You could overlay that Iowa futures graph over the RealClearPOlitics graph of polls, and they are remarkably similar.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/chart3way.html
The Mary Cheney remark, or something else?
I'm sure that graph drives the Iowa market,not the other way around ;-) Hope Iowa market is right, but until I see good news from OH, I'm one worried camper cause I've seen no public good news. Someone has emailed me saying the internal polls are good, but I'd like to see some public numbers if the private ones are so good.
Still, I'll take that trend over kerry's trend any day of the week and twice on Sunday.