Those countries and very highly conncted individuals in them were profitting immensely from OFF (at the expense of the American taxpayer, I might add). They had a great interest in maintaining the status quo in Iraq -- moreso even than Saddam.
They were urging him to maintain his standoff against the inspectors because they didn't want the world to know he had complied with some of the UN resolutions, because if the world knew, then there would be pressure to ease the sanctions that so proffitted their countries and countrymen. Some of these "peace-loving" nations even continued to help Saddam increase not just his conventional weapons inventory (such as French Roland anti-tank weapons), but his inventory of treaty-breaking weapons as well (North Korea trying to sell Saddam No-dong and SCUD missiles wouldn't happen without China's tacit approval).
Meanwhile they fed us just enough evidence that Saddam was still ACTIVELY pursuing WMD to keep us hounding him -- again to keep the pressure up and maintain the profittable status quo. As several investigations have now revealed, the French even faked some of the Yellow Cake evidence to that end.
So here they were urging Saddam to continue the standoff and urging us to keep up the pressure, all the while making a public display of agonizing over what to do in the UNSC in the interests of peace. The longer this went on the more money they could siphon from our coffers.
But, of course, they miscalculated. They didn't count on an American with Texan sensibilities coming along and saying 'enough'. He decided we didn't need the panty-waists in the UN to do something about 12 treaties' and 13 years' worth of violations. He decided to act. He did something that had the second-order effects of stopping the bleeding to OFF and the additional bleeding to maintaining the military sanctions -- something also predominantly paid for by the US taxpayer for more than a decade. Other second order effects of this operation were to free the Iraqi people from a tyranical despot; to end a threat to all nations in the region; and to end the illegal profiteering by the thugs in France, Germany, Russia, China, and many of the countries in the Middle East.
Does this theory sound Machiavellian? You bet. Does that make it more or less likely to be true? You make the call.
GWB isn't to blame for the miscalculation that led to this war. Nor is Saddam. Our afforementioned greedy UN 'allies' are.
ping
Excellent analysis.
Could you please tell me which role Germany played in your game? Which advantages had Germany from its opposition - except the domestic that it helped to re-elect the current Chancellor?
The whole affair has an eerie resemblance to: