[ableChair]

And lastly we need to wait until both IBD and Gallup come out with polls to see where this race stands

We're in violent agreement on that, as we both already posted. As for your argument, you're just going in circles. Your basic theme is that facts don't matter so you'll just assume whatever you want to get the result you want. I see an agenda here.
Thanks for your reply, your logic is now deconstructed thusly:
You outright deny that it is possible for there to be ANY legitimate reason whatsoever for Newsweek to weigh numbers based on information outside YOUR ken. Manifestly absurd.

QED

Oh, BTW, speaking of ignoring the obvious, do you really think that Newsweek pollsters, even with all their lackluster intellectual merit and bias, are too stupid to see the problem you identified by comparing the face value of two numbers?

[POA2]

Oh, BTW, speaking of ignoring the obvious, do you really think that Newsweek pollsters, even with all their lackluster intellectual merit and bias, are too stupid to see the problem you identified by comparing the face value of two numbers?

Last time - Go look at the history of NewsWeek polls! - Their History is awful - Period.

Newsweek does not poll for ACCURACY - they poll for spin and to create news stories - (this is their history) -

And no there is no reason to OVER Sample Republicans and UNder-sampel Dem's (or vise versa) if the goal is to predict an accurate representation of what the outcome of the election would be if held on that day! -

And that is what the "horse-race" numbers are for - To see who would win at that moment -

Now if their goal is to spin news a certain way - they sure....you under-sample and over-sample all the way to the bank - And this is exactly what NewsWeek does -