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Keyword: polls

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    07/08/2020 6:30:49 PM PDT · by MrChips · 69 replies
    The Hill ^ | July 8, 2020 | Gabriela Schulte
    Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Trump by 4 percentage points nationwide in a new Hill-HarrisX general election poll. Forty-three percent of registered voters said they would support Biden for president if the election were held today. By contrast, 39 percent of voters in the July 3-4 survey said the same of Trump. Five percent of voters said they prefer someone else. . . .
  • [October 13 2016] Trump's Image Slides Among Republicans

    07/08/2020 4:09:22 PM PDT · by SmokingJoe · 10 replies
    Gallup ^ | October 13 2016 | by Frank Newport and Andrew Dugan
    PRINCETON, N.J. — Donald Trump's favorable rating among Republicans dropped from 69% to 64% in the fallout after The Washington Post released a 2005 video in which he made lewd comments about women, and after the second presidential debate on Sunday night. Trump's unfavorable rating ticked up slightly from 30% to 33%. There was virtually no change in Trump's already poor image among independents or Democrats. Donald Trump Favorables, by Party, October 2016Favorable Unfavorable % % Republicans Oct 1-6 69 30 Oct 7-11 64 33 Independents/Other/Don't know Oct 1-6 26 67 Oct 7-11 26 68 Democrats Oct 1-6 5 93...
  • Dukakis has some advice for Biden: Don’t take those polls seriously

    07/03/2020 10:40:38 PM PDT · by rintintin · 6 replies
    Boston Globe ^ | July 3 2020 | Alex Beam
    On July 26, 1988, veteran Boston Globe political writer Thomas Oliphant had a story on page A-12, in the newspaper’s “Campaign 88” section: “Dukakis gets bounce from convention.” Laid out next to a picture of then-governor Michael Dukakis of Massachusetts taking out the trash (of course) at his Brookline home, the story reported the results of a soon-to-be-famous/notorious Newsweek/Gallup poll that showed Dukakis leading his presidential opponent, George H.W. Bush, by a 55-38 percent margin nationwide. Oliphant cited three other polls that also showed Dukakis leading Bush by double-digit margins. “Dukakis has tried to press his new advantage,” Oliphant wrote,...
  • Poll Shows Dukakis Leads Bush; Many Reagan Backers Shift Sides (10 point's over)

    07/03/2020 9:22:02 PM PDT · by DoodleBob · 13 replies
    NY Times ^ | May 17, 1988 | E J Dionne
    Michael S. Dukakis is capitalizing on deep public doubts about Vice President Bush and the Reagan Administration's handling of key issues and has emerged as the early favorite for the Presidential election in November, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News Poll. Mr. Dukakis, the probable Democratic nominee, ran ahead of Mr. Bush, the almost certain Republican candidate, by 49 percent to 39 percent among 1,056 registered voters. The survey, conducted May 9-12, represented a significant advance for Mr. Dukakis since a Times/CBS News Poll in March when Mr. Bush had 46 percent and Mr. Dukakis had 45 percent....
  • After What Happened in 2016, You’d Think People Would Be More Skeptical about 2020 Polling

    07/03/2020 4:32:11 AM PDT · by Diognetes · 9 replies
    National Review: Corner Blog ^ | 2020-07-03 | David Harsayani
    The most recent Washington Post/ABC News poll, for instance, gives Biden a 53–43 percent lead among registered voters nationally. On June 26, 2016, a Washington Post/ABC News poll — noting that Trump’s support had “plunged” — put Hillary up over the Republican 51–39 among registered voters nationwide in a head-to-head contest. The reasons? ...
  • New Polls: Trump Leads By Four In Texas — And Arizona

    07/02/2020 8:03:16 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 18 replies
    Hotair ^ | 07/02/2020 | AllahPundit
    Encouraging polls are hard to come by lately but he’s had a couple. Trafalgar gave him a good one a few days ago when they found him a point up in Wisconsin, matching his margin from 2016. That was an outlier, as the previous three surveys of the state had Biden ahead by eight, eight, and 11 points. But if anyone’s entitled to a benefit of the doubt on a Rust Belt poll it’s Trafalgar, which detected Trump’s impending upsets there four years ago when no other pollster did. So maybe Wisconsin’s tighter at the moment than the conventional...
  • The Real Purpose of the Polls

