, they have rejected the word of the LORD, so what wisdom is in them?" [Jer. 8:9])
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To: randita
I'll add this.

"Yeah, yeah, yeah" to all the explanations about why Bush and Santorum "had to" do all that campaigning for Specter.

And now we're seeing that, had they AT LEAST just shut up and stayed out, we'd finally see payback for Specter's anti-Constitutional, mean, stupid follies. Bork, Clinton, abortion, tax cuts....

Grr, must not get started again. GRR.

Dan
4 posted on 04/28/2004 4:55:12 AM PDT by BibChr ("...behold, they have rejected the word of the LORD, so what wisdom is in them?" [Jer. 8:9])
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Comment #5 Removed by Moderator

To: randita
The spread was about 16000 votes in this victory for Specter. What I would like to see is the statistics for 'party switches' that allowed democrats to vote in the republican primary.

Union urges Democrats to switch parties AP | 3/24/04 | LARA JAKES JORDAN Posted on 03/24/2004 11:52:27 AM PST by kattracks WASHINGTON (AP) — An international labor union is urging its Democratic members in Pennsylvania to switch their voter registration to Republican to vote for Sen. Arlen Specter in his tough primary fight against conservative Rep. Pat Toomey. The registration push comes as national groups scramble to sign up voters for November's presidential race in Pennsylvania, a battleground state and the nation's fifth-largest electoral prize. Voters who don't switch back risk falling through the cracks during Democratic get-out-the-vote drives and other outreach efforts. Specter, a political moderate who generally supports labor issues, is the only sitting senator in the nation to face a primary. He "needs as much support in the April 27 primary as possible," wrote Robert A. Scardelletti, president of the Transportation Communications International Union in a March 15 letter to Pennsylvania members. "Enclosed is a voter registration card that you can use to register to vote in the Republican primary if you so choose," Scardelletti wrote in the letter, a copy of which was obtained by The Associated Press. "I realize that this is a somewhat unusual request, but I can assure you that it is vitally important. While labor unions generally support Democrats, Scardelletti's letter was accompanied by instructions from the Specter campaign on how to register to vote. Scardelletti did not immediately return a phone call seeking comment Wednesday. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by about 445,000 voters in Pennsylvania. The state's primary voter registration deadline is March 29.

6 posted on 04/28/2004 5:03:03 AM PDT by eeriegeno
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To: randita
Now Specter will run to the left for the general election. Way left. And stay there. Thank you very much President Bush and Senator Santorum for your endorsements of Specter. You will get what you deserve...
7 posted on 04/28/2004 5:13:28 AM PDT by 2banana (They want to die for Islam and we want to kill them)
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To: 2banana
The stupid party (Republican) faces a choice.
Let in moderates, or be irrelevant.
8 posted on 04/28/2004 5:22:16 AM PDT by greasepaint
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To: randita
OK, this will be devisive I think. I won't be able to vote for Specter in November. I won't vote for Hoeffel either, of course; I'll either not vote in that race or write Toomey in. At this point I'd rather have a rookie Democrat Senator than have Arlen in charge of the Judiciary Committee (assuming the Republicans can maintain control of the Senate). All you PA voters, how do you plan to vote in November?
9 posted on 04/28/2004 5:23:35 AM PDT by Doug Loss
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To: randita
The active support from Bush and Santorum may have saved Specter

Supporting a pro-abortion candidate. Specter is as a d**m DIM. That's what's wrong with the Republican party - elect anyone with the "R" beside the name, no matter what their platform.

10 posted on 04/28/2004 5:26:25 AM PDT by 4CJ (||) OUR sins put Him on that cross - HIS love for us kept Him there. (||)
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To: Doug Loss
If I think we hold the Senate anyway, I am probably going to vote for Hoeffel, unless it is announced beforehand that Specter will NOT be given the Judiciary chair (in which case I'll either vote for him or abstain).
11 posted on 04/28/2004 5:29:49 AM PDT by Dales
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To: randita
As this will now probably be Specter's final term, we can expect him to vote with the Dims most of the time as that is where his heart really is. He no longer needs to cover his base for the next election.

Welcome to Jim Jeffords II!

12 posted on 04/28/2004 5:34:36 AM PDT by Gritty ("Just because Republicans hate Specter doesn't mean Democrats like him"-Ann Coulter)
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To: Doug Loss
All you PA voters, how do you plan to vote in November?

I voted for Toomey in the primary, and I'm dissapointed that he didn't pull it out. But my thinking right now is that come November I'll be voting for Specter on the theory that "he owes GWB, Big Time." Of course, Specter has a way of reneging on such deals, and this is probably his last term, so what is the downside in going against GWB? Oooops! Think I just talked myself out of a Specter-vote.

13 posted on 04/28/2004 5:39:20 AM PDT by Tallguy (Cannot rate this Reserve Freepers fitness: Not observed on this thread.)
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To: Doug Loss
All you PA voters, how do you plan to vote in November?

I'll vote "Not Proven". Seriously, I can only hope the close margin will make Arlen more beholden to Santorum and Bush.

14 posted on 04/28/2004 5:41:43 AM PDT by Panzerfaust
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To: Dales
If I think we hold the Senate anyway, I am probably going to vote for Hoeffel, unless it is announced beforehand that Specter will NOT be given the Judiciary chair (in which case I'll either vote for him or abstain)

Well then you would be going against the candidate you voted for, Toomey.

...in his concession speech, Mr. Toomey said that differences between him and the Senator were not nearly as great as differences with Democrats...

LINK

15 posted on 04/28/2004 5:42:18 AM PDT by Dane
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To: Doug Loss
I may have mentioned this before, but at the risk of repeating myself, I will NEVER vote for Specter again. Like you, I will probably sit out that contest, hope Specter loses and that Kyl (?) gets the chairmanship of the Judiciary committee. Imagine what could have been if Toomey had had the backing of the GOP machine (such as it is). . .
16 posted on 04/28/2004 5:43:59 AM PDT by PA BOOKEND
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To: FrankWild
No, we can thank the thousands of conservative Republicans who were too damn lazy and preoccupied with God knows what to take a few minutes out of their meaningless lives to vote. For conservatives to blame Bush or Santorum for losing is to deny reality. Did they make the 60% of Republicans who didn't vote stay away? If their endorsement of Specter caused any conservative to change from Toomey to Specter then those people weren't conservative to begin with. I blame the schlubs who stayed home yesterday and turned their backs on Toomey.
17 posted on 04/28/2004 5:46:21 AM PDT by Russ
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To: randita
Specter edges Toomey in tight Senate battle

Cadavers push Specter over top in tight race!

18 posted on 04/28/2004 5:48:15 AM PDT by wingster
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To: wingster
Cadavers push Specter over top in tight race!

Are you saying that our guys (Republicans) cheat TOO? And here I thought that only the RATS did it!

Seriously, if it can be proven, we need to see those responsible get jail time, regardless of party.

19 posted on 04/28/2004 5:53:04 AM PDT by JimRed (Fight election fraud! Volunteer as a local poll watcher, challenger or district official.)
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To: BibChr
I'm disappointed in PA voters.

You should be disappointed in Bush, Cheney and Santorum. Get a grip.

20 posted on 04/28/2004 5:55:24 AM PDT by ContemptofCourt
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