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Bush To Alter Economic Stats Again (Barf alert??)
misleader.org ^ | Sept 1, 2004 | misleader.org

Posted on 09/02/2004 5:36:35 AM PDT by Apple Pan Dowdy

Last week, the Census Bureau released statistics showing that for the first time in years, poverty had increased for three straight years, while the number of Americans without health care increased to a record level.1 But instead of changing its economic and health care policies, the Bush administration today is announcing plans to change the way the statistics are compiled. The move is just the latest in a series of actions by the White House to doctor or eliminate longstanding and nonpartisan economic data collection methods.

In a Bush administration press release yesterday, the Census Bureau said next week it "will announce a new economic indicator" as "an additional tool to better understand" the economy. The change in statistics is being directed by Bush political appointees and comes just 60 days from the election. It will be the first modification of Census data in 40 years.2

This is not the first time the White House has tried to doctor or manipulate economic data that exposed President Bush's failed policies. In the face of serious job losses last year, the Associated Press reported "the Bush administration has dropped the government's monthly report on mass layoffs, which also had been eliminated when President Bush's father was in office."3 Similarly, Business Week reported that the White House this year "unilaterally changed the start date of the last recession to benefit Bush's reelection bid." For almost 75 years, the start and end dates of recessions have been set by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), a private nonpartisan research group. But the Bush administration decided to toss aside the NBER, and simply declare that the recession started under President Clinton.4

Sources:
"Census: Poverty up in 2003," The Olympian, 9/01/04.
Census Bureau press release, 8/31/04.
"Monthly report on mass layoffs dropped," Shawnee News-Star, 1/05/03.
"Inventing The 'Clinton Recession'," Business Week Online, 2/23/04.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bush; economy; statistics
Misleader.org says it is presented as a service of MoveOn.org. A Dem friend sent this to me today as evidence that Bush is causing economic ruin and job losses.

I am not an economist, and do not know exactly how to to refute this argument. I need the help of some of you FReepers who are experts on this to help me out. What do I say to him?????

1 posted on 09/02/2004 5:36:35 AM PDT by Apple Pan Dowdy
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To: Apple Pan Dowdy

The Wall Street Journal had an excellent article on the poverty stats last week. I no longer have the link.

The article said that the poverty rate today is the exact same rate as it was during 7 of Clinton's 8 years.


2 posted on 09/02/2004 5:42:04 AM PDT by Peach (The Clinton's pardoned more terrorists than they ever captured or killed.)
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To: Apple Pan Dowdy

Borrow Cheney's comforting words to "Leaky Leahy" Tell "Go F*** Yourself"


3 posted on 09/02/2004 5:43:06 AM PDT by MJY1288 (John Kerry Says he Would Conduct a More Thoughtful and Sensitive War on Terror)
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To: Apple Pan Dowdy

"while the number of Americans without health care increased to a record level"

Is it me, or wouldn't a growing population keep this true perpetually unless there was a drastic drop in percentage of people w/out h.c.?


4 posted on 09/02/2004 5:45:49 AM PDT by Flightdeck (Procrastinate later)
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To: Apple Pan Dowdy

You have to go into how the statistic are compiled.
One good example is, if you are a millionaire (gobs of money in the bank), and you have no record of having a job for the last year or so, you are put on the poverty rolls because you don't have a "job".

I've been out of work for about 3 months. I'm sure I'll be on the poverty list soon, though I am not poor.

Also, not related but a point I would like to mention, is that I can recall when a 5% unemployment rate was considered full employment. It was understood that 5% of the populus was unemployable. Today they say that it is unacceptable.

It's all in how each administration wants to play with the numbers.


5 posted on 09/02/2004 5:49:29 AM PDT by mark3681
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To: Apple Pan Dowdy

well you have to ask yourself how bad are the lives of people who live in "Poverty". I was a substitute teacher in a "poverty" stricken area and those kids had nicer clothes that I did and they all had cd player walkmen and had the latest gaming system and I am still playing Bonk on turbographix 16.


6 posted on 09/02/2004 5:50:08 AM PDT by escapefromboston (Hal Jordan returns!)
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To: Apple Pan Dowdy

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1200218/posts

I have a liberal friend who always sends negative emails to me about the economy, sob stories, etc. Check out the link above.


