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LINKNot too hard to figure out, folks!

Psst. Don't tell anybody, but Republicans would win control of Congress if the election were now, instead of next year. It's sure to remain the biggest political secret not in the news. Naturally, the media will ignore it; the polling company that produced the survey, Gallup, even buried it under a misleading headline. Maybe, to get some coverage, the Republicans could claim to have hidden somebody in a weather balloon, or something. The congressional election prediction is part of a one-two punch Gallup delivered Barack Obama's Chicago mob on Tuesday, albeit reluctantly.

Americans are a little less enthusiastic about the presidential candidacy of Barack Obama this time around. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 45% of adults say they would be at least somewhat likely to vote for Obama if he was up for reelection right now. Forty-nine percent (49%) say they would be unlikely to vote for the president’s reelection. Thirty-four percent (34%) would be very likely to support Obama, while 40% say they would be not at all likely to do so. The question did not specify whom the president would be running against and also was...

President Obama's overall approval rating is still at a healthy 54 percent, but a new poll suggests some weakness on major issues. The CNN/Opinion Research Corp. survey released this morning shows his approval rating down from 58 percent in the same poll in mid-September. More worrisome for the White House, the poll numbers have flipped from majority approval to majority disapproval on the economy (54 percent disapproval now, 54 percent approval in September), health care policy (57 percent disapproval now, 51 percent approval then), and the war in Afghanistan (56 percent disapproval now, 49 percent approval in August.)

It has been one year since The One became our president. Most polls today put his approval rating right about at his margin of victory of a year ago. But when people are asked about his policies, rather than his personality, well, even CNN can't spin these numbers.

Is There Late Movement to Republican Christie in NJ? Or is the World Series Affecting Who Pollsters Reach? On Election Eve in New Jersey, with a New York City team and a Philadelphia team in the World Series, Republican Chris Christie may have slight late momentum in his bid to unseat incumbent Democrat Jon Corzine, according to a SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted for WABC-TV. The candidates remain today within the theoretical margin of sampling error, as they have been in each of SurveyUSA's 5 tracking NJ polls. At the wire, Christie 45%, Corzine 42%. Interviews were conducted Friday 10/30/09 through...

With one day to go before the closely watched New Jersey governor’s race, Republican challenger Chris Christie has taken a slight lead over Gov. Jon Corzine in two new polls released this morning. Christie, a former US attorney, led Corzine by six points, 47 percent to the Democrat’s 41 percent, according to a Public Policy Polling survey of almost 1000 Garden State voters. Independent candidate Chris Dagger racks up 11 percent of the vote in the PPP survey. The Quinnipiac poll shows a much tighter race, with Christie leading by a mere two points, which is within the poll’s 2.5...

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 27% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -13 (see trends). Following release of the House health care plan by Speaker Nancy Pelosi, 42% of voters now support the Congressional effort while 54% are opposed. In October, 37.8% of American adults considered themselves to be Democrats while 31.9% are Republicans. The number of Democrats has been inching up steadily since July. The Presidential Approval Index...

Democratic Polling Outfit Public Policy Polling (PPP) is out with new polls today for the three main races slated for tomorrow, and they show strong movement toward Republican / Conservative candidates in all three! In New Jersey, PPP now has the GOP's Chris Christie leading Democrat Jon Corzine 47% - 41%, with Daggett at 11%. In New York's 23rd District Congressional Race, PPP now has Conservative Doug Hoffman leading Democrat Bill Owens 51% - 34%, with now dropped-out Dede Scozzafava at 13% (her name is still on the ballot). In the Virginia Governor's race, PPP now shows Republican Bob McDonnell...

Chris Christie leads Jon Corzine 47-41 in PPP's final poll of the New Jersey Governor's race, with Chris Daggett at 11%. Corzine had pulled to within a point of Christie on our poll three weeks ago after trailing by as many as 14 points over the summer, but his momentum has stalled since then and Christie's built his lead back up to 4 points last week and now 6. Christie's advantage is due largely to his support from independents and because he has Republicans more unified around him than the Democrats are around Corzine. Christie leads Corzine 52-29 with indies,...

Comments about 5182824250 number: Rating: 0 none - 24 Oct 2007 Myer Associates. They're a Telemarketer. Called and hung up. I called the number and they said they make calls for political campaigns and other stuff (products. etc.). I complained about the call and hang-up. The rep said he would remove me from their list within 24 hrs. Caller Type: Telemarketer Reply Rating: 0 upstateny - 27 Nov 2007 I get phone calls from this number too. They are calling on behalf of the Obama campaign, to which I had made a donation to about a year ago. They are...

