Keyword: polls

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  • Why Irish-Americans hope Donald trumps Hillary in the race for the White House

    06/25/2016 8:37:50 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    The Belfast Telegraph ^ | June 25, 2016
    Do I cringe sometimes when I hear Trump say something outlandish? Yes, sure I do, but I know that he's super-intelligent and a street-fighter. He can sort out the myriad of social problems that exist in the US today. Trump gets himself noticed by saying outrageous things but there's so much more to him than rhetoric," says Gerry Dunleavy. If The Donald pops into his hotel and golf resort in Doonbeg, Co Clare today, he'll surely blush. It was 1978 when a young Gerry crossed the Atlantic, eventually settling in the affluent suburb of Winchester, north of Boston. He left...
  • Most Investors Prefer Donald Trump As President Over Hillary Clinton, Poll Reveals

    06/25/2016 12:57:56 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    The Inquisitr News ^ | June 25, 2016 | Christian Savoy
    A high percentage of voters who operate in the stock market say that Donald Trump would be a better president than Hillary Clinton for their portfolios, and one in four said they would change their asset mix if he was elected, while a similar percentage would if the Democrats win. A recent poll from Bloomberg and Morning Consult revealed that investors prefer picked Trump over Clinton as president. According to the report, 50% of respondents said Trump would be better for their portfolios while 33% chose Clinton as a better alternative. Another 17% of respondents were not sure which candidate...
  • Brexit should be a wake-up call to US liberals: don’t assume Trump will lose

    06/24/2016 5:38:18 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    Vox ^ | June 24, 2016 | Andrew Prokop
    In the wake of the UK’s vote Thursday to leave the EU, comparisons of Brexit's  success to the rise of Donald Trump have been flying far and wide. This is only natural, since anti-immigrant, anti-elite, and nationalist sentiments played major roles in both shocking phenomena. Of course, many of these analogies are too facile. The US faces no comparable controversy over regulations from a transnational economic bureaucracy. The US electorate is much more diverse than Britain’s. Trump himself has massive weaknesses in personality, popularity, and campaign mechanics that an issue-oriented campaign doesn’t. And where "Leave" and "Remain" were essentially...
  • Final Independent Poll showed 8-point REMAIN advantage

    06/24/2016 8:30:32 AM PDT · by LS · 38 replies
    6/24 | self
    We aren't allowed to post UK Independent stuff due to "copyright" concerns, but the Independent story on 6/23, "EU referendum polls: Final ComRes poll shows significant lead for Remain" shows that the "Remain" had an 8-point lead and lost by almost 4---a shocking 12 point margin of error. I bring this up because my own analysis of US presidential election polls going back to 1952 shows similar HORRIBLE errors in June polling vs. November---average 9 points off, but when off with a GOP victor, the average was 22 points off.
  • Bad News for Hillary: Huge Percentage of Bernie Supporters Won’t Vote for Her

    06/23/2016 10:23:45 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    The Anti-Media ^ | June 22, 2016 | Claire Bernish
    Sen. Bernie Sanders’ supporters don’t lack in enthusiasm, as a cursory perusal of social media proves. In fact, mainstream media once likened their zealotry to that of an “unhinged cult.” And now, with Hillary Clinton all-but cementing the Democratic nomination, the Bernie-or-bust crowd has drawn a line in the proverbial sand: nearly half of voters who support Sanders refuse to capitulate to the Democratic establishment by casting a vote for Clinton in the national election. According to a recent national poll from Bloomberg Politics, just over half, 55 percent, of the Vermont senator’s followers said they would toe the Democratic...
  • Corrected polls show Trump had large lead over Clinton just before Lewandowski was fired

    06/22/2016 6:33:46 PM PDT · by Sean_Anthony · 17 replies
    Canada Free Press ^ | 06/22/16 | Sierra Rayne
    Trump took a very dangerous step by changing his tactics and team at this point, especially since his moves on Monday only empowered his opponent and sowed the seeds of doubt regarding loyalty on his own side In contrast to the “pants on fire” claims by liberal and faux conservative journalists, there hasn’t been a single poll in recent weeks before the firing of Corey Lewandowski that, once corrected for known bias, shows anything other than a Trump-Clinton tie, or even a Trump lead. Polling data last week were staged by the uni-party so the GOPe could use the data...
  • Hillary And Her Suspect Polling Numbers,Yes,Something Isn't Right.