7 posted on 09/02/2004 5:51:54 AM PDT by gattaca (Great things can be accomplished if you don't care who gets the credit. Ronald Reagan)
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To: escapefromboston

Good point.
The "Poor" in this country are much better off than most of the middle class in Europe.
Poor to me is "The Depression" type poor, when there really weren't jobs to be had.


8 posted on 09/02/2004 5:52:30 AM PDT by mark3681
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To: mark3681

"...a point I would like to mention, is that I can recall when a 5% unemployment rate was considered full employment."


Remember - 911 changed everything!!! What was, was. What is, is.


9 posted on 09/02/2004 5:54:23 AM PDT by familyofman (people think I'm insane because I am frowning all the time)
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To: familyofman

My point exactly.
Even after 9/11 we still only have 5% unemployment.
Not bad!


10 posted on 09/02/2004 6:01:10 AM PDT by mark3681
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To: gattaca
Thanks, gattaca, that is an excellent link and reference and I think there is enough evidence here to make a darn good arguement.

I would encourage other FReepers to be ready to do so too!

11 posted on 09/02/2004 6:14:12 AM PDT by Apple Pan Dowdy (... as American as Apple Pie)
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To: Apple Pan Dowdy
"while the number of Americans without health care increased to a record level" I love this myth because all one needs to do is look at the numbers that came out... The people w/ out health insurance that grew were the wealthiest, those that did not need it. The number of uninsured poor dropped. I repeat, The number of uninsured poor DROPPED!
12 posted on 09/02/2004 6:37:41 AM PDT by mnehring (YP4W)
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To: familyofman
"...a point I would like to mention, is that I can recall when a 5% unemployment rate was considered full employment." Actually, 5% unemployment is healthy. You will always have at least 2-3 percent who are unemployable. If you expect any growth of business, there has to be an available workforce. In a historical sense, this is one of the lowest unemployment rates in history.
13 posted on 09/02/2004 6:39:25 AM PDT by mnehring (YP4W)
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To: mark3681

I've always learned that only 2% of the population is more or less unemployable. The 5% as full employment is the result of natural turnover in a flexible job market like the United States and the amount of unemployed workers necessary to ensure the economy can continue to expand at its maximum sustainable rate without creating undue upward pressure on wages and as a consequence inflation.

If you recall in 99/00 when the rate fell below 5% we had a bubble economy in which skilled workers could command ever larger salaries. The result - a wage inflation that has forced firms to send their jobs offshore (India) where they can continue to be competitive.


14 posted on 09/02/2004 6:45:24 AM PDT by Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit (Tax Energy not Labor)
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To: Apple Pan Dowdy
What do I say to him?????

Simply tell him that the poorest of us are the envy of most of the world. Tell him that our definition of poor today is someone living like a head of state or royalty 100 years ago. Tell him that our system of calling people poor who only have three TV and 2 cars is rediculous.

15 posted on 09/02/2004 6:55:40 AM PDT by VRWC_minion
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To: mnehrling; All

"In a historical sense, this is one of the lowest unemployment rates in history."

Not historical, but the July jobs number comes out tomorrow. The consenus (average) expectectation is an increase in the 'payroll' number of 160,000 (see Fox website). This would be at best a lukewarm number and has the potential for major spin. The spin could rival Frances especially since it will come 1 day after Bush's acceptance speech. Most are thinking the speech will center on economic items.


16 posted on 09/02/2004 7:44:18 AM PDT by familyofman (people think I'm insane because I am frowning all the time)
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To: familyofman
You are right, Post WW2 Boom was strong. However, we are STRONG in the historical sense! Here are the numbers:
ftp://ftp.bls.gov/pub/special.requests/lf/aat1.txt

Averages:
1940s- 5.17
50s- 4.51
60s- 4.78
70s- 6.21
80s- 7.27
90s- 5.75
00s to date (not counting 04)- 5.13

So decade by decade we have the third lowest in the past 70 years. We are even beating the 40s when you had all of this mandatory wartime employment.
17 posted on 09/02/2004 7:59:49 AM PDT by mnehring (YP4W)
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To: mnehrling

"So decade by decade we have the third lowest in the past 70 years."

So do you want what was, or what is, not to mention what might/will be?


18 posted on 09/02/2004 8:03:51 AM PDT by familyofman (people think I'm insane because I am frowning all the time)
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