A Mason-Dixon poll reported today in our local newsrag shows Republican gubernatorial candidate Bob McDonnell maintaining a strong lead over Democrat Creigh Deeds. The poll results have McDonnell up by 12 points, with only 6 per cent of voters undecided. These numbers are almost exactly the same as the aggregate of eight earlier polls analyzed in Friday's report, Virginia Election -- A Hammer And Tongs Finish.

(See all these news nuggets and more by clicking the excerpt link below): 1. BBC News: “Darwin Teaching ‘Divides Opinion’” Darwinism is a controversial topic, and many believe creation should be taught in the classroom. But why is that news? 2. ScienceDaily: “Junk DNA Mechanism that Prevents Two Species from Reproducing Discovered” Has the U.S. government finally supported creationist research? Alas, no, but the results of a National Institutes of Health study fit squarely within the young-earth creation framework. 3. PhysOrg: “Charles Darwin Really Did Have Advanced Ideas about the Origin of Life” Charles Darwin was convinced that life’s origin...

A poll released Friday by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research confirms the Republican ticket’s lead in the statewide Virginia races. Focusing on the two down-ticket slots -- Lieutenant Governor and Attorney General -- Mason-Dixon found the GOP candidates leading in almost all areas of the state

Republican Chris Christie continues to hold a three-point advantage over incumbent Democrat Jon Corzine in New Jersey's down-to-the-wire race for governor. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state, conducted Thursday night, shows Christie with 46% of the vote and Corzine with 43%. Those numbers are unchanged from earlier in the week and little changed from polling conducted the week before. The last four Rasmussen Reports polls have shown Christie with a very slight advantage ranging from two to four percentage points each time.

As Virginia's off-year election nears the finish, the statewide Republican ticket has jumped out to a huge lead in the final week of the contest. What is remarkable about this contest is the hammer-and-tongs finishing push by the Republicans, which may signify the return of the Republican killer instinct -- the will to win overcoming the internecine bickering that has marked the GOP's poor performances in recent years.

Just how dumb are Obama voters? Well...dumb enough to have elected a man to the highest office based upon the same credentials that "earned" him the 2009 Nobel Peace Prize. So what's their excuse today, now that they are witnessing President Obama's executive leadership in action? Well, for one, more Americans are discovering their inner conservative. If 8 years of President Bush in no small measure lost us the '08 election and set the conservative movement one step back, President Obama in one year's worth of governance will most likely cost the Democrats 2010 (actually, Dems in Congress who choose...

Could a dynasty of Reids, Harry and son Rory, both get elected to high office in Nevada a year from now? Of course, Harry Reid is the highest-ranking Mormon in political office. His son, not as well-known outside of Nevada, is also running for governor. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., is looking at a tough battle in his home state. More than half of likely Nevada voters think Harry Reid is a "weak" leader -- with 84 percent of Reid's Democratic base supporting a public option for health care reform, according to a poll sponsored by a progressive group...

I'm supporting: The White House on this one; Fox News isn't "fair and balanced." Fox News on this one; it asks questions others don't and the White House should be able to handle them. Neither side. They're both trying to play this "feud" to their advantage.

PRINCETON, NJ -- After peaking at 59% last November, Vice President Joe Biden's favorable rating continues to decline and now stands at 42%. That barely exceeds his 40% unfavorable rating, and is easily his worst evaluation since last year's Democratic National Convention. Independents' opinions of Biden have declined more steadily since the post-election high mark, and now 32% of independents view the vice president favorably.

During the Bush years, we heard often from the Left that Bush divided the country. To me this statement didn’t make sense, because for example in 1996, President Clinton got barely half of the popular vote during his reelection campaign, while the other half voted against him. What is that if not a divided country? Besides, if “the system” is that it is the president, and not his critics that divide the country, we should assume that President Obama is at fault for dividing the country following his unifying win of last year November. Don’t you agree? If Obama will...

Even as Obama’s proposals for healthcare changes attracted two key swing votes in the Senate Finance Committee (Republican Olympia Snowe and Democrat Blanche Lincoln), public opinion is turning ever more hostile to the proposed changes. Inside the Beltway, the plan looks unstoppable. Outside it, the legislation looks DOA. Which version of reality is the correct one?

"It ain't over till it's over," said the philosopher Yogi Berra. As every sports fan knows, momentum can change in a hurry. The opponent can make a costly mistake that opens the door, a key play can give your team the edge, or you may simply catch a lucky break that changes the course of the game. In what has become the defining issue of the moment, President Obama and the Democrats are attempting to paint passage of ObamaCare as inevitable, and survey ratings that many Americans expect some form of ObamaCare to pass. There are many hurdles to be...