    06/22/2016 4:09:41 PM PDT · by TrumpTrain_VS_TheClintonToilet · 47 replies
    Hillary Clinton,by far,worst Democrat Candidate Ever!.And not just that,the most boring and least trusted and liked.We are all saying and agreeing that something is definitely not right with the polling.ABC?,NBC and Doomberg?,does anyone actually take them seriously? It seems that in general,it's mostly leftist organizations that are taking these polls that usually give Hillary a five to twelve point edge over Trump. Maybe they are oversampling Democrats by 12 per cent?
  • Huffpost Pollster Averages Trending up for Trump (Vanity)

    06/22/2016 9:51:33 AM PDT · by usafa92 · 14 replies
    Huffpost pollster ^ | 6/2/2015 | USAFA92
    See attached polling chart at link and my posting in Comment #1
  • The coming landslide: Trump will crush Clinton

    06/22/2016 9:10:15 AM PDT · by Oldpuppymax · 26 replies
    The Coach's Team ^ | 6/22/16 | Kevin "Coach" Collins
    Because they see their world collapsing and the growing threat of a Donald Trump landslide victory, some people are in a state of full blown panic. One panicky fool said the trashing Barry Goldwater took in 1964 will look “extremely successful” compared to the landslide beating Donald Trump will take in November. At this point you would believe that these people might think before speaking, but panic is a very strong emotion so these naysayers need to have their nose rubbed in reality to get them to shut up. So why is it very likely that Trump will crush Hillary...
  • Voters trust Trump over Clinton on economy

    06/21/2016 6:31:01 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    When it comes to the economy, Donald Trump is the preferred choice of American voters. Voters overwhelmingly think Democrat Hillary Clinton will be the next president (whether they want that or not), but when they are asked specifically who would be the better candidate to “handle the economy,” 51% say Trump and only 43% say Clinton, according to the latest CNN/ORC poll released Tuesday morning. Clinton is fighting back to change that impression. In a fiery speech Tuesday, she lashed out at Trump, calling him “reckless” and “dangerous” for the economy. His policies would cause 3.5 million Americans to lose...
  • Democrats and Drive-Bys Are Concerned About the Closeness of This Race

    06/21/2016 11:56:27 AM PDT · by Kaslin · 5 replies
    Rush Limbaugh.com ^ | June 21, 2016 | Rush Limbaugh
    BEGIN TRANSCRIPT RUSH: Hey, look, folks, I don't care how you slice it out there, there's a degree of panic and concern on the Democrat side about Trump versus Hillary. And I have the telltale signs to back that up. They've got this CNN poll out there, and they're not happy about it. Now, the Drive-Bys are trying to present it as though it is just wonderful news for Hillary, but it isn't. When you factor everything in, it is not good news, and if you go to the right places in the Drive-By Media, you will see that certain...
  • FREEP This Poll..... Currently: Trump (R) 53%, Clinton (D) 35%.

    06/21/2016 5:12:06 AM PDT · by real_patriotic_american · 8 replies
    NJ Dot Com ~ True Jersey ^ | June 2016 | Brent Johnson
    "It's a presidential race that many political experts say could be thrilling, punishing, or maddening, depending on your opinion of the candidates."
  • The Polls are Wrong- Post Orlando- Trump is Pulling Away from Hillary

    06/21/2016 9:52:28 AM PDT · by Sean_Anthony · 37 replies
    Canada Free Press ^ | 06/21/16 | Mitch Wolfe
    Accordingly, the current polls are stale-dated and wrong. Trump is in reality leading Hillary by 5 points and he is pulling away from her. The recent poll taken by Reuters/Ipsos in mid June, around the time of the horrific Orlando shooting, has Hillary Clinton enjoying a solid 11-point lead over Donald Trump. According to such heavily biased liberal pundits and Trump haters as Frank Bruni of the New York Times and Michael Tomasky of the Daily Beast, Donald Trump is dead in the water.
  • CNN/ORC Poll: Clinton Leads Trump by 5 Points

    06/21/2016 9:38:03 AM PDT · by NKP_Vet · 40 replies
    http://www.newsmax.com ^ | June 21, 2016 | Brian Freeman
    Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump 47 percent to 42 percent in a new CNN/ORC poll released Tuesday. When voters are given a choice of a four-way race, Clinton's advantage over Trump narrows to 42 percent to 38 percent, with Libertarian Gary Johnson receiving 9 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein 7 percent.
  • Poll: Security Concerns, Support for Trump Rise After Orlando (Statistical tie)

    06/20/2016 11:28:56 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 3 replies
    Morning Consult ^ | June 20, 2016 | Cameron Easley
    A new Morning Consult poll shows national security is back at the forefront of voters’ minds following the mass shooting in Orlando that left dozens dead and injured. In a national survey taken in the days after Omar Mateen’s attack on Pulse, a gay nightclub, almost three out of 10 voters (29 percent) said security was their top issue under consideration when casting their vote — a 10-point increase from a poll in early June. Similar spikes in voters’ concerns about national security were observed following the attacks in Paris, San Bernardino and Brussels....
  • Poll: After Orlando, Huge Spike in Voters’ Concerns About Security (Clinton 38 Trump 38 Johnson 10)

    06/20/2016 10:52:30 AM PDT · by usafa92 · 89 replies
    Morning Consult ^ | 6/20/2016 | Cameron Easley
    A new Morning Consult poll shows national security is back at the forefront of voters’ minds following the mass shooting in Orlando that left dozens dead and injured. In a national survey taken in the days after Omar Mateen’s attack on Pulse, a gay nightclub, almost three out of 10 voters (29 percent) said security was their top issue under consideration when casting their vote — a 10-point increase from a poll in early June. Similar spikes in voters’ concerns about national security were observed following the attacks in Paris, San Bernardino and Brussels. Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump...
  • National: Clinton Leads Trump By 7 (Monmouth 47-40)

    06/20/2016 10:45:25 AM PDT · by usafa92 · 75 replies
    Monmouth University ^ | 6/20/2016 | Monmouth University
    West Long Branch, NJ – In a head-to-head contest for president, Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 7 points among registered voters and by 8 points among likely voters. The Democrat’s lead shrinks by a point when potential third party support is taken into account. Both major party nominees remain unpopular, but more voters say it is important to keep Trump rather than Clinton out of the White House. The latest Monmouth University Poll also finds that attitudes towards terrorism and the Republican nominee’s proposed Muslim ban have not changed much since the Orlando tragedy. Currently, Clinton holds a 7...
  • While political class frets at Trump response to Orlando, polls show it’s helping him with voters

    06/20/2016 10:19:48 AM PDT · by Sean_Anthony · 13 replies
    Canada Free Press ^ | 06/20/16 | Dan Calabrese
    Surprise, pointyheads. If you want to understand why Donald Trump managed to win the Republican nomination (or so it appears) while more experienced, polished politicians failed to topple him, this is about the best object lesson I can give you. Major event occurs. Conventional politicians stick to the safe talking points that will not upset elites or garner media criticism. Trump . . . does not: While Trump’s comments on both Muslims and guns dismayed some Republican elites, they may have cheered some voters.
  • Clinton fades in Florida in first post #orlando Poll: Trump surging

    06/18/2016 8:41:57 AM PDT · by orchestra · 75 replies
    PRNTLY EXCLUSIVE ^ | 6/18/2016 | Connor Balough
    Hillary has some major problems in the gun loving state of Florida, which suffered a shooting, an alligator attack, and the worst terrorist shooting on US soil since 9/11. It isn’t the voters are rejecting Hillary, but they are rejecting her ignorance of why the attack occurred. While Trump’s comments on both Muslims and guns dismayed some Republican elites, they may have cheered some voters. Some 45 percent of Americans said they supported Trump’s idea to suspend Muslim immigration, up from 41.9 percent at the start of the month, according to the poll. Meanwhile, about 70 percent of Americans, including...
  • Clinton's lead over Trump slips after Florida shooting: Reuters/Ipsos poll

