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The Real Republican Deal -- Kris Kobach, Kansas 3rd Congressional District
NRO - National Review Online ^ | Aug. 6, 2004 | Deroy Murdock

Posted on 08/06/2004 9:37:25 AM PDT by The Ghost of FReepers Past

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The Real Republican Deal
Will &#8220;Landslide Kobach&#8221; pull it off?

In case you think your vote doesn't count, consider Kansas's 3rd congressional district.

After Tuesday's Republican primary, first-time candidate Kris Kobach won 38,124 votes to 38,037 for 2002 GOP nominee, Adam Taff. (State Rep. Patricia Lightner captured the remaining 9,944 votes, or 11.54 percent of the total.) "Landslide Kobach" currently leads by just 87 votes or 44.28 percent to Taff's 44.18 percent.

The 38-year-old University of Missouri, Kansas City professor of legislation and Constitutional law hopes his microscopic lead will stick. Some 3,700 provisional ballots — cast, for instance, by seemingly legitimate people whose current addresses differ from those in precinct records — will be counted by Monday. Conservatives and libertarians should cross their fingers for Kobach.

I have known Kris Kobach since I was a Georgetown University junior, and he was a Harvard-bound high-school senior. We both earned scholarships from the Washington Crossing Foundation, a Bristol, Pennsylvania nonprofit that provides financial assistance to incoming college students planning careers in public affairs. I met Kris at a 1984 gathering of old and new scholarship winners.

Kobach was then and remains a terribly bright, engaging, and personable patriot. The former White House fellow and Oxford graduate has written clear-headed, hard-hitting opinion pieces for the New York Post on terrorism and immigration, among other topics. He also took a leave from his teaching duties between September 2001 and July 2003 to serve as counsel to John Ashcroft.

"In the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks," Kobach says, "Attorney General Ashcroft asked me to find new ways to keep terrorists out of the United States. Our borders are our most important line of defense in protecting the U.S. against another terrorist attack. Our enemy's platoons in the war against terrorism do not wear uniforms of camouflage green."

Kobach secured the pre-primary endorsements of U.S. Senator Jeff Sessions (R., Alab.), as well as U.S. Representatives Thomas Tancredo (R., Col.), Lamar Smith (R., Tex.), and John Hostettler (R., Ind.).

"I have worked closely with Kris Kobach in drafting bills for proposal in the U.S. Senate," Sessions said. "In every instance, his legal expertise and energy have been impressive. He would make a fine member of Congress."

Rep. Smith added: "I have worked with Kris Kobach to secure our borders against terrorism, and I have seen what he has achieved for the Bush administration and for America. He will be able to make a major contribution in Congress from the day that he is sworn in."

"Kris Kobach is a free market conservative with courage, conviction, and unbendable principles," says Club for Growth president (and NRO writer) Steve Moore. "That will make him quite unique in the United States House of Representatives." Club for Growth's PAC has donated the legal maximum to Kobach's campaign.

So far, Kobach has benefited from a specific act of loyalty by his supporters. On July 24, he and the Taff campaign both planned literature drops, Kobach recalls. "That morning, it started to rain," he says. "Taff cancelled his lit drop at 9:00 A.M. We went ahead with ours. We had 100 volunteers in the rain, each handing out about 500 pieces of literature. So, we blanketed the district with about 50,000 handouts." It's entirely possible that Team Kobach's rain-soaked resilience pushed them over the top last Tuesday.

If those provisional ballots cooperate, Kobach will maintain his first-past-the-post edge and secure the GOP congressional nomination. If so, he will have beaten the more moderate Adam Taff who, for example, praises President Bush's disastrous Medicare prescription-drug entitlement. Kobach correctly describes it as an LBJ-style boondoggle.

The GOP nominee will face incumbent Democratic Rep. Dennis Moore. He outspent Taff two-to-one in 2002, but only scored 50 percent of the vote. In 2000, G.W. Bush beat Albert Gore 53 percent to 42 in this constituency. According to the Republican National Congressional Committee, "the Third District represents one of the most promising Republican pick-up opportunities of the cycle."

If Kobach can hold on to his wafer-thin margin, then show Moore that there's no place like home, free-marketeers can expect to see someone hardcore, whip smart, young, handsome, and tough on Capitol Hill. Should he be sworn in next January, Kris Kobach will be among the few, the proud in Congress: A Republican who behaves like a Republican.

 

     


 

 
http://www.nationalreview.com/murdock/murdock200408060857.asp
     



TOPICS: Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Kansas
KEYWORDS: adamtaff; dennismoore; kansasprimary; kriskobach; ksthriddistrict

1 posted on 08/06/2004 9:37:26 AM PDT by The Ghost of FReepers Past
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To: The Ghost of FReepers Past

It is better to light a single candle than to curse the darkness.

Good news.


2 posted on 08/06/2004 9:43:19 AM PDT by headsonpikes (Spirit of '76 bttt!)
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To: axel f

Kansas / Kobach ping!


3 posted on 08/06/2004 10:13:58 AM PDT by ILBBACH
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To: The Ghost of FReepers Past

I voted for him, Go Kobach!!!!!


4 posted on 08/06/2004 11:05:28 AM PDT by Stellar Dendrite
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To: Stellar Dendrite

I saw a brief bit on the news about the Wyandotte provisional ballots giving Kobach about 100 more votes and Taff 200. That seems pretty suspicious to me. Kobach won Wyandotte Country. Why would the provisional ballots break 2 to 1 for Taff?


5 posted on 08/06/2004 11:13:16 AM PDT by The Ghost of FReepers Past (Legislatures are so outdated. If you want real political victory, take your issue to court.)
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To: Stellar Dendrite
I likewise voted and contributed to Kobach's campaign.
6 posted on 08/06/2004 11:13:27 AM PDT by GarySpFc (Sneakypete, De Oppresso Liber)
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To: Stellar Dendrite
Below is the breakdown of the Wyandotte county votes. Out of approx. 5,000 total votes, Kobach received 177 more than Taff, or 2%. So how did Taff get 200 provisional votes out of 300? Do more dummies vote Taff? Is that what we are supposed to assume?

CANDIDATE COUNTY VOTES COUNTY % STATE VOTES STATE %
R-Kris Kobach 2274 46 % 38124 44 %
R-Patricia Lightner 609 12 % 10629 12 %
R-Adam Taff 2097 42 % 38037 44 %

7 posted on 08/06/2004 11:23:31 AM PDT by The Ghost of FReepers Past (Legislatures are so outdated. If you want real political victory, take your issue to court.)
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To: GarySpFc
Update:

Margin In 3rd Congressional District GOP Race Narrows
Kobach Leads Taff By 82 Votes

POSTED: 1:13 pm CDT August 6, 2004
UPDATED: 1:27 pm CDT August 6, 2004

KANSAS CITY, Kan. -- Wyandotte County election officials reviewed its provisional ballots Friday.

KMBC's Donna Pitman reported that Kris Kobach now leads GOP rival Adam Taff by only 82 votes. Taff picked up five net votes.

Provisional ballots are set aside by election officials because they aren't sure those who cast them are eligible to vote in a particular precinct or race.

Each ballot is kept in a sealed envelope until a county canvassing board decides whether it should be counted.

There were several hundred provisional ballots between Wyandotte and Douglas counties.

The third county in the district, Johnson, has about 2,800 provisional ballots, which officials plan to review on Monday.

Copyright 2004 by TheKansasCityChannel.com. The Associated Press contributed to this report. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

8 posted on 08/06/2004 1:20:33 PM PDT by The Ghost of FReepers Past (Legislatures are so outdated. If you want real political victory, take your issue to court.)
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To: The Ghost of FReepers Past

"So how did Taff get 200 provisional votes out of 300?"



Are they saying that Taff got 200 provisional votes out of 300 in Wyandotte?


9 posted on 08/06/2004 1:20:49 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice, moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue.)
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To: AuH2ORepublican

That's what one idiot reporter said on the noon news. Turns out that's not the case. Taff picked up 5 votes in Wyandotte. There are 2800 provisional votes yet to be examined in JoCo. My current understanding is that that is an all inclusive number. It includes all parties. So, of that 2800, you eliminate the Dems, Libertarians, and those ballots deemed disqualified for one reason or another, then you count the votes. I believe that happens on Monday.


10 posted on 08/06/2004 1:25:14 PM PDT by The Ghost of FReepers Past (Legislatures are so outdated. If you want real political victory, take your issue to court.)
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To: AuH2ORepublican

If the percentages are consistent, Taff will be unable to make up the 82 vote deficit.


11 posted on 08/06/2004 1:26:50 PM PDT by The Ghost of FReepers Past (Legislatures are so outdated. If you want real political victory, take your issue to court.)
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To: AuH2ORepublican

No it appears that when all was said and done, Taff picked up a net 5 votes in Wyandotte. So Kobach still leads by 82 votes.


