I may sound pessimistic but I think it will be difficult for GWB to carry a state like Pennsylvania or Michigan because of cities like Philadelphia and Detroit. Big cities are a haven for voter fraud which will tend to overwhelm the rural areas of those state much like Chicago does with downstate Illinois.
The President might be better off concentrating on states like Ohio, Wisconsin, and New Mexico.
Ditto that for New York state, too. NYC li9b-dem trash run the state.