Replies

North Carolina has 13 house seats 7 Republicans 6 Democrats I doubt this will change this year for a make up of what can happen in these districts.

Democrat
1. Has a registration of 77% Democrats and 48% black voters.
It is not and will not be in play.

Democrat
2. The Republicans won this seat in 1994 and probably
it had the congressman not lost because of a scandal
in 1996. Since then redistricting has made it slightly
Democratic but when the current congressman, Bobby
Etheridge retires it could be comparative.

Republican
3. Despite what some people think, Walter Jones, jr. has
this seat as long as he wants it. When he retires the
seat has been drawn for Democratic Senate leader Marc
Basnight to take if he wants it, but he may not run,
the Republicans have made overtures to Basnight to
in the past. Jones was a Democratic legislator so who
knows.

Democrat
4. Although the GOP has won this on two occasions, 1984
and 1994, but they lost it back fairly easily both
times, this is the Chapel Hill district.

Republican
5. Just this week I read that this could be the Rodney
Alexander district of 2004, who knew then, this
is a Republican district, the Democrats are
united on a conservative county commissioner, and
the Republicans are very divided. Still if Foxx
wins this primary, I think she will, she will
probably win in November and even Jim Harrell
have a difficult time holding this seat as a
Democrat.

Republican
6. Is not likely to be competitive when Howard
retires, which I think will be in 2006, but
it will be an interesting primary.

Democrat
7. The Republicans have been courting Mike McIntyre
since he was elected. He is a very conservative
Democrat, as is the make up of the district. I
think McIntrye could win as a Republican but as
a Democrat he is unchallengeable. When he retires,
not anytime soon, a like minded Democrat will
probably replace him.

Republican
8. Robin Hayes has done an exceptional job holding this
seat. When he retires it could be close depending
on who runs either party could win.

Republican
9. The GOP has held this seat, 1952, longer than any
other seat in south, save the Tenn. 1st and 2nd,
I see no reason for that to change.

Republican
10. The Republicans are in a bitter primary, but the
Democrats have a very weak candidate, the runoff
winner, Huffman I think will easily win in
November.

Republican
11. I hear that Asheville is becoming a pillar of
liberalism, but the rest of the district is
not, when Charles Taylor retires, within the
next four years, the Dems have a shot but
the GOP has a better one.

Democrat
12. Is not competitive.

Democrat
13. In the right circumstances the GOP could win this seat
holding it is another question.

The legislature is currently
Senate 27 D
23 R
House 61 R
59 D
but the Democrats effectively control the house because of Rino's. This is important because this was a watershed year for state politics. Instead of crossing the bar a group of dissident house Republicans did as Walter Jones, Jr said "Set the party back 20 to 50 years". I do not know if that will be true but they did lose a golden opportunity to gain the Senate, and possibly keep the house and those do not come around often.