[MarkeyD]

I think he is being honest and setting expectations based on previous trends.

[VOA]

I think he is being honest and setting expectations based on previous trends.

I'd almost second that.
Except that I've heard a number of polling reports (in various media) that the
"undecided" percentage is very low on a historical basis.

This is could be a cagey way of setting things so that if that 15% doesn't appear,
it'll be like the sound of air rushing out of the Kerry balloon.