In the brief age of Obama, we have had "truthers," "birthers," Tea Party activists and town-hall dissenters. Comes now, the "Oath Keepers." And who might they be? Writes Alan Maimon in the Las Vegas Review-Journal, Oath Keepers, depending on where one stands, are "either strident defenders of liberty or dangerous peddlers of paranoia." Formed in March, they are ex-military and police who repledge themselves to defend the Constitution, even if it means disobeying orders. If the U.S. government ordered law enforcement agencies to violate Second Amendment rights by disarming the people, Oath Keepers will not obey. "The whole point of...

We were always told Barack Obama would do something spectacular, that he would shatter previous presidential records – and now he has. The One has recorded the sharpest slump in popularity rating of any US president at this stage in office for 50 years. Nor is that figure just a snapshot of a bad week: it reflects his average daily approval rating for the past quarter of the year – running at 53 per cent. Considering it stood at 78 per cent last January, that is impressive work. So, a 25 per cent fall in electoral support over nine months...

A majority of gun owners think President Obama wants to ban gun sales. A new Gallup poll shows 55 percent of those who own a gun, 53 percent who have a gun in the household, and 41 percent of all Americans believe he will attempt to ban the sale of guns while he is president. This concern is greater among Republicans and people living in the South and Midwest than among Democrats or those living on either coast. It also helps explain the sharp increases in sales of guns and ammunition. There are reports that U.S. bullet-makers are working around...

Both men seeking the Republican nomination to become Florida’s next U.S. senator lead their likely Democratic opponent by double digits. A new Rasmussen Reports survey of Florida voters shows Governor Charlie Crist leading Representative Kendrick Meek by a 46% to 34% margin. In August, Crist led by 19 and in June he was ahead by 21. Former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio leads Meek by a similar margin, 46% to 31%. In August, Rubio led by 13 percentage points. Crist currently holds a 49% to 35% lead over Rubio among likely Republican Primary voters.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Three-in-ten Americans think their current head of state was not born in the United States, according to a poll by Angus Reid Strategies. 70 per cent of respondents believe Barack Obama was born in the U.S., while 30 per cent do not. While only 13 per cent of Democratic Party supporters believe Obama was not born in the U.S., the proportion rises to 25 per cent among Independents and 51 per cent among Republican Party backers. In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2008,...

CARACAS, Venezuela – Hugo Chavez's support has declined in the polls as many Venezuelans say they are fed up with 27 percent inflation, a stagnant economy, faulty public services — and a government they see as incapable of doing much about it. .. "Whatever he offers, everything gets half-done," said Maria Martinez, a 32-year-old who once voted for Chavez but now is disenchanted. She says the government's health programs are insufficient, and the $500 or so she earns each month selling books in the street is no longer enough to support her five children. She said water reaches her Caracas...

WASHINGTON — The number of Americans who believe there is solid evidence that the Earth is warming because of pollution is at its lowest point in three years. That's the conclusion of a national survey released Thursday by the Pew Research Center for the People&the Press. The poll of 1,500 adults found that only 57 percent believe there is strong scientific evidence that the Earth has gotten warmer. The steepest drop occurred over the last year, as Congress and the Obama administration have taken steps to control heat-trapping emissions for the first time. Half the respondents still said they supported...

President Obama's push for health care reform during the third quarter of 2009 has seriously damaged his public standing, according to new data from the Gallup Daily tracking poll. His job approval rating dropped nine points from the second to the third quarter, from 62 percent to 53 percent. The nine-point second-to-third quarter drop is the highest Gallup has ever measured for an incumbent president during his first year in office, and among the highest quarter-to-quarter drops measured for any president at any point: "Obama's 9-point slide between quarters ranks as one of the steepest for a president at any...

The Washington Post poll is the latest example of a "public poll" in the past 2–3 weeks that curiously shows a growing number of Americans supportive of the "public option." AP and Gallup were others. This is agenda-driven polling. The fact is: Asking an ignorant public about the "public option" is incomplete polling. It calls for a response to feel-good phraseology rather than a probing of underlying ideology. "Public option" in health care is not so different from "campaign-finance reform," "Violence against Women's Act," "revenue enhancements," and such.

The GOP contenders are polling well in the race to become the state's next governor, while the current governor, Jennifer Granholm, continues to struggle in the approval ratings. Those are the findings of a new wide-ranging poll from EPIC-MRA , done for WOOD TV8 and our broadcast partners, released Tuesday. President Obama's statewide numbers are also down, with an equal number of respondents (48-48) having a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the president. Granholm is viewed negatively by 66% of the respondents, with 33% having a positive view. However, that's a slight improvement from the previous month (68-32.)

The GOP advantage over Democrats increased from two points to five in the latest edition of the Generic Congressional Ballot. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 42% would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate while 37% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent.