    06/17/2016 7:43:51 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 71 replies
    Reuters ^ | June 17, 2016 | Chris Khan
    Donald Trump chipped away at Hillary Clinton's lead in the presidential race this week, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Friday, as the candidates clashed over how to respond to the worst mass shooting in modern U.S. history. The poll, conducted from Monday to Friday, showed Clinton, the presumptive Democratic nominee, with a 10.7 point lead among likely voters over Trump, her likely Republican rival in the November presidential election. That's down from a lead of 14.3 points for Clinton on Sunday, the day an American-born shooter who declared allegiance to militant group Islamic State killed 49 people at...
  • OANN/ Gravis Marketing Poll Clinton 51%, Trump 49%

    06/17/2016 11:15:21 AM PDT · by Red Steel · 89 replies
    Oann via Trump Twitter ^ | June 17, 2016
  • After correcting for bias, Clinton's national lead in CBS News poll evaporates

    06/16/2016 6:19:01 PM PDT · by Hojczyk · 37 replies
    American Thinker ^ | June 16,2016 | Sierra Rayne
    According to nationwide polling data, Republican Party affiliation has averaged 28% for 2016 so far, and it also averaged 28% since the start of May. This agrees well with the CBS News poll's composition. On the other hand, the last time the Democrats were at 35% was early March...of 2013. Since May of this year, Democratic party affiliation has averaged 29%, just 1% higher than the Republicans, not 7% higher. As a result, this CBS News poll appears to be biased in favor of the Democrats by the same margin that Clinton purportedly holds over Trump, meaning that if the...
  • May/June Polls: most often very, very wrong

    06/16/2016 9:13:17 AM PDT · by LS · 25 replies
    May/June polls are quite often predictive in that the leader is often the loser in November. At the very least, they were way, way off: In June 2012, Obama led Romney by 5 but Romney surged into a lead in October, then two ties. Final margin? 4 (Plus 1 swing to the GOP) In May 2008, John McCain led Obama by 6, yet within a few weeks Obama led McCain by 9-—a 15 point swing. (Plus Plus 15 swing to Dem) In June 2004, Kerry led Bush by 6. Final margin? Bush won by 3, an error of 9 points....
  • Uncovering the Biases in State-Level Polling Data

    06/15/2016 11:55:17 PM PDT · by detective · 10 replies
    American Thinker ^ | June 16, 2016 | Sierra Rayne
    In addition to clear polling bias against GOP presidential candidate Donald Trump at the national level, we see the same pro-liberal bias within the state data. It's not just in places like Utah, but all across the nation. The problem is so deep and widespread that only fools would attempt to average the datasets to assess the actual mood of the electorate. All of this data needs to be corrected prior to averaging, and if that is done, it becomes abundantly clear that Trump is likely leading Hillary Clinton by at least several points at the national level, and statewide...
  • CBS NEWS POLL: After Claiming the Nomination, Clinton Maintains her Lead: Clinton 43 Trump 37

    06/15/2016 6:59:12 PM PDT · by usafa92 · 55 replies
    CBS News ^ | 6/15/2016 | CBS News
    Top Lines Only. Link to Scribd included
  • Swing state polls show Clinton and Trump in close race

    06/15/2016 6:33:11 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    United Press International ^ | June 15, 2016 | Eric DuVall
    At the outset of the general election campaign, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are running neck-and-neck in polls in several battleground states that are likely to decide the winner. While state-specific polling is still scant, the handful of surveys conducted in the last few weeks show Clinton leading in Ohio and Virginia, while she and Trump are tied in Pennsylvania and each has claimed a lead in one of two surveys conducted in Florida. Trump leads in North Carolina. Nationally, Clinton holds a 5.5 percentage point lead, according to the Real Clear Politics polling average. Most of the state-level surveys...
  • Poll: white men really, really don’t like Hillary Clinton

