A Kerry Landslide?

Washington Monthly ^ | 4/6/04 | Todd

[petercooper]

Well here's 7 yrs in college

[VRWC_minion]

I heard this speech before. I think it ends with the phrase "Did American's give up when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor".

[Phantom Lord]

Haven't heard a thing about Kerry's "Middle Class Misery Index" since the day it was released. Even the partisan press couldn't push it.

[Tigercap]

Let them believe that - they're obviously surrounded by typical hate-mongers out of touch with middle America. The more over-confident they are, the less likely they'll "Torcc" him.

[pabianice]

I am certain that one reason Bush is raising such a huge war chest ($400M?) is that he is creating two separate sets of campaign material: one against Kerry and one against Hillary. Bush is not going to be taken by surprise if a Dem convention knock-down drag-out nominates Hillary.

I still laugh every time I remember what one service buddy told me about Hillary's visit to Iraq. Without exception, every helicopter and jet she commandeered in Iraq for her 'royal visit' was unofficially referred to as "Broomstick One."

[Libertina]

Well, the mainstream news media will do their best toto to make this becomes true...

[KellyAdmirer]

In an early April Gallup poll, Kerry trailed Bush 46 percent to 48 percent among likely voters, but led 48 percent to 46 percent among registered voters. Kerry's support had dropped incrementally in a late April Gallup poll, but he continued to garner higher support among registered voters than likely voters.

This is a classic example of twisting negative facts for your candidate to make them look as favorable as possible. Why, he's not behind, he's doing, well, better! I believe the technical term for this is putting lipstick on a pig.

[blackdog]

Translation.......

Party fund raising has fallen off and we need to get that cash flowing again.

[ride the whirlwind]

I've bookmarked this article with a note to e-mail the author in November, After Dubya's landslide, just to rub it in.

I like the way you think. Comparing GWB to Carter now are they? Chucky Todd is so whacked-out on something here, but I'll bet they're lapping it up at DU.

If JfK is so popular, why am I hearing that few people come out to his campaign rallies? Contrast that with the 10,000 who came out to see the president in MI on Monday night and 10,000 in Ohio last night. Ha!

[VisualizeSmallerGovernment]

I knew Asinius Gallus. Asinius Gallus was a friend of mine. John Kerry's no Asinius Gallus.

Don't question Asinius Gallus' patriotism, buddy! Where were YOU at the Battle of Actium?

[VisualizeSmallerGovernment]

George W. Bush talks straight from the heart. Kerry babbles so much he gives me a brain cramp.

It's the nuance.

[dawn53]

I got to the "soft economic recovery" bit, and stopped reading.

[TC Rider]

What happens when you spend 8 years in college smoking dope.

I think Todd has moved on to the peyote buttons.

[texasflower]

Were you by any chance smoking dope when you wrote this?

[texasflower]

Oops, I guess you didn't write this! Sorry!

[arthurus]

Inflation will beincreasingly noticeable before the election because it is in the system. We have been inflating for a couple of years now. Up to now the extra dollars have all been washing out to Europe but they are coming back. It is not something that can be fixed quickly and the main reason for the Carter inflation (which was begun with Nixon) were the continuing attempts to bring it under control by short fixes and patches. When those fixes seemed to have no effect because it takes the whole 40 acres to turn this rig around- at least several quarters- more fixes were put in and ultimately made it all much worse.

The "devaluation" effected by W is the very stuff of inflation and we are beginning to feel it now. The price of oil will not come back down because the dollar is cheaper and it simply takes more of them to equal the same value that oil producers were receiving before.

Look at the prices in the supermarket. Most are climbing and the cheap storebrands are disappearing. The prices in the surplus bread stores are not so much less than in the Winn Dixie anymore and are higher than the grocery store prices were a few months ago. This is the beginning of it and all prices do not rise in the beginning. Computers are still cheap and cars have not gone up but they will.

If W's treasury and Fed take the necessary steps now to fix it, prices will keep going up right through the election before they stabilize and that will not gain W any advantage for November, so it will not be done. Fixing it after a W win will cause short term pain and appear to complicate the war effort so it will not be fixed.

Remember, W is a self avowed Keynesian, albeit a "conservative" Keynesian who will make the typical Keynesian errors (that are not errors to a "liberal" Keynesian because they keep the society off balance and easier to bring under government controls on everything.

If Kerry is elected he will replicate Carter in that his administration will pour fuel on the inflationary fire trying in futility to tinker and adjust the economy. It will cost him reelection but whatever the outcome in November we are in for 70s redux for a long time to come.

[arthurus]

There is one superficially valid comparison of Carter to W. Both will have presided over strongly inflationary economies. This, however is not exact because Bush has started the serious inflation this time around while Carter was merely enthusiastically building on the inflation that Nixon launched.

Keynesians will nearly always bring us inflation. Reagan was the only non Keynesian president we have had since Kennedy (who was a Keynesian in his schooling but but more practical in his application).JFK recognized some truth about taxes and brought us highly productive tax cuts. Reagan was hard core "supply side" oriented and brought us 15 years or so of prosperity and no inflation.

[arthurus]

Kerry is a very wealthy elitist

So were both Roosevelts and JFK.

[uncbob]

Maybe it is because I am 68 and very cynical about the dumbed down lemming boob American public but ANY THING IS POSSIBLE

Didn't a DORK like Gore get the popular vote last time around and if you add in NADER's vote the country went LEFT WING and if it wasn't for NADER Gore would be president

If it wasn't for the Iran Crisis Carter probably would have been re-elected

The American public by and large is the most ill-informed
pack of boobs who know more about football baseball etc than their reps in congress or presidential candidates and most of their knowledge comes from the left wing controlled TV

As far as economics they haven't the faintest clue about anythiong

[Redcoat LI]

The fact that according to Kerry's "Misery Index" the Carter Economy was Better than the Reagan economy made it worth ignoring.