John Edwards and John Kerry
Posted on 07/31/2004 11:52:27 AM PDT by demlosers
Dems Receive Two-Point Margin Bounce in Two-Way Race, Four-Point Bounce in Three-Way Race
58 Percent Dissatisfied With Direction of Country; 57 Percent Say War With Iraq Has Not Made U.S. Safer
46 Percent Say Bush Closer to Their View on Gay Marriage
NEW YORK, July 31 /PRNewswire/ -- In a two-way trial heat between theRepublican and Democratic Presidential candidates, among registered voters,Sen. John Kerry/Sen. John Edwards lead President George Bush/Vice-President Dick Cheney 52-44 percent, according to the latest Newsweek Poll. In a three-way race with the Ralph Nader/Peter Camejo ticket added, Kerry/Edwards receives 49 percent of the vote; Bush/Cheney, 42 percent and Nader/Camejo, 3 percent, the poll shows.
In the two-way heat in the July 8-9 Newsweek Poll, Kerry led Bush by six points, 51 to 45 percent. In the three-way heat from that week, Kerry led Bush by 3 points, 47 to 44 percent, and Nader received 3 percent of the vote, the poll shows. Therefore, after the Democratic National Convention, the poll shows a four-point margin "bounce" in the three-way heat and a two-point margin "bounce" in the two-way heat.
In interviews on Thursday, July 29-before the Kerry nomination acceptance speech-Kerry/Edwards received the support of 47 percent of registered voters, Bush/Cheney 45 percent and Nader/Camejo 2 percent, according to the Newsweek Poll.
In Friday interviews after the speech, Kerry/Edwards received 50 percent, Bush/Cheney 40 percent and Nader/Camejo 3 percent. In the two-way race, in interviews on July 29, Kerry/Edwards received 49 percent and Bush/Cheney 47 percent. On July 30, Kerry/Edwards got 54 percent and Bush/Cheney 41 percent, the poll shows.
Reflecting the DNC's themes, 27 percent of registered voters say Kerry's war record makes them more likely to vote for him (15% say less likely); five percent say Bush's war record makes them more likely to vote for him (22% say less likely). And overall, 51 percent of registered voters say Bush has done more to divide Americans than unite them (39 percent say he has done more to unite them).
(Excerpt) Read more at prnewswire.com ...
I read my tea leaves this morning. They are always more accurate than the Newsweek poll.
Ordinarily, you would say that, even though Newsweek polls are garbage, you could compare one to the other. But Newsweek polls are such junk, that you can't even do that. Still, they must have wanted more. Much much more.
It's the "Dukakis bounce".
Twisted numbers in my opinion.
So radically different from the Rasmussen poll.
Has anyone ever done a check of the various polls for accuracy in terms of their predictive power in the election--i.e. compare the equivalent poll in previous elections with the final election outcome?
This one is jsut SO out of line with other polls.
Wow they didn't even make it up to a Dukakis bounce. Think he was up 15 or 17 points and look what a loser he turned out to be.
I am not much of a believer in polls, but as far as I am concerned anything posted from Newsweek is a waste of bandwidth.
Registered, but not likely voters.
Well within the MOE, which means NO bounce. Its just noise.
I think Newsweak polls the people in their office. It's garbage!
Did you know that Newsweek produced a poll after the 1984 Dem convention showing Mondale leading Reagan by 2 points?
I'd be curious to see how many of those adults were registered voters.
Dog feces is much better than newsweak poll
The Newsweek post-Dem convention poll in 2000 had Gore up by 17 pts. I'm stunned that even the notoriously Dem-biased and inaccurate Newsweek poll doesn't give a bigger lead to Kerry-Edwards. I was braced for a much larger lead. Not very good news for the Dem ticket, although they'll try and spin it as such.
I hear he had a hissy fit on Chris Matthews show when Joe S. said Kerry bombed out in his acceptance speech.
Something stinks.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.