    06/15/2016 4:12:58 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 80 replies
    Vox ^ | June 15, 2016 | Andrew Prokop
    The new Washington Post/ABC poll released Wednesday has tons of dreadful news for Donald Trump, who is viewed unfavorably by 70 percent of its respondents. But it isn’t all rosy for Hillary Clinton either. First off, the poll shows that Clinton is viewed unfavorably by a remarkable 75 percent of white men and is only viewed favorably by 23 percent of that demographic. Now, Trump’s numbers among white men are also negative, but only slightly — 46 percent view him favorably, and 52 percent view him unfavorably. Second, according to the poll, white women aren't particularly bowled over by the...
  • Poll: Trump leads in 4 bellwether counties

    06/15/2016 11:36:13 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 49 replies
    The Politico ^ | June 15, 2016 | Kyle Cheney
    In the most pivotal counties in seven critical swing states, Donald Trump has a decided edge, according to a recent set of polling data collected by Axiom Strategies, the firm of Ted Cruz's former campaign manager Jeff Roe. Axiom identified seven counties in seven battleground states that have proven to be bellwethers in the last four elections. Trump, so far, has an edge in four of them, Hillary Clinton has an edge in two, and they're statistically tied in one. The selected counties correctly predicted the statewide result in each of the last four elections and came closest to the...
  • Trump gains slightly on Clinton after Florida attack: Reuters/Ipsos poll

    06/14/2016 6:36:29 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 52 replies
    Reuters ^ | June 14, 2016 | Chris Khan
    Hillary Clinton's lead over Donald Trump in the U.S. presidential race has narrowed since late last week, according to the results of the first Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted since the Orlando shooting rampage on Sunday. Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee for the Nov. 8 election, has blamed Democratic policies for the worst mass shooting in U.S. history and doubled-down on his pledge to ban Muslim immigration, while Clinton has warned against demonizing Muslim-Americans. The poll, conducted from Friday to Tuesday, showed Clinton with an 11.6-point lead - 44.6 percent to 33.0 percent - over Trump, down from the 13-point lead she...
  • Poll: Most Voters Don’t View Clinton’s Nomination as Historic (Clinton 42 - Trump 37)

    06/14/2016 12:46:48 PM PDT · by usafa92 · 30 replies
    Morning Consult ^ | 6/14/2016 | Eli Yokley
    Hillary Clinton’s achievement of becoming the first woman to secure a major party’s presidential nomination is viewed by four in 10 voters as a “historic moment” for the country, according to a new national poll by Morning Consult. The survey of 1,362 voters, conducted in the days after she claimed the requisite number of delegates, found the sentiment to be stronger among women than men. Only a third (33 percent) of men said Clinton’s achievement was historic, while 42 percent of women shared the view. Groups such as EMILY’s List, which helps to elect Democratic women, have claimed her victory...
  • Poll: Clinton Eats Away at Trump's Lead Among Men, White Voters

    06/14/2016 10:57:34 AM PDT · by usafa92 · 113 replies
    NBC News / Survey Monkey ^ | 6/14/2016 | Hannah Hartig
    Hillary Clinton made history last week when she became the first woman to represent a major political party as the presumptive Democratic nominee. Her good week got even better when President Obama and Sen. Elizabeth Warren formally endorsed her. Donald Trump, on the other hand, received quite a bit of negative attention from inside his own party, including a few Republicans walking away from their previous endorsements of him. Influence of the events of the past week is evident in the most recent NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll, which shows Clinton leading Trump by 7 points, 49 percent to...
  • Donald Trump gets LGBT support boost after Orlando shooting

    06/14/2016 8:38:47 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 34 replies
    The Inquisitr News ^ | June 14, 2016 | Tara Dodrill
    Donald Trump appears to have lured a growing number of LGBT voters away from his Democrat challenger, Hillary Clinton. Trump’s speech after the Orlando shooting by a self-avowed ISIS terrorist has earned him the steadfast loyalty of gay Americans who are now keenly focused on national security, immigration, and terrorism matters. A Newsmax report about the surging Donald Trump gay support offered a roundup of both social media and editorial pieces detailing why they will not be casting a ballot for Hillary Clinton in November. The refusal by progressive or liberal politicians to utter the phrase “radical Islamic terrorist” is...
  • Hillary sinks to third place among independent voters: poll

    06/12/2016 12:30:52 AM PDT · by GonzoII · 20 replies
    NYP ^ | June 11, 2016 | Mary Kay Linge and Aaron Short
    It looks like Hillary Clinton can’t swing the crucial swing vote. The presumptive Democratic presidential nominee took a beating from independent voters in the latest Fox News poll, finishing third behind relatively unknown Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson. GOP candidate Donald Trump led among independents with 32 percent of the vote, followed by Johnson, a former governor of New Mexico, who got 23 percent. Clinton pulled in just 22 percent of the independents — a sign many voters are skeptical of the scandal-scarred former first lady and ex-secretary of state. “This is very bad news for Hillary Clinton,” Republican strategist...
  • Trump vs. Clinton Polls: Trump Gets Stronger In Electoral College...

    06/11/2016 12:33:53 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 21 replies
    The Inquisitr News ^ | June 10, 2016 | Jonathan Vankin
    New polls out this week matching the two presumptive presidential nominees, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, could spell danger for the Democrat even as she appears to be pulling away from Trump in the nationwide head-to-head matchup. Polling from crucial swing states that had previously been controlled by Clinton now appears to be heading back in the direction of the Republican candidate. What that means for the general election is that, even though Clinton appears to be consolidating her support among voters across the United States, the Electoral College, where the next president will actually be chosen, has started to...
  • The incredible crushing despair of the white working class

    06/08/2016 9:08:32 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 49 replies
    The Washington Post's Wonkblog ^ | June 7, 2016 | Christopher Ingraham
    Americans today say they are generally optimistic about their futures, according to Gallup polling. But one group in particular -- poor white Americans -- has a shockingly dismal view of what the future holds for them. And this pessimism among poor whites goes a long way toward explaining the strange political moment we find ourselves in, one in which Donald Trump surged to the top of the Republican primary ticket by tapping into a deep vein of racial anxiety among the nation's working class. Carol Graham, a happiness researcher at the Brookings Institution, recently analyzed Gallup's data on life satisfaction...
  • PPP: Pennsylvania Close; Sanders Supporter Unity Would Make It Not Close (Trump Tie 2-way, -1 3-way)

    06/08/2016 12:08:19 PM PDT · by NYRepublican72 · 65 replies
    PPP's new Pennsylvania poll finds a close race between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in the state, although both a generic Democratic candidate and Bernie Sanders have more substantial leads that bode well for Clinton's chances if she can get the party unified around her in the weeks ahead. Clinton has 41% to 40% for Trump, with Gary Johnson at 6% and Jill Stein at 3%. In a head to head match up, Clinton and Trump tie at 44%. Similarly to what we found on the Florida poll we released yesterday, Republicans are more unified around Trump (79/8) than Democrats...
  • Big data reports Latino support for Trump on the rise at 37%

    06/08/2016 11:59:42 AM PDT · by V K Lee · 42 replies
    http://latino.foxnews.com/ ^ | 6/8/16 | Lili Gil Valletta
    It is evident that Donald Trump has rewritten the rules of political campaigning, leaving the so- called experts, analysts, journalists and even the GOP itself puzzled by the power and effectiveness of his approach. Whether you agree with him or not, his rise and political success is undeniable. He has activated a sentiment in people that appeals to the raw emotion of Washington frustration. On the other hand, he has also set a tone in which public labeling, divisive rhetoric and racially charged comments are “OK” in the public eye, and has unraveled a whole new way of freedom of...
  • Warning: Optimism Ahead

    06/08/2016 10:56:31 AM PDT · by ground_fog · 6 replies
    The Conservative Tree House ^ | June 8th, 2016 | Sundance
    On February 29th 2016 we made the following prediction. In 2008 slightly less than 22 million voted in the Republican primary. In 2012 just over 19 million voted in the primary. We predict 29.5 million will vote in the republican primary election: The 29,528,228 estimation in the 2016 Republican process was massive by comparison to 2008 (21.9 million), and 2012 (19.2 million). The “smart-set” (specifically ’12 Romney Campaign Mgr. Stuart Stevens) said we were nuts. That would be 10 million more votes than voted in 2012 when the entire GOP electorate was, according to Stuart Stevens, exceptionally motivated. There’s no...
  • Would You Vote For Hillary Clinton Over Donald Trump? (FReep a Poll)