    06/26/2020 6:11:03 AM PDT · by LS · 44 replies
    self | 6/26/2020 | LS
    I may have fallen off the pumpkin truck, but I didn't fall off yesterday. It took me a while to get the actual strategy behind these Hoax Polls. Of course the polls are biased. Bias doesn't even begin to cover them now. But Demented Perv Biteme by 10? 12? 14??? White man, please. It came together yesterday via several stories about "Trump Faces Landslide Defeat," "Trump Endangers Senate Majority." There were several quoting senators who were getting antsy, including senators like Mike Braun who should know better. One, but little Jim Accosted, said something like "Trump Faces Landslide Loss but...
  • Why believe the polls? Evidence ‘Sleepy Joe’ Is Nowhere Close to President Trump as 2020 Vote Approaches – You Can’t Make an Apple Out of a Garbage Dump

    06/29/2020 10:31:43 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 99 replies
    Gateway Pundit ^ | 06/29/2020 | Joe Hoft
    Don’t believe the BS polls and media claims about ‘Sleepy Joe’ Biden. He is not in the lead. He is barely awake – literally. We predicted the 2016 election result a few days before the election. Of course, we wanted President Trump to win the election but we had evidence too. Election Prediction 2016: Current Trend Lines Show Trump Will Win in Landslide The media was looking at BS polls that over-sampled Democrats and included other material sampling errors and regurgitated the results in different ways. What they didn’t comprehend was that Hillary was a horrible candidate. CLICK ARTICLE LINK...
  • NYT/Siena Polls: Trump Losing Ground with White Voters in Swing States, Not Gaining with Minorities

    06/28/2020 12:19:16 AM PDT · by Zhang Fei · 119 replies
    Breitbart ^ | 27 Jun 2020 | John Binder
    President Trump has lost ground with his base of voter support, white Americans, in swing states while not increasing his support with Hispanic and black Americans, New York Times/Siena College polls show. The polls of six battleground states, released this week, come as racial tensions have swept the nation with the Black Lives Matter movement leading riots, protests, and the destruction of historical monuments in major cities. Conservative circles have speculated that voters may not be expressing their actual opinions to pollsters. Trump’s administration has been laser-focused on messaging specifically to black Americans, with daily social media posts from the...
  • Polls Schmolls (Saturbray)

    06/27/2020 8:44:29 AM PDT · by bray · 23 replies ^ | 6/27/2020 | bray
    For whosoever will save his life shall lose it: and whosoever will lose his life for my sake shall find it. Matthew 16:25 (King James Version) Once again, we have to go through the basics to bring people like Tucker Carlson off the ledge. People ax all the time how you have predicted the last ten presidential elections in a row or picked 44 of 50 states last time and it is always the same answer. I go against the Echo Chamber including Fox Bush News and analyze the things which truly matter. I picked Trump when he came down...
  • Latest Harris Poll Shows Sharp Narrowing of Biden Lead from 10 to Only 4 points

    06/26/2020 4:26:18 PM PDT · by nwrep · 214 replies
    The Hill ^ | June 26, 2020 | Staff
    If the general election for President were held today, 43 percent of registered voters said they'd choose vote for presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden, while 39 percent said they would vote for a second President Trump term, a new Hill-HarrisX poll finds. The four-point lead for the former vice president is down from 10 percentage points in the same poll from June 1-4. Trump trailed Biden 47-37 in that poll. Party loyalty seems to be intensifying for the President with a 4 percentage point increase of support among Republican voters. The Hill-HarrisX poll was conducted online among 951 registered voters...
  • Survey: Most U.S. Liberals Want To Rewrite Constitution, Impose Race Quotas On History Classes And Museums

    06/26/2020 10:42:04 AM PDT · by Kaslin · 93 replies
    The Federalist ^ | June 26, 2020 | Joy Pullman
    To find out how willing liberal Americans are to jettison the country’s cultural identity, I decided to ask what I thought were outlandish questions,' writes the survey author. 'The answers I received amazed me.' Seventy percent of self-identified “liberals” want to rewrite the U.S. Constitution “to a new American constitution that better reflects our diversity as a people,” according to survey results published in Quillette this week. Seventy-nine percent of self-identified “very liberal” respondents agreed with this suggestion. Seventy-six and 81 percent of “liberal” and “very liberal” respondents supported the idea to “Rebalance the art shown in museums across the...
  • FLASHBACK: Exactly four years ago today, the media said it was impossible for Trump to overcome a 12-point Clinton lead

