NEWSWEEK POLL: DEMOCRATIC CONVENTION 2004 -- Kerry/Edwards Leads Bush/Cheney 52 to 44 Percent

PR Newswire ^ | 31 July 2004

[demlosers]

The usual suspect poll from newsweak.

[Casloy]

I read my tea leaves this morning. They are always more accurate than the Newsweek poll.

[AmishDude]

Ordinarily, you would say that, even though Newsweek polls are garbage, you could compare one to the other. But Newsweek polls are such junk, that you can't even do that. Still, they must have wanted more. Much much more.

[palmer]

It's the "Dukakis bounce".

[Salvation]

Twisted numbers in my opinion.

[Darkwolf377]

So radically different from the Rasmussen poll.

Has anyone ever done a check of the various polls for accuracy in terms of their predictive power in the election--i.e. compare the equivalent poll in previous elections with the final election outcome?

This one is jsut SO out of line with other polls.

[EllaMinnow]

For this Newsweek Poll, Princeton Survey Research Associates International interviewed 1,010 adults aged 18 and older on July 29-30, 2004. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

[beaversmom]

Wow they didn't even make it up to a Dukakis bounce. Think he was up 15 or 17 points and look what a loser he turned out to be.

[Radix]

I am not much of a believer in polls, but as far as I am concerned anything posted from Newsweek is a waste of bandwidth.

[Brett66]

Registered, but not likely voters.

[VRWC_minion]

Therefore, after the Democratic National Convention, the poll shows a four-point margin "bounce" in the three-way heat and a two-point margin "bounce" in the two-way heat.

Well within the MOE, which means NO bounce. Its just noise.

[Merry]

I think Newsweak polls the people in their office. It's garbage!

[BenLurkin]

The partisan press picks "best in show":

John Edwards and John Kerry

[ambrose]

Did you know that Newsweek produced a poll after the 1984 Dem convention showing Mondale leading Reagan by 2 points?

[republicanwizard]

We have been discussing this earlier this morning. Here's what I have found. If you adjust the numbers to the 2000 election turnout, 39% D, 35% R, and 26% I, the number are as follows. Kerry 48%, Bush 45% If you adjust the numbers to 35% D, 35% R, 30% I, the two candidates are tied. If you adjust hte numbers to 40% D, 40%, 20% I, then Bush has a slight lead. THE NEWSWEEK POLL HAS A DEMOCRATIC BIAS OF AT LEAST 4 PERCENTAGE POINTS. DO NOT BE CONCERNED.

[Sam Spade]

I'd be curious to see how many of those adults were registered voters.

[The Wizard]

Dog feces is much better than newsweak poll

[AHerald]

The Newsweek post-Dem convention poll in 2000 had Gore up by 17 pts. I'm stunned that even the notoriously Dem-biased and inaccurate Newsweek poll doesn't give a bigger lead to Kerry-Edwards. I was braced for a much larger lead. Not very good news for the Dem ticket, although they'll try and spin it as such.

[mware]

Newsweak....isn't that Howard Fineman's outfit.

I hear he had a hissy fit on Chris Matthews show when Joe S. said Kerry bombed out in his acceptance speech.

[SaveTheChief]

I haven't seen any other numbers like this from other polls. Have I been sleeping? Is there something I am missing?

Something stinks.