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Al-Qaeda boosted by Iraq war, warns think-tank
channelnewsasia.com/ ^ | May 25, 04 | channelnewsasia.com/

Posted on 05/26/2004 12:43:21 AM PDT by churchillbuff

LONDON : The US-led war on Iraq, far from countering terrorism, has helped revitalise the Al-Qaeda terror network, the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) think-tank warned.

The London-based body said in its annual Strategic Survey 2003/2004 that the deadly train bombings in Madrid in March, the worst terror strike in Europe for more than a decade, showed that Osama Bin Laden's terror network "had fully reconstituted".

It also predicted the Islamic group would step up its anti-Western attacks, possibly even resorting to weapons of mass destruction and targeting Americans, Europeans and Israelis while continuing to support insurgents opposing the US-led occupation of Iraq.

The IISS pointed to devastating blasts in Morocco, Saudi Arabia and Turkey in 2003 and 2004 as further evidence that anti-US sentiment had soared since the Iraq war.

"In counter-terrorism terms, the intervention has arguably focused the energies and resources of al-Qaeda and its followers while diluting those of the global counter-terrorism coalition that appeared so formidable following the Afghanistan intervention in late 2001," the report said.

However, since the war it said that arms proliferation and state-sponsored terrorism has dwindled, with Libya giving up its unconventional weapons programs and Syria becoming "less provocative."

Stalinist North Korea's secret nuclear programme was somehow contained thanks to a negotiating process while Iran agreed to cooperate with the International Atomic Energy Agency over its nuclear activities, the IISS said.

But another legacy of the war was what the IISS termed a highly questionable recourse to pre-emptive strikes as a means of counter-proliferation, as well as "the uses and abuses of intelligence as a basis for military action."

The IISS said the United States, which has dominated world affairs since the end of the Cold War, had failed to understand that Al-Qaeda's September 11, 2001 attacks were "a violent reaction to America's pre-eminence" and it urged the superpower to temper "the appearance of American unilateralism".

It warned that Washington would have a hard time restoring order in embattled Iraq and stressed that the conflict had brought a political split between the United States and its continental European allies, leaving Britain stuck in the middle.

The survey additionally forecast a possible attention shift away from terrorism, Middle Eastern problems and weapons proliferation should North Korea opt for a more aggressive stance, a humanitarian disaster hit Africa or undesirable regime-changes "produce abrupt and serious security challenges".

The United States will not manage to tackle all of the above single-handedly, warned the think-tank, raising a question mark over Europe's ability to break away from "strategic arthritis."


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News
KEYWORDS: alqaeda; antinukes; fraud; generalmcclellanbuff; iraq; mymomismurrymom; peaceactivists; peaceniks; terrorism; threats
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1 posted on 05/26/2004 12:43:22 AM PDT by churchillbuff
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To: churchillbuff

Osama who? Guess we forgot about him. He didn't forget about us, though.


2 posted on 05/26/2004 12:44:13 AM PDT by churchillbuff
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To: churchillbuff
The IISS pointed to devastating blasts in Morocco, Saudi Arabia and Turkey in 2003 and 2004 as further evidence that anti-US sentiment had soared since the Iraq war.

Yep. The Iraq adventure has made us a lot safer. And where IS Osama, by the way?

3 posted on 05/26/2004 12:45:32 AM PDT by churchillbuff
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To: churchillbuff
Japanese recruits boosted by Dolittles attack on Japan...
4 posted on 05/26/2004 12:47:26 AM PDT by DB ()
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To: churchillbuff
channelnewsasia.com/

Couldn't find anything on Pravda?

5 posted on 05/26/2004 12:47:50 AM PDT by Howlin
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To: churchillbuff

Where is Osama?

Dead.


6 posted on 05/26/2004 12:48:11 AM PDT by DB ()
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To: churchillbuff
The US-led war on Iraq, far from countering terrorism, has helped revitalise the Al-Qaeda terror network . . .

Yeah, and I'm sure they're all highly trained, too. </sarcasm>

Bring 'em on.

7 posted on 05/26/2004 12:50:28 AM PDT by LibWhacker
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To: churchillbuff

Hey GeneralMcClellanBuff, perhaps you are unaware that this 'think tank' also was a big anti-nuke, anti-war supporter during the 80's. Since you 'claim' to be a big Reagan supporter, why would you post as gospel truth a spun study from a group that actively tried to undermine Reagan's Cold War efforts?

And as to your snotty little remarks implying that Bush isn't pursuing AQ, that's either complete ignorance or blatent dishonesty. You tell me, are you an idiot or a liar? How nice of you to spit on our forces in Afghanistan(and in and out of autonomous Pakistan and other places that you have no clue about.)

All your posts seem to be anti-Bush, and often contradictary. I urge each reader to check your posting history for themselves. Your main purpose seems to be dividing conservatives and defeating the Bush administration. Once again showing your chosen freepname to be the most ironic one on FR.