    06/26/2020 8:09:22 AM PDT · by wrrock · 31 replies
    Exactly four years ago today... media in frenzy over 12-point Clinton lead in polls .....
  • VIDEO: Polls Show Trump Will Lose In November

    06/26/2020 6:10:29 AM PDT · by PJ-Comix · 37 replies
    YouTube ^ | June 26, 2020 | DUmmie FUnnies
    VIDEO Well, it is pretty much all over. Most of the polls show President Donald Trump losing in November and that there is no path to 270 electoral votes. Yes, the Joe Biden campaign can now confidently pop open their champagne bottles and celebrate their inevitable victory.
  • Clinton Opens 12-Point Lead on Trump as Two-Thirds See Him as Biased

    06/25/2020 5:34:08 PM PDT · by kevcol · 53 replies
    ABC News ^ | June 26, 2016 | GARY LANGER
    Hillary Clinton surged to a broad advantage against Donald Trump in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, capitalizing on Trump’s recent campaign missteps. Two-thirds of Americans see him as biased against groups such as women, minorities or Muslims, and a new high, 64 percent, call Trump unqualified to serve as president. . . . Americans by 68-28 percent think his comment about Judge Gonzalo Curiel was racist. Regardless of whether or not it was racist, 85 percent say it was inappropriate. . . . Most generally, the public by 56-36 percent, a 20-point margin, says Trump is standing against their...
  • Biden Leads Trump in all 6 Top Battleground States

    06/25/2020 7:09:20 AM PDT · by Stravinsky · 99 replies
    US News and World Report ^ | June 25, 2020 | Susan Milligan
    VOTERS IN ALL SIX TOP battleground states favor Joe Biden over President Donald Trump by comfortable margins, worrying news for Trump, who won every one of those states in 2016, according to a New York Times/Siena College Battleground poll released Thursday morning. The survey found that Biden is ahead of Trump by double digits in the core battlegrounds of Pennsylvania (where Biden has a 10-point lead), Michigan and Wisconsin (where Biden leads in each by 11 percentage points). Trump won those three states narrowly in 2016, ensuring his victory over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. Further, the former vice president leads...
  • Biden Takes Dominant Lead as Voters Reject Trump on Virus and Race

    06/24/2020 4:53:34 AM PDT · by Stravinsky · 161 replies
    NYT ^ | June 24, 2020 | Alexander Burns, Jonathan Martin and Matt Stevens
    Joseph R. Biden Jr. has taken a commanding lead over President Trump in the 2020 race, building a wide advantage among women and nonwhite voters and making deep inroads with some traditionally Republican-leaning groups that have shifted away from Mr. Trump following his ineffective response to the coronavirus pandemic, according to a new national poll of registered voters by The New York Times and Siena College. Mr. Biden is currently ahead of Mr. Trump by 14 percentage points, garnering 50 percent of the vote compared with 36 percent for Mr. Trump. That is among the most dismal showings of Mr....
  • Trumpy Bear says, “Do Not Miss This One”.

    06/23/2020 3:36:24 PM PDT · by piytar · 10 replies
    Turmpy Bear Says ^ | June 23, 2020 | Don't know
    On May 1, 2020, Trumpy Bear explained why the Presidential polls are not to be believed. Now he has some very interesting FACTS to show. Somebody let the cat out of the bag.
  • Pollster Who Got It Right in 2016: Michigan a Dead Heat

    06/23/2020 7:26:22 AM PDT · by wise_caucasian · 23 replies
    Real Clear Politics ^ | June 22, 2020 | Tom Bevan
    Cahaly has just released his first poll of the 2020 cycle, a survey of likely voters in Michigan showing Trump trailing Joe Biden by a single point, 46%-45%. Cahaly’s survey, using the same methodology he employed four years ago but with an enhanced system for targeting likely voters, shows the race in Michigan as extremely competitive. The pollster also continues to see signs of “shy” or “reluctant” Trump voters in the electorate. Known as “social desirability bias,” it refers to the effect of respondents not telling the truth about whom they will vote for because they think their choice will...
  • 2020 Election Poll Done for Fox News Riddled With Bias

    06/22/2020 12:47:36 PM PDT · by Repeal 16-17 · 29 replies
    Net Advisor ^ | June 21, 2020 | Net Advisor
    Another poll created for Fox News is shown to have heavy bias. We discussed last October 11, 2019, how a Fox News ‘Trump impeachment poll’ over-sampled Democrats, thus creating bias in the polling results. Once again a new 2020 Fox News Election Poll is riddled with bias.