Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: Double DDs

"The weather formula used by the 188-year-old Farmers' Almanac is a closely guarded secret. Prepared two years in advance, the forecasts are based on sunspots, the position of the planets and tidal action of the moon."

If forecasting weather is so easy, two years in advance no less, how come the daily weather person is OFTEN wrong?


2 posted on 08/29/2004 2:21:06 PM PDT by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


To: nmh
"how come the daily weather person is OFTEN wrong?"

Actually, you'd be suprised how much they are righton. It's around 90 percent. We just notice when they're wrong!

Mike

3 posted on 08/29/2004 2:23:22 PM PDT by MichaelP
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies ]

To: nmh

I didn't realize that "often" is defined by only maybe 5-10 times an ENTIRE YEAR.

Weather forecasters are very accurate.


5 posted on 08/29/2004 2:25:12 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (BYPASS FORCED WEB REGISTRATION! **** http://www.bugmenot.com ****)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies ]

To: nmh

Did the almanac predict this unusually cool summer in North America and Europe?


36 posted on 08/29/2004 4:18:38 PM PDT by ValerieUSA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies ]

To: nmh
If forecasting weather is so easy, two years in advance no less, how come the daily weather person is OFTEN wrong?

As others have pointed out the weatherman is remarkably right most of the time. Besides that, the almanac is predicting a seasonal average, the weatherman is predicting a binary (as far as most people see it) set, good or bad. Averages give a lot more leeway.

45 posted on 08/29/2004 4:55:59 PM PDT by Phsstpok (often wrong, but never in doubt)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson