Posted on 09/16/2004 4:52:20 AM PDT by libtoken
Absolutely he knew! What's worse, he killed Kenny! The Bustard!
Does anyone know why it seems the Weather Channel does not seem to do much in the way of forcasting west coast or their hurricanes. Actually I have never seen a hurricane tracked on the west coast? Do they only cover the east here, and have another edition on the west?
here we go again..................
I would venture to say that, to the folks in Florida at least, any of those would be acceptable EXCEPT the GFDL model.
Hurricane Jeanne Advisory Number 12
Statement as of 11:00 am AST on September 16, 2004
...Hurricane Warning issued for southeastern Bahamas as Jeanne
scrapes the northern coast of the Dominican Republic...
At 11 am AST...1500z...the government of the Bahamas has issued a
Hurricane Warning for the southeastern Bahamas...including the
Acklins...Crooked Island...the Inaguas...Mayaguana...and the Ragged
Islands...as well as for the Turks and Caicos Islands.
At 11 am AST...the government of the Bahamas has also issued a
Hurricane Watch for the central Bahamas...including Cat
Island...the Exumas...Long Island...Rum Cay...and San Salvador.
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect in the Dominican Republic from
Puerto Plata to Isla Saona.
At 11 am AST...a Tropical Storm Warning is issued for the north
coast of Haiti from le mole St Nicholas eastward. A Tropical Storm
Warning is now in effect along the north coast of Hispaniola from
le mole St Nicholas to west of Puerto Plata...and from Isla Saona
to Santo Domingo.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect along the northern coast of the
Dominican Republic from west of Puerto Plata westward to Monte
Cristo and along the southern coast of the Dominican Republic from
Isla Saona westward to Santo Domingo.
Interests in the northwestern Bahamas should monitor the progress of
Jeanne.
At 11 am AST...1500z...the center of Hurricane Jeanne was located
near latitude 18.8 north...longitude 68.7 west or about 80 miles...
130 km...east-northeast of Santo Domingo in the Dominican Republic.
Jeanne is moving just north of due west near 7 mph
...11 km/hr. A west-northwestward motion is expected over the next
24 hours. On the forecast track...the center of Jeanne is expected
to remain near or just inland of the northern coast of the
Dominican Republic for much of the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph...130 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Jean is expected to weaken to a tropical storm during the
next 24 hours as a result of its encounter with Hispaniola...but
should regain hurricane strength on Friday.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles... 30 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 70 miles...110 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb...29.12 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...
along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected
along the north coast of the Dominican Republic today. Winds and
seas will continue subsiding along the coastline of Puerto Rico
during the day.
Rainfall accumulations of 9 to 13 inches...with isolated higher
amounts...can be expected over the Dominican Republic. These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Additional rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches...locally
higher...are possible over Puerto Rico.
Isolated tornadoes are possible over Puerto Rico and the Dominican
Republic today.
Repeating the 11 am AST position...18.8 N... 68.7 W. Movement
toward...west near 7 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 80 mph. Minimum central pressure... 986 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 2 PM AST followed by the next
complete advisory at 5 PM AST.
Forecaster Franklin
Hey Pyro - have you seen this yet?
Yeah, I have been tracking her since she formed as a tropical depression. Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic are getting slammed. Let's home the terrain take some of punch away.
Doesn't seem like it'll stop until it gets to Z. This has got to be one of the worst seasons for hurricanes. One after the other.
I use Intellicast.com for my tracking - of course I'm from Michigan, so we only get the remnants - thank the Lord!
I know you've been tracking her, just making sure you had seen the latest update.
I agree with you about the terrain.............but weren't they hoping for the same with Ivan at one point????
Yeah, but Jamaica got brushed by Ivan, and western Cuba got bypassed basically. Jeanne is actually over the Dominican Republic, and they have mountians there. From what the report says, she will weaken into a (strong) tropical storm, but then become a hurricane again tomorrow.
I must admit to one benefit of the very active hurricane season...my knowlege of geography, topography and meteorology has increased dramatically!!!!!
They typically will do a special on a west coast hurricane if it threatens Hawaii or other US interests in the Pacific. But since the Pacific hurricanes typically begin off of Mexico and head west, they are moving away from the US, and most folks (unless they are in Hawaii), wouldn't care anyway. Most Pacific hurricanes (typhoons) end up off of Japan or the Phillipines.
I bought 80+ acres on the other side of the Catalinas from Tucson earlier this year for a rather paltry sum (my car payment is more per month). I hope you are right, could be a windfall.
That would definitely be a windfall!!!! Good luck.
You think we'll be getting fall out from Ivan or this one???
Here in central PA they have just posted a flood warning for the weekend. We are to get rain tomorrow from a different front and then remnants of Ivan are to come and stall over us. Our ground is already really saturated and almost had a flooding problem last week from Frances - local river flood stage is 23 and it crested at 20. They are calling for 4 - 8" - if that happens, anything over 2" we will be having problems. How bout you?
Uh-Oh. Accuweather has Jeanne going thru my front door. But I heard on the radio a little while ago that Jeanne most likely will veer north missing the Florida peninsula. I just bought myself 24 cans of octopus (pulpo). I'll probably finish them all off by Friday night but if it looks like Jeanne is coming this way, I'll buy 100 cans of pulpo. BEST canned food I ever ate. INCREDIBLE STUFF. I'll be making cerviche out of it later today.
The tallest mountain in the Caribbean is in Santo Domingo. Pico Duarte. About 10,000 feet. Sometimes it even snows there! Someday I want to climb it.
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