Posted on 09/04/2004 10:43:07 AM PDT by Nascardude
Kerry makes Dukakis look good as a human being too. Yes, Dukakis was a hopeless Mass. liberal, but he seemed like a decent, normal guy who knew who he was, not a poser and a creep like Kerry.
However, election day is the only true poll and I expect it to get really Dirty now..our best plan to come out on top is to go forward, focus on the issues and ignore Kerry completely.
The fence sitters want to hear the issues, and Kerry is still stuck back in Vietnam and hearing voices (Bush supporters talking about him as their main focus of a speech) and they are not.
Of course, a few "flip flop" jabs have to be expected! ;)
Plus, is interesting to note that many that make all the Anti-Bush noise are often times felons and can't vote anyway. They can only try to influence.
Massachussets and New Jersey are hopeless, but Conneticut isn't. It's got 3Rs and 2Ds for Reps, and a R Governor. Lieberman is a fairly conservative Dem as well.
I understand the sentiments of republicans are oversampled here and we have to make sure to get out the vote, but dang...Fantasizing about going into work on Nov 3 seeing all of my liberal co-workers suicidal over a electoral "mandate" would be so sweet.
..perhaps more the Carter type..not a Yankee doodle dandy like Kerry.
Go to the link in 59
1,010 Registered voters (plus or minus 4)
256 Republicans (plus or minus 6) 35% vs 38
257 Democrats (plus or minus 6) 35% vs 31
212 Independents (plus or minus 7) 29% vs 31
-----
725 Total
285 "registered voters" disappeared ???
But now that Bush has gotten a sizeable convention bounce, the pollsters are no longer able to maintain the "horse race" lie. They must now save face by making the "Bush Bounce" seem even bigger than it really is so that they can release the real numbers under some sort of cover (must have been that HUGE convention bounce).
IMHO, Bush was up 5-7 point all along. He got maybe a five point bounce out of this convention. But it's going to seem much bigger than that on account of the fact that we are seeing real numbers for a change.
Kerry is going to be a big loser this November. He's got nothing. He's an awful, awful candidate. Not even likeable in his own party. And his running mate is such a lightweight that he makes Dan Quayle seem like Dick Cheney by comparison.
Kerry came out of his convention with a negative bounce. The pollsters cooked the numbers to make it seem like he at least held his ground, hoping that Bush's convention would be a dud as well. But the gamble didn't pay off. Americans have been breaking for a Bush in a major ways since the Democratic convention in July. The Lamestream Media has been holding back the surge ever since to the best of their ability. But the dam has burst. They can no longer contain the surge that Bush has been getting SINCE LATE JULY.
The floodgates have been opened. A Bush double-digit lead is the least of the Democratic Party's problems right now. Not only are they saddled with the worst presidential candidate since George McGovern, but their very future is at stake. They are now seen as the party of Michael Moore and other anti-American fruitcakes. Normal Americans who would be disposed to vote Democratic can no longer associate themselves with that kind of scum. What we are seeing here isn't "Bush Democrats" but Democrats fleeing the party.
The Democratic Party has been taken over by Marxists and commies and other anti-American types. Even lunch-pail union workers who have voted Democrat all their lives do not want to be in the same camp as Michael Moore, who in his disgusting film, portrayed Saddam Hussein's Iraq as an "oasis of paradise" in a manner very similar to the Nazi propaganda films of the 1930s in which Adolph Hitler was shown handing out flowers to little girls.
If the Democratic Party does not act to root this kind of scum out of their party, then this is going to be a "turn out the lights" election for them.
During the past week, the American people have seen that all the decent politicians are in the Republican camp. Rudolph Guiliani, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Zell Miller (a Democrat!), Mitt Romney, etc., etc. Even John McCain, a liberal darling, spoke for the Republicans and expressed his disgust with that "disingenous filmaker" who has now come to symbolize all that is wrong and wretched with the Democratic Party.
Now when the average American thinks of the Republican Party, they think of Guiliani, Zell Miller and Schwarzenegger. When they think of the Democratic Party, they now think of Michael Moore, Hillary Clinton and the pathetic John Kerry.
If we don't have a GOP landslide of epic proportions this November, I will be shocked.
I don't believe this poll any more than Rasmussen---which I have consistently stated is 2-3% LOW. There is no way Buah has JA ratings in the 50s and is tied, let alone trailing, Kerry. It's nearly statistically impossible unless the nation is 65% Dems.
I saw Matt Dowd, Bush's pollster, on one of the TV shows before the election and he said all his polling showed Bush was doing better among Hispanics than in 2000---somewhere between 38-40% (I think he was 37% in 2000). That's very serious, because the Dems are down to the absolute slimmest of margins. If Bush picks up 1% of blacks (which polls show he's done) and 3% of Hispanics, it's all over.
WOW! Washington is considered a SWING state!
I'm not buying it. No way would the lamestream media attempt something so risky as that.
There was a lot of talk pre-convention, as Bush began to build a lead, that the lamestream media was setting us up for a fall. In other words, they would build a small lead for Bush before the convention so that they could proudly declare post-convention that there was "no bounce." Instead, Bush has apparently built that 2-3 point lead into a commanding 11-12 point lead.
So much for that theory.
In order to reach a specific "error rate", such as +/- 4%, there is a specific number of individuals that you need to poll. Once they reach that number, it doesn't make sense to continue to call, unless they want to try for a lower error rate. And cost is definitely a factor.
I was called several months ago for the Rasmussen poll. It is totally automated, i.e. computer driven. I don't think that Time and Newsweek and others use this technique.
There are arguments pro and con. For instance, how many teenagers are answering the Rasmussen poll? With a live poll, the person taking the poll can make judgements that the computer can't.
This is troubling to me because I'm one of those that believe '04 is unimportant to the Dems as they do the groundwork for Hillary's run in '08.
The Dems and the LDM (lap dog media) want Kerry to lose, but they don't want the party destroyed in the process. The LDM will be looking for ways to tighten up this race in the coming weeks.
How can we move the election up to next tuesday.
WOW! Washington is considered a SWING state!Don't be surprised... The registrar of voter in Southern Cal during a local radio talk show saying that the Pubbie vs Rats rate of register is almost 2 to 1. This can only tell how much more conservatives' interest paying to this coming election than the liberals.
Absolutely agree. Forget who's registered with which party. The Dems cannot afford to lose even 2% of the black vote, which by all accounts, appears to be very possible.
I have heard rumblings of voter drives in heavily Dem Dayton that have had very good responses for the GOP.
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