    06/07/2016 12:05:13 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 40 replies
    Elite Daily ^ | June 7, 2016 | John Haltiwanger
    On Monday, Associated Press reported Hillary Clinton earned the 2,383 delegates necessary to clinch the Democratic nomination for president. She’s now being called the presumptive Democratic nominee. Bernie Sanders’ campaign, and many of his supporters, took issue with this announcement due to both its timing and the fact superdelegates don’t count until they vote at the Democratic National Convention in July. Even still, it looks highly likely Hillary Clinton will be officially confirmed as the Democratic nominee for president in July, as she has a significant lead over Sanders in terms of both pledged delegates and the popular vote. Meanwhile,...
  • BREAKING POLL: Trump Gains Huge Demographic… Beats Hillary at Her Own Game [White Women]

    06/03/2016 7:26:33 AM PDT · by GonzoII · 96 replies
    Which demographic? The answer will stun you. A new poll by Quinnipiac University has Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in her own demographic — namely, Caucasian women. According to ABC News, the poll released Wednesday showed Hillary Clinton with a slight lead over Donald Trump nationally. However, when looking at white women, Trump had a 41 to 40 percent lead over Clinton. So much for all that war on women rhetoric. Trump had a bigger lead among white males, with a whopping 60 to 26 percent lead in the polls. Needless to say, ABC News thought it was about time...
  • New California Primary Poll: Sanders 44, Clinton 43 [10% of Sanders' Voters Would Vote For Trump]

    06/03/2016 4:09:29 AM PDT · by GonzoII · 15 replies
    Breitbart ^ | 2 Jun 2016 | Joel B. Pollak
    Sen. Bernie Sanders achieved his first lead over former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in a new USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll released on Thursday. Sanders drew support from 44% of eligible Democratic voters, versus 43% for Clinton. The result, within the poll’s 2.9% margin of error, is yet another statistical dead heat in the California primary — the fourth in less than two weeks. However, among voters with the highest propensity to vote, Clinton leads 49% to 39%. The Times reports that Sanders is succeeding by winning among minority voters — who have, until now, been Clinton’s firewall: Hillary...
  • Dem Race Tightens in California as Clinton Barely Leads Sanders 49% to 47%: Poll

    06/02/2016 7:12:37 AM PDT · by GonzoII · 43 replies
    NBC ^ | JUN 2 2016, 2:20 AM ET | MARK MURRAY
    Hillary Clinton is clinging to a narrow two-point lead over Bernie Sanders in California ahead of the state's June 7 primary, according to results from a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll. Clinton gets support from 49 percent of likely Democratic primary voters in the state, while Sanders gets 47 percent, which is within the survey's statistical margin of error. And among a wider electorate of all potential Democratic voters in California, Sanders is actually ahead by one point, 48 percent to 47 percent. Clinton and Sanders running even in California wouldn't affect the overall delegate math in the Democratic...
  • Donald Trump's Sizable Lead Among White Male Voters Increases

    06/01/2016 5:24:51 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    Yahoo! News ^ | June 1, 2016 | Meghan Keneally, ABC's Good Morning America
    A new poll of registered voters showed Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton with a slight lead over Donald Trump in a general election matchup, but the presumptive Republican nominee continued to excel among white males. The Quinnipiac University poll released today had Trump leading among white men and white women, with the gap most pronounced among white men without a college degree. The poll had Trump leading Clinton among white men, 60 percent to 26 percent, in a head-to-head matchup. Among white women, Trump had a 1 point lead, 41 percent to 40 percent, which was within the poll's margin of...
  • Trump beats Clinton among veterans, new poll says

    06/01/2016 4:19:50 PM PDT · by Innovative · 27 replies
    Stars and Stripes ^ | May 26, 2016 | Travis J. Tritten
    Donald Trump is ahead of presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton by 9 percentage points among veteran voters, according to a new national poll released Thursday. The billionaire businessman drew 47 percent and Clinton garnered 38 percent of more than 1,600 respondents who had military experience or lived with someone who served, the May polling by the group Morning Consult found.
  • Clinton and Trump in Tight Race, Poll Shows, With Votes Split on Gender Lines

