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A Kerry Landslide?
Washington Monthly ^
| 4/6/04
| Todd
Posted on 05/05/2004 5:46:10 AM PDT by pabianice
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To: pabianice
Shall we look at history? Okay.
Since 1960, Candidates from the South or West have beaten those from the North.
since 1960, Northern Liberals have lost big.
Senators are seldom elected president.(only twice)
Kerry is a Northern (in fact NorthEastern) Liberal Senator running against a Southern sitting president.
Look a bit further--Kerry is a very wealthy elitist. Americans do not like to elect wealthy elitists.
So what do we have? A wealthy elitist northeastern Massachusetts liberal senator running against a moderately conservative southerner to whom most Americans can relate.
landslide for Kerry--yeah, right.
21
posted on
05/05/2004 6:14:20 AM PDT
by
fqued
To: VisualizeSmallerGovernment
Simple. You just redefine the "misery index".Another brilliant campaign item from the geniuses in KerryLand,that really worked well for him
Wishing does not make it so, Mr.Liberal columnist-man.
22
posted on
05/05/2004 6:15:11 AM PDT
by
Redcoat LI
("help to drive the left one into the insanity.")
To: pabianice
Interesting thesis. The only thing he says that worries me is that Bush's current numbers -- generally in the mid-forties -- represent a ceiling, because Bush is a known commodity. I think he's wrong. Bush's numbers are depressed right now because so many voters persist in thinking that the economy is bad, but those voters cannot keep their heads in the sand forever. Sooner or later economic reality will set in. Still, I can't help but think it's a bit of a bad sign that the president isn't managing a slightly better showing than 46% or 47% in the RCP average.
To: pabianice
Indeed, this year Bush is looking unexpectedly like Carter ATTENTION ALL LIBERAL JOURNALISTS:
Your life's work of getting Bush out of office is so transparent that you are actually creating the opposite of what you are trying to accomplish. You might need to try masturbation or something more sincere.
Comparing Bush to Carter?
Carter: Higher taxes. 20% Inflation. Embarrassed military.
Clinton: Higher Taxes. Massive massive corruption widespread in Government and Business. The Oval Oval office effect. Loathed the military.
Bush: lower taxes, stronger military. See yall in 05.
24
posted on
05/05/2004 6:18:25 AM PDT
by
alrea
(WEAPONS OF MASS CORRUPTION FOUND AT UN & at the NY Times...)
To: You Dirty Rats
Okay
The next Pope might convert to Islam
But that's where I draw the line
25
posted on
05/05/2004 6:20:27 AM PDT
by
1903A3
To: VisualizeSmallerGovernment
I knew Asinius Gallus.
Asinius Gallus was a friend of mine.
John Kerry's no Asinius Gallus.
To: pabianice
This guy is living in a fantasy world.
27
posted on
05/05/2004 6:23:59 AM PDT
by
Angelwood
(FReepers are Everywhere! We Support Our Troops! (Hillary's Vast Rt Wg Conspiracy))
To: Bubba_Leroy
But there's another possibility. Monkeys could fly out of my butt.
Forgot one other possibility.
The "presumptive candidate" won't be the candidate. Instead they wil nominate What's-her-face, Umm... you know, the woman that was married to Bubba... What was her name again?
To: You Dirty Rats
I resent that remark about the Red Sox.
To: pabianice
While I do not dismiss the possibility that a Bush Kerry race could be tight in popular vote, I don't think the electoral college vote will be that close.
Given Kerry's gaffs, weak poll numbers and even criticism in liberal media like the Village Voice, the Democratic Convention will not be particularly happy giving him the nomination. The Clinton's fueled by Hillary's presidential aspirations in 2008 will also be on hand to both see that Kerry gets the nomination and to do everything they can to see he loses the election.
To: pabianice
It's more than just in college with this guy.
He was toking at his word processor. He starts his days with a hit of acid. For lunch he washes down his hits of X with a tumbler of Stoli. At tea-time, he tries the teas of Mexico, Maui and the Pacific Northwest. Dinner is not complete without a nice mushroom salad.
31
posted on
05/05/2004 6:29:44 AM PDT
by
sharktrager
(The greatest strength of our Republic is that the people get the government they deserve.)
To: pabianice
Fat and stupid is no way to go through life son...
32
posted on
05/05/2004 6:33:41 AM PDT
by
Corin Stormhands
(John Kerry: "I am not going to stand for this, nor will I take this sitting down...")
To: pabianice
Like Carter, Bush is vulnerable to being attacked as someone not up to the job of managing impending global crises. This is about where I stopped reading...
33
posted on
05/05/2004 6:34:00 AM PDT
by
Nexus
To: VisualizeSmallerGovernment
Are you REALLY John Kerry????
LOL....perhaps he could use you as one of his new replacements in his campaign staff.
You got me confused enough.
George W. Bush talks straight from the heart. Kerry babbles so much he gives me a brain cramp.
To: KJacob
A 2' x 4' has more charisma than Kerry!
To: pabianice
If not for the Iranian hostage crisis Carter would have lost the nomination. Ford was never elected and G.H.W. Bush had to run against Perrot, Buchanan and Clinton. I agree the election won't be close but the landslide winner will be in favor of the death penalty.
36
posted on
05/05/2004 6:35:54 AM PDT
by
Phlap
(REDNECK@LIBARTS.EDU)
To: pabianice
If you look at key indicators beyond the neck-and-neck support for the two candidates in the polls--such as high turnout in the early Democratic primaries and the likelihood of a high turnout in November--it seems improbable that Bush will win big. More likely, it's going to be Kerry in a rout. There was high turnout in New Hampshire only. The rest of the Democrat primaries were low-turnout affairs. But the press kept repeating the "record turnout" nonsense, even though the numbers for each contest were way down. And this was before Jean Francois Kerry had it wrapped up.
37
posted on
05/05/2004 6:39:45 AM PDT
by
bondjamesbond
(Stay well - Stay safe - Stay armed - Yorktown)
To: pabianice; All
Blowin' smoke. Big talk from a spineless rumpswab. I got two words for this soothsayer.... Hillary Clinton.
This bitch will have Kerry assasinated on election night if the polls showed he was leading at dinnertime.
38
posted on
05/05/2004 6:40:19 AM PDT
by
johnny7
(“Virginians we will stay! Who will come with me?!” -Louis A. Armistead)
To: You Dirty Rats
"A Kerry landslide is not only possible, it's very likely! The South will rise up and vote for this very liberal patrician candidate from Massachusetts in droves come November!" I also think the Pope will convert to Islam and the Red Sox will win the World Serious.
Right after Yassar Arafat joins B'nai B'rith.
To: MJY1288
The fact is it was one of the worst turnouts North Carolina, due to redistricting court battles had to postpone the states primaries for both parties until July. Being too late for the presidential delegates to the convention to be choosen the state democrat party had a presidential caucus instead. The turn out...
1%!
40
posted on
05/05/2004 6:48:56 AM PDT
by
Phantom Lord
(Distributor of Pain, Your Loss Becomes My Gain)
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