Posted on 09/29/2004 1:26:45 PM PDT by RWR8189
SV just had Bush up 9 three days ago
Wait and see the next couple of polls
Might be a clinker here
W is up 2 among likely voters, but that represents a seven-point shift in Kerry's favor.
Data for FL and PA to be released later today.
well this stinks
I think the Badger poll had WI for Bush before anybody
Exactly, SV has bush up 9 from yesterday's poll in Ohio. Gallup has always had Bush further behind in Ohio compared to their other state polls - I don't know why that is but that has been their pattern. I'm not too concerned here.
I believe that after each debate, the polls will begin to tighten. The expectations for Kerry in the debates is quite low and he will score a few points because of that. I can't help but hold on to the hope that Bush will win easily in the end.
SV is always more favorable to us
Well then they must have good news for Bush because if he is up national by 8 and among registered by 13 and Ohio looks like this then PA and/or Fl must look good
Has anyone "verified" this?
Hard to believe. Need to compare this to other polls and trends. The Dems will milk this to the Nth degree..."Big Mo,"..."the inevitable turnaround,"..."the comeback kid." We need to disabuse the populace of the notion that Ohio is competitive.
No actual they have been less favorable a few times
In all fairness, Butler County and especially West Chester is BUSH COUNTRY
No, actually SV is in line with the other pollsters thus far in many of their polls. They have NJ tied and Fairleigh Dickinson confirmed that today. So they are not out of line - actually quite in line.
I'm sure that this will prompt MoveOn.org to run another full-page ad condemning Gallup....
Kerry/
Edwards
Likely Voters K B
2004 Sep 4-7 44% 52 %
Now K is 48, W is 50, right? K up 4, W down 2.
Sorry, English major math here. Need numbers guys to look at internals on this one. (Just one more thing I love about FR)
I haven't seen a crowd like that for Kerry?
In 34 days, Hillary will be the presumptive heir to the 2008 Dem nomination for President. She can taste it at this point.
Fox News has Bush up 4 in Ohio. Lake Snell Perry (a Dem firm, DON'T trust it) had Ohio tied yesterday. ARG has Ohio +2 Bush. Rasmussen has Bush +3.
On the other hand, Mason-Dixon has Bush up 8. The UC Ohio Poll has Bush up 11, and Strategic Vision has Bush up 9. So there are competing polls here.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.