Replies

To: 2ndMostConservativeBrdMember; Al B.; alancarp; AntiGuv; boomop1; Carolina; Carolinamom; ChadsDad; ..

8 posted on 09/30/2004 5:13:37 PM PDT by Howlin (What's the Font Spacing, Kenneth?)

Wasn't Burr down by as much as 12 points just over a week ago?

There seems to be a massive shift to the GOP at all levels and in all races.

23 posted on 09/30/2004 5:43:18 PM PDT by Phantom Lord (Advantages are taken, not handed out)

To: Howlin; JohnnyZ

Good news, indeed.

The GOP ran 13% ahead of its national numbers in North Carolina in the Presidential elections of 1996 and 2000. With Edwards on the Dem ticket, it might be asking a bit much to match that performance, but a differential of 8 to 10% seems to me to be doable, and that could be enough to pull Burr in -- maybe Ballantine, too, in the gubernatorial race. Especially if that 8 to 10% differential is on top of a national margin of a few percentage points in President Bush's favor.

Coattails are important. Remember Ronald Reagan pulling John East (let's face it, a weak candidate) through in 1980; remember G.H.W. Bush, even as he lost his re-election bid, pulling Lauch Faircloth (another weak candidate) through in 1992. No GOP Senate candidate in North Carolina has lost in a Presidential election year since 1968.

28 posted on 09/30/2004 5:48:30 PM PDT by southernnorthcarolina (about as sensitive as a goddam toilet seat)

Thanks for some good news. If the President can get in here a time or two and make some appearances on Burr's behalf (and I'm sure he will) Burr stands to win this thing.

29 posted on 09/30/2004 5:50:56 PM PDT by TommyDale

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