8 posted on 05/26/2004 12:52:46 AM PDT by Diddle E. Squat
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To: Diddle E. Squat

Thankyou.


9 posted on 05/26/2004 12:54:03 AM PDT by dasboot
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To: LibWhacker
From the CNN article today:

The estimate of 18,000 fighters was based on intelligence estimates that al Qaeda trained at least 20,000 fighters in its training camps in Afghanistan before the United States and its allies ousted the Taliban regime. In the ensuing war on terror, some 2,000 al Qaeda fighters have been killed or captured, the survey said.

We're killing them off and they call it "revitalizing."

BTW, notice the date which they chose to use as a benchmark; October of 2001; I do believe that that would have meant that these horrible people trained on Bill Clinton's watch.

10 posted on 05/26/2004 12:55:11 AM PDT by Howlin
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To: Diddle E. Squat

I have yet to understand how they seem to be "increasing" when their own numbers say we've knocked off 2000 of them!


11 posted on 05/26/2004 12:57:09 AM PDT by Howlin
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To: LibWhacker
Yeah, and I'm sure they're all highly trained, too.

If they don't pose a threat, why is Ashcroft having a news conference today to warn about big-time terrorism this summer?

12 posted on 05/26/2004 12:58:03 AM PDT by churchillbuff
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To: churchillbuff

The United States had no ongoing hostilities with any middle-eastern nation on 09/11. Evidently this 'think tank' (my a$$), thinks enduring those is a lot safer than taking it to the insects on their own soil. There's a lot of that going around these days. Cowards and fifth-columnists are a dime a dozen. To hell with each and every one of them. This is more of a stink tank than a think tank.


13 posted on 05/26/2004 12:58:06 AM PDT by DoughtyOne
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To: DoughtyOne
this 'think tank' (my a$$)

Is that a brand name?

14 posted on 05/26/2004 12:58:55 AM PDT by Howlin
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To: churchillbuff
When you want to check a patient's pulse rate you have to palpate the pulse for several seconds, the longer the time you count the more accurate your results. If you grab a patient's wrist and only feel for a pulse for less than a second there's a better than even chance you'll come away with the conclusion that the patient has no pulse and is therefore dead. I view the Irag war in much the same way. Then events of any single hour or day or even a week can be misleading. It's pretty trendy right now for the left to use the line that our incursion into Iraq has really worked against our longer term security from terrorists. That might be true, but we won't know for some time to come. I don't think we can know right now how effective our moves against worldwide terrorism have really been. But I think our attacking them on a variety of fronts, not the least of which has been to mess with their funding and denying them at access to at least two countries that were willing to support them has got to be making their job more difficult! At this stage of the game that may be the best we can hope for. I think it's a lot like setting out to destroy a hornet's nest. Based on the first few seconds of the encounter it would certainly appear to have made matters worse, but come back in a short while, after the poison has had a chance to work its magic, and the scene will be entirely different. What had looked early on like a serious miscalculation will turn out to be a success. Much of what we hear from our enemies, both foreign and domestic, is just their attempts to convince themselves that they are right and we are wrong. We'll know a lot more about the wisdom of the administration's plan to combat terrorism than we do now, while the hornets haven't started to feel the effects of the spray we've hit them with. Come back in a year and let's see where things are!
15 posted on 05/26/2004 12:59:10 AM PDT by jwpjr
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To: Howlin
I have yet to understand how they seem to be "increasing" when their own numbers say we've knocked off 2000 of them!

Argue with Ashcroft. He's holding a press conference today, warning about terrorism this summer. Maybe this Strategic Studies report is on to something after all.

16 posted on 05/26/2004 12:59:35 AM PDT by churchillbuff
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To: Howlin

Do you really think we only took out 2,000 Taliban and Al Qaeda over the last year and change? Heh heh heh, someone's low-balling these figures. Don't believe this count for a moment.


17 posted on 05/26/2004 1:00:19 AM PDT by DoughtyOne
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To: churchillbuff
If they don't pose a threat, why is Ashcroft having a news conference today to warn about big-time terrorism this summer?

Because we, unlike you, believe in fighting for this country, rather than lying down and letting them win, which is your choice.

18 posted on 05/26/2004 1:00:25 AM PDT by Howlin
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To: jwpjr
Come back in a year and let's see where things are!

Oh, I will -- provided we haven't been blown up by a WMD by then.

19 posted on 05/26/2004 1:00:29 AM PDT by churchillbuff
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To: Howlin
If they don't pose a threat, why is Ashcroft having a news conference today to warn about big-time terrorism this summer?

Maybe it's because Al Quade is alive and kicking (and energized by all the mess in Iraq)

20 posted on 05/26/2004 1:01:32 AM PDT by churchillbuff
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