Will we have Haiti in the US?HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
725 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004
...SPECIAL EVACUATION ADVICE FOR COASTAL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA MEDIA OUTLETS PLEASE GIVE WIDEST DISSEMINATION... ...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FLORIDA CITY TO SAINT AUGUSTINE WHICH INCLUDES ALL OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST...
...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...VOLUSIA...BREVARD... INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...AND MARTIN.
...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLORIDA CITY TO SAINT AUGUSTINE...WHICH INCLUDES ALL OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL COUNTIES FROM MARTIN TO VOLUSIA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FOR THESE LOCATIONS IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE HURRICANE WARNING INCLUDES LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 7 AM EDT...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES EAST OF STUART FLORIDA. JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR A FLORIDA LANDFALL AS A MAJOR HURRICANE AROUND MIDNIGHT BETWEEN PALM BEACH AND COCOA BEACH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
WE ARE CONCERNED AFTER WATCHING SOME NEWS ACCOUNTS REGARDING RESIDENTS OF BARRIER ISLANDS WHO ARE PLANNING TO RIDE OUT HURRICANE JEANNE BASED ON THEIR EXPERIENCES WITH HURRICANE FRANCES. WE HAVE DONE A DETAILED DAMAGE SURVEY OF THE COASTLINE OF THE IMPACT OF HURRICANE FRANCES...AND IT IS IMPORTANT FOR RESIDENTS TO REALIZE THAT THE WORST WIND AND STORM SURGE FROM FRANCES AFFECTED AN UNPOPULATED AREA OF HUTCHINSON ISLAND BETWEEN FORT PIERCE BEACH AND JENSEN BEACH AND NETTLES ISLAND. THE GREATEST IMPACT WAS FROM NEAR MIDDLE COVE BEACH ACCESS TO HERMAN'S BAY PARK. EVIDENCE OF BATTERING WAVES ON TOP OF STORM SURGE TO A HEIGHT OF 12 FEET OR GREATER...ALONG WITH EXTREME BEACH EROSION AND A BRIDGE FAILURE... WERE NOTED. IMPORTANTLY...PEOPLE LOCATED ON THE NORTH AND SOUTH END OF HUTCHINSON ISLAND DID NOT RECEIVE THE WORST OF THE IMPACTS OF FRANCES.
WE ALSO NOTED THAT VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY EXPERIENCED ONLY CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE EFFECTS FROM FRANCES. SOUTHERN BREVARD AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES EXPERIENCED CATEGORY ONE TO CATEGORY TWO IMPACTS WITH MARTIN AND ST LUCIE COUNTIES SOLIDLY WITHIN THE CATEGORY TWO IMPACT RANGE. TO BASE YOUR EVACUATION DECISION SOLELY ON YOUR PERSONAL EXPERIENCES DURING FRANCES IS A MISTAKE.
JEANNE WILL LIKELY BE STRONGER...ESPECIALLY NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE INNER EYEWALL MAKES LANDFALL. AT THIS POINT IT IS STILL UNCERTAIN EXACTLY WHERE THIS AREA WILL BE. THERE IS PLENTY OF TIME THIS MORNING TO COMMIT TO EVACUATING AS ADVISED AND MOVE TO SAFETY.
WE HAVE MADE IT THROUGH CHARLEY AND FRANCES WITHOUT ANY DIRECT DEATHS FROM HURRICANE WIND OR WATER IMPACTS...PLEASE FOLLOW ADVICE OF YOUR COUNTY OFFICIALS AND LETS ALL MAKE IT THROUGH THIS AGAIN.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND NOON TODAY...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
HAGEMEYER
Hurricane Jeanne Intermediate Advisory Number 47a
Statement as of 8:00 am EDT on September 25, 2004
...Eye of Jeanne very near Marsh Harbor on abaco Island...
A Hurricane Warning is in effect along the Florida East Coast from
Florida City northward to St. Augustine...including Lake
Okeechobee. A Hurricane Warning is also in effect for the
northwestern Bahamas...including the Abacos...Andros Island...Berry
Islands...Bimini...Eleuthera...Grand Bahama Island...and New
Providence. Preparations to protect life and property throughout
the Hurricane Warning area should be rushed to completion.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the northeast Florida and
Georgia coasts from north of St. Augustine to Altamaha Sound
Georgia.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect along the West Coast of
Florida from East Cape Sable northward to Anclote key. A Tropical
Storm Warning remains in effect for the central Bahamas...including
Cat Island...the Exumas...Long Island...Rum Cay...and San Salvador.
A tropical storm watch is now in effect from south of Florida City
around the southern end of the Florida Peninsula to East Cape
Sable...and north of Anclote key along the West Coast to the
Ochlockonee River...including Florida Bay...and the Florida Keys
north of the Seven Mile Bridge.
We are reminded that Yom Kippur...a solemn Jewish Holiday...will
last until Sundown today. Some of your Jewish neighbors in the
watch and warning areas observing Yom Kippur will not be
listening to radios or watching TV...and may not be aware of the
hurricane situation.
At 8 am EDT...1200z...the center of Hurricane Jeanne was located
by a reconnaissance plane near latitude 26.5 north...longitude 77.0
west just over marsh Harbour...abaco island in the northwestern
Bahamas. This position is also about 190 miles...310 km...east of
the southeastern coast of Florida.
Jeanne is moving toward the west near 14 mph...22 km/hr...and this
motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On this
track...the core of Jeanne will be passing near or over the
remainder of the northwestern Bahamas later today...and approach
the southeastern coast of Florida tonight or early Sunday.
Hurricane force winds are expected to spread inland across much of
the Florida Peninsula.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 105 mph...165 km/hr...with
higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 24
hours...and Jeanne will likely become a major hurricane later
today.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 205 miles...335 km. Marsh Harbor just reported sustained winds
of near 46 mph...74 km/hr and a pressure of near 963 mb...28.44
inches.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by the hurricane hunter
is 957 mb...28.26 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 feet above normal tide levels...along
with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near the
center of Jeanne on the north side of Grand Bahama Island and on
the west side of the abaco islands. Storm surge flooding of 2 to 4
feet above normal tide levels can be expected on the west side of
the other islands of the Bahamas in the Hurricane Warning area.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 4 to 6 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be
expected near and to the north of where the center makes landfall
along the Florida East Coast.
Tides of 1 to 2 feet above normal are possible in the warned area
along the Florida West Coast.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated higher amounts
...Are possible along the track of Jeanne over the northwestern
Bahamas and Florida.
Dangerous surf and rip currents...caused by large swells generated
by Hurricane Jeanne...are possible elsewhere along the southeastern
U.S. Coast and the northwest and the Bahamas for the next few days.
Repeating the 8 am EDT position...26.5 N... 77.0 W. Movement
toward...west near 14 mph. Maximum sustained winds...105 mph.
Minimum central pressure... 957 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
11 am EDT.
Forecaster Avila