Sorry for vanishing for a bit ping.
It ain't gonna be the debates
It will be how much voter fraud the GOP has to overcome
GOP should have been heading this off months if not years ago
Curious why NJ is not in the toss up column and heard on local news that the spread in NY is narrowing and no longer in the double digit realm.
Last I saw MD was tied and NJ was in play.
As for the states you have for leaning toward Bush, Kerry has withdrawn ads from most of them conceding them.
Bush is going to win at least 55% on Election Day. He'll outdo his father by two percentage points.
Here's betting Arkansas will move to Lean. ARG has Bush +3 in Arkansas, EVEN in Wisconsin, and by all indications from the campaigns they see Bush stronger in Arkansas than Wisconsin as well. Of course ARG is crap but still.
Thanks for your work.
I am hoping all the light colors end up deep blue on Nov.3
Thank you Mr. Dale Good Work
Excellent work as usual. Thanks for the ping.
When I read it you did have a typo with Dukakis in 1998 rather than 1988.
I guess the reason Kerry wants to support the UN is so voters in Cuba and the Bahamas and other non-US locations such as Mozambique can vote for him.
Have to see what last second dirty trick the Dems play on Bush this time. I think Bush will win much more comfortably this time around, and frankly he'll do fine in the debates against Kerry. We still have to be worried about the massive vote fraud the Dems are going to attempt throughout the country. I'm concerned mostly about the voter registration drives they're conducting in Ohio and Florida. The problem with our side is that our leaders don't realize that the left will stop at nothing to win this election at any cost. Stealing votes is not beneath them. They'll do it anytime and anywhere if it means retaining their governmental power. Our guys have to take off their white gloves and play politics as the bareknuckled, fight- all-out game that it is. The Dems understand that, but the GOP doesn't.
What happened to Illinois? I thought that state was in play if not Bush leading by a few points.
IAWI. That's the key. Iowa and Wisconsin flipping their 17 Electoral Gore votes to Bush. Everything else stays the same as 2000. That's how I see it.
Am I on your ping list? If not please add me.
Great work!
This is strictly anecdotal evidence, but my family and I just spent five days in southern WI - Milwaukee area, Madison, Kenosha, Racine... We kept a running total of Bush/Cheney vs. Kerry/Edwards yard signs and bumper stickers (not counting the one on our rental car). :-)
Final totals:
Bumper stickers: Bush/Cheney - 43, Kerry-Edwards - 19
Yard signs: Bush/Cheney - 102, Kerry-Edwards - 45
The area of WI that we spent our time in was not IMHO the most conservative part of the state. I'd say President Bush is well positioned to take back this Gore state.
And if this perceived level of excitement, via stickers/signs, for both tickets accurately reflects WI voter sentiment, Mr. Feingold may well find himself unemployed.
Overlay the maps from about four years ago with this one.
:^{)
Hey Dales,
27+4+10=41, not 40, which is what you show in "tossup" on your site.
Thank you, Dales, for your hard work.
Congrats - You were almost dead on.....(WI)
Is your web site still in business? I lost the link.