    06/01/2016 11:29:14 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 16 replies
    The New York Times ^ | June 1, 2016 | Alan Rappeport
    Hillary Clinton holds a small lead over Donald J. Trump nationally, according to a poll released on Wednesday that shows United States voters sharply divided along gender and party lines. The poll, by Quinnipiac University, found that 45 percent of voters supported Mrs. Clinton, while 41 percent backed Mr. Trump. When adding candidates from other parties, such as Gary Johnson, the Libertarian nominee, and Jill Stein of the Green Party, the race becomes a virtual tie, with Mrs. Clinton leading Mr. Trump by just two percentage points. The survey had a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage...
  • Trump Has Solid Lead Over Clinton in Georgia (Trump 49%, Clinton 40%)

    PPP's new Georgia poll finds that the prospect of Democrats flipping the state blue in the Presidential race may have diminished with the unification of Republican voters around Donald Trump in the last month. Trump leads Clinton 45/38, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 6% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 2%. Georgia's a state where Trump is unpopular (44/49 favorability), but Clinton is another degree more unpopular (33/60 favorability). Clinton and Trump draw pretty identical support within their own parties. Clinton's up 86/3 with Democrats, while Trump's up 84/3 with Republicans. That inherently would give Trump the advantage in...
  • 2016 General Election - Clinton 42%, Trump 39% (Morning Consult 5/24-5/30)

    06/01/2016 8:33:02 AM PDT · by usafa92 · 9 replies
    Huffington Post/Morning Consult ^ | 6/1/2016 | Morning Consult
    While the calls for Sen. Bernie Sanders to drop out of the Democratic race have increased in recent weeks, most voters — and even Democrats — think he should stay in the contest, according to a new Morning Consult poll. A national survey of 2,001 registered voters taken last week (see toplines and crosstabs) shows 57 percent of respondents said the Vermont independent should stay in the race, compared with 28 percent who said he should drop out and 15 percent who didn’t know or had no opinion. The breakdown is similar among partisan lines. Fifty-seven percent of Democrats and...
  • Third parties could throw Clinton vs. Trump into chaos

    06/01/2016 7:53:36 AM PDT · by GonzoII · 27 replies
    New York Post ^ | June 1, 2016 | David K. Li
    An incredibly close race between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump could easily tip with minor-party candidates suddenly flexing their muscles, a new poll revealed on Wednesday. If given a choice only between the Democratic and GOP front-runners Clinton and Trump, the former secretary of state holds a slim lead of 45 percent to 41 percent, according to the latest Quinnipiac University poll. But for the first time this election cycle, Quinnipiac pollsters added Libertarian Gary Johnson and the Green Party’s Jill Stein to the mix – and they pulled in 5 percent and 3 percent, respectively. With those additional choices,...
  • CNN Poll of Polls: Two points separate Clinton and Trump

    06/01/2016 7:33:17 AM PDT · by GonzoII · 28 replies
    CNN ^ | June 1, 2016 | Jennifer Agiesta
    Washington (CNN) — With the final primaries of the 2016 nomination season approaching, a new CNN Poll of Polls finds the candidates most likely to lead their parties into the general election are locked in a tight contest. Hillary Clinton holds an average of 45% support while 43% back Donald Trump across five recent nationwide polls of registered voters. The Poll of Polls suggests a vastly different race than many anticipated. Throughout March and April, public polling on the presidential race found Clinton well ahead of Trump, with the former secretary of state holding double-digit leads over the businessman in...
  • Hillary Clinton has narrow lead over Donald Trump in Michigan: poll

    06/01/2016 7:09:24 AM PDT · by GonzoII · 34 replies
    The Washington Times ^ | Wednesday, June 1, 2016 | David Sherfinski
    Likely Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton holds about a 4-point lead over presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump in Michigan, according to a poll unveiled Wednesday. Mrs. Clinton had a 43 percent to 38.5 percent edge over Mr. Trump, according to the poll of 600 likely voters in the state released to the Detroit News and WDIV-TV.