"Majette will inspire heavy black turnout in Middle Georgia."
Will black turnout be higher in 2004 than it was in 2000? If not, it really won't help Marshall any, since George W. Bush got 52% of the vote in 2000 and will probably do even better in 2004.
Jim Marshall's 2003 ACU rating was a measly 24, which is much more liberal than those of black Georgia Democrat Congressmen Sanford Bishop (who scored a 44) and David Scott (who scored a 32), and only 4 points less liberal than that of black Georgia Democrat Congresswoman Denise Majette, whose black-majority district held Bush to only 29% in 2000. If Calder Clay can get the voters of the 3rd CD to look at Jim Marshall's liberal votes, and not get fooled again by Marshall's conservative talk, I think Clay will win even if blacks actually comprise 40% of the district's voters on November 2.