Have you heard the news? President Obama inherited an economic mess from the Bush administration. You say that's hardly news? But it's been the message sounded over and over by the White House. Top Obama adviser David Axelrod said on one of the Sunday news shows, "He walked in the door, we had the worst economy since the Great Depression." In San Francisco, Obama talked of being "busy with our mop." White House heavy hitter Rahm Emanuel used the worst-economy-since-the-Depression line on a public TV news show.

Late last week, Democratic-leaning pollster Stan Greenberg released a focus group study showing that conservative GOP base voters live in an alternative universe of their own political paranoia. In this world, President Obama is ruthlessly advancing a secret agenda to ruin -- yes, ruin -- the economy so he can impose socialism upon the United States and destroy the core civil liberties of American democracy. And in this covert crusade, Obama is no more than a frontman for unseen interests aiming to annihilate the United States. This dark view was propounded by die-hard right-wingers -- older, white Republican-base voters --...

My sense is that Democratic leaders think they have been making progress on the health care front, in the wake of the CBO's relatively benign assessment of the Baucus version of their proposal (which is not, of course, the one that Congress will eventually vote on). But Scott Rasmussen finds a remarkable stability in voters' opinions about health care reform. If anything, the anti-"reform" consensus seems to be hardening:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 30% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -10. This is the fourth straight day the Approval Index has been in negative double digits

I reconfigured my settings a while back, and noticed a few days later that the Freeper Poll no longer showed up on the forum page. I went to the settings, moved the "opinion polls" section, and checked again. No polls ever show up. Of course, there is a chance that the "polls" category has nothing to do with the freeper polls, and is actually for posting of online polls. If that is the case, I'm not getting that, either. It's bad enough that I chose to put "GOP" on the end of my freeper name, long before I knew that...

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows that 29% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Thirty-nine percent (39%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -10 (see trends). .....

The latest Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll is out about health care reform, and the news isn't good for the president. As health care legislation moves out of the Senate Finance Committee, a majority of Americans says they oppose the reforms being considered. A Fox News poll released Thursday finds that by 54 percent to 35 percent, Americans oppose the reforms.

In what may be the ultimate job rating, 43 percent of voters say that they would vote to re-elect President Obama if the 2012 election were held today, down from 52 percent six months ago, from April 22-23, 2009. Obama's job approval rating comes in at 49 percent this week. That's down just one percentage point from late September, but it marks a new low approval for the president -- and the first time the Fox News poll has measured his approval below 50 percent.

Republican-turned-Democratic Senator Arlen Specter trails potential GOP challenger Pat Toomey by five points in an early look at Pennsylvania's 2010 Senate race. But another Democrat, Joe Sestak, runs dead-even with the likely Republican candidate. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Pennsylvania voters shows 45% would vote for Toomey if the election were held today. Forty percent (40%) would vote for Specter, while six percent (6%) prefer a third option. Nine percent (9%) are undecided. If Sestak wins the Democratic nomination, however, the race is a toss-up: 38% for Sestak and 37% for Toomey.

Republican-turned-Democratic Senator Arlen Specter trails potential GOP challenger Pat Toomey by five points in an early look at Pennsylvania's 2010 Senate race. But another Democrat, Joe Sestak, runs dead-even with the likely Republican candidate. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Pennsylvania voters shows 45% would vote for Toomey if the election were held today. Forty percent (40%) would vote for Specter, while six percent (6%) prefer a third option. Nine percent (9%) are undecided. If Sestak wins the Democratic nomination, however, the race is a toss-up: 38% for Sestak and 37% for Toomey. In August, Sestak trailed Specter by...

Yes No

Do you support Sen. Snowe's decision YES NO I'll never vote for her again

Sixty-four percent of American Jews approve of the job President Obama is doing, significantly higher than both the national average and the ratings the president received from the other religious groups surveyed, according to a new Gallup poll. President Barack Obama Gallup also found that while Obama’s job approval rating among Jews is down from 83 percent at the beginning of the year, he experienced the same percent drop among the general population. According to an analysis from the polling company, the equal rates of decline indicate that Obama’s policies on Israel and the Middle East have not had a...

Political handicappers are looking at the 2010 Senate contests and they see lots of blue seats turning purple and red before their eyes.

It seems that the public is not behind the measure. Is there a Dick Morris in this White House to explain these things to the Man of Peace? Pollster dot com published this chart of all available polls on favor/oppose for health-care reform:

We all know in a presidential election year there is a surge in the number of people following political news and the intensity with which they’re paying attention to it. This is usually followed by a precipitous drop in the year that follows as the big decision has been made and Americans can continue going about their business as usual. In this respect, the 2008 election was no different, nor is this year following it. Gallup national survey tracking shows that 43% of Americans say they “very closely” followed news about national politics last year, up from 30% in 2007....