12 posted on 08/06/2004 1:27:14 PM PDT by Non-Sequitur (Jefferson Davis - the first 'selected, not elected' president.)
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To: The Ghost of FReepers Past; JohnnyZ

"The third county in the district, Johnson, has about 2,800 provisional ballots, which officials plan to review on Monday."



Damn, that's a lot of ballots. Assuming 2,500 of them were legally cast, Taff has to beat Koback by only 3.32% among the provisional ballots in order to surpass his 82-vote lead. Taff led Koback in Johnson County by only 0.25%, but since the provisional ballots in Wyandotte and Douglas Counties turned out to be more pro-Taff than average, I don't think Kobach is in the clear yet.


13 posted on 08/06/2004 1:33:19 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice, moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue.)
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To: The Ghost of FReepers Past; JohnnyZ; Non-Sequitur

"There are 2800 provisional votes yet to be examined in JoCo. My current understanding is that that is an all inclusive number. It includes all parties. So, of that 2800, you eliminate the Dems, Libertarians, and those ballots deemed disqualified for one reason or another, then you count the votes."



Given the fact that Democrat registration in Johnson County is nowhere near as high as GOP registration there, and the fact that the GOP primary was hotly contested while the Democrats didn't have any prominent primaries in the county, I have to assume that around 1,800 of those provisional ballots were cast for the GOP Congressional primary. That increases the percentage margin that Taff would need among those ballots to 4.61%, while his percentage margin in the county was only 0.25%. I feel a lot better now regarding Kobach's odds of holding on, but I don't think it's a sure thing, either.

I also hope Taff doesn't go all Al Gore on us and sues.


14 posted on 08/06/2004 1:40:02 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice, moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue.)
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To: AuH2ORepublican

2800 is all inclusive. In other words, that includes Democrats and third party voters. So Taff would have to win an even bigger percentage than 3.32%.


15 posted on 08/06/2004 1:41:33 PM PDT by The Ghost of FReepers Past (Legislatures are so outdated. If you want real political victory, take your issue to court.)
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To: AuH2ORepublican

I think your assumption is right. I know the KCStar solicits Democrats to become Republicans for a day just to influence the outcome. Still, some Dems voted Dem.


16 posted on 08/06/2004 1:46:23 PM PDT by The Ghost of FReepers Past (Legislatures are so outdated. If you want real political victory, take your issue to court.)
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To: AuH2ORepublican
I also hope Taff doesn't go all Al Gore on us and sues.

He's already said he wouldn't. Kobach has said the same thing, although neither one will rule out the possibility of a recount. Nor should they.

17 posted on 08/06/2004 1:54:49 PM PDT by Non-Sequitur (Jefferson Davis - the first 'selected, not elected' president.)
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To: The Ghost of FReepers Past
To all interested Kansas voters, when my husband and I (Kobach supporters and donors) went separately, there were a total of nine people attempting to vote in the Republican Primary who were not Republicans. Some idiot just in front of me stated that he was an Independent but wanted to vote in the Republican Primary, the election volunteer stated that he had to declare himself a Republican and he could do so. The guy said that he did not want to declare himself as a Republican then the lady said that since the DemocRAT primary was open to all registered voters so he reluctantly took that ballot. Another man was at the voting booth demanding that he did not get the correct ballot, and after checking with the worker was told that the man was indeed a DemocRAT but he kept insisting that he wanted a Repupblican ballot> I heard Tuesday that some woman in Olathe (big conservative enclave, was told after voting that her vote did not count because she had put her card into the machine incorrectly and when she complained the election worker told her that "that machine had had trouble all day and kept doing that." Does anyone wonder that machines with problems might be put in particularly conservative precincts?

This was the plan all along by the so-called Moderates running the Republican Party in Kansas. Thankfully, the conservatives beat those turn coats who wanted to turn over the party to whomever the Democrats would like to beat.

18 posted on 08/06/2004 2:07:12 PM PDT by zerosix
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To: AuH2ORepublican
Read my earlier reply about "faulty" machines in Olathe.
19 posted on 08/06/2004 2:08:30 PM PDT by zerosix
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To: zerosix

"Does anyone wonder that machines with problems might be put in particularly conservative precincts?"



Very interesting. You should write a letter to the editor about your experience on primary day.


20 posted on 08/06/2004 2:31:34 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice, moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue.)
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