I agree that the stock market is a good indicator. If Kerry had won it would be down on fears of a Kerry Presidency.
Also, last night the Iowa Presidential Market was showing Bush trades up and Kerry trades down
From the S&P:
"10/01/2004 - 11:10am EDT... Stocks rallying on signs of economic strength..."
No mention of the debates or whether traders thought Bush won. We have a month before the election...an eon in politics and traders are not going to bet on the outcome until much closer to Nov. 2.
On the third installment of O'Reilly's interview with Bush, he had Trump there to talk about it. At first I was concerned because Trump has really been outspoken about his disagreement with the War. But most of the interview was about how great the tax cuts were for the economy and how Republicans are always better for business. It was very good.