Posted on 10/23/2004 4:21:05 PM PDT by FairOpinion
My first reaction was to say: "interesting, IF TRUE", but then I took off the second part, because he did report it to the British and US intel agencies, who followed up on it, so it's likely true.
>>a nuclear bomb concealed in a suitcase
I will never believe ANY of these stories about a suitcase
nuclear bomb. There is absolutely no reason it has to be
'suitcase sized'. The whole purpose of declaring it suitcase
size is for maximum terror by those writing the drivel.
A volkswagen-sized nuke would work just as well. Anything
that can be packed into a cessna could be easily
maneuvered to within a half-mile of a high-valued target.
Two private planes got within a half-mile of President Bush just today.
Any early-1990 suitcase nukes would need electronics to
set them off, but those would be essentially a puddle of
glass after that many years of exposure to radiation.
So the instant I hear 'suitcase nuke' I know the story is
just for its scare-factor only.
I'll be interested to see how the story develops and what British and US intelligence have to say on it.
Really, if BAB said that it was good weather out, I'd still bring an umbrella. I'm surprised he didn't bring up Red Mercuty as well.
It's just poison. Some will get the needed treatment/decontamination in time, some won't, and the rest of the nation won't even realize that much of anything has happened.
No, the big danger from such things is that the news media blows it out of porportion and causes some big scare...and that the resulting scare does real damage.
" ...to believe that the Chechens would try to sell the device instead
of USING it - strains human credulity and defies reason."
Maybe they have more than one, maybe they have more than two brokered through the Russian black market. That would be the only reason I could see them selling one given their hatred.
I also wonder why they wanted to sell to this guy.
Having an old nuke would only help a good engineer reverse engineer the assembly of a new device.
...and the assembly isn't the major technical hurdle. The fabrication of fissionable material into a perfectly shaped pit is a major technical hurdle, on the other hand. But just seeing the remains of what used to be a weapons-grade pit won't help much. Obtaining enough fissionable material is yet another major technical hurdle. Maintenance is yet another.
But just seeing the components of a working (or once-working) device won't really tell you how to construct a new one. Fissionable material has a radiation field that must be respected in construction, design, movement, and assembly. Fissionable material also releases heat that must be taken into account. FM can also go critical if your components ever come too close to each other, among other "pit" falls to building such a device. FM is among the most brittle of all metals, as well as extraordinarily susceptable to rusting into plutonium or uranium oxide. So machining such metals into precise nuclear tolerances is not for amatuers.
"Given the intensity of Chechen/Russian hatred, to believe that the Chechens would try to sell the device instead of USING it - strains human credulity and defies reason."
Excellent point. Kerry will no doubt be using this on the campaign trail: "This only underscores the danger of Pres. Bush's refusal to provide enough money and support to secure Russian nukes"...blah, blah, blah. Even if the Chechens did manage to get there hands on such a weapon, a question would still remain...who gave it to them???
For $13,000 a terrorist could purchase enough diesel fuel, blasting caps, and fertilizer to build a daisy cutter.
That's roughly 0.1% of a small nuke. It makes a nice mushroom cloud to scare the news media into Chicken Littles and gets lots of global airplay, too.
It's also more than 1,000 times as powerful as the car bombs that are being set off in Baghdad. It's roughly a bit more powerful than what went off in OKC back in 1995.
And you could fit it into a truck, plane, or ship.
The technology involved is pre-WW1. Even Palestinians could be taught how to build one.
Call me when they manage to build a simple dasiy cutter. Until then, nukes are out of the question for their level of expertise.
If the Chechen terrorists had a bomb they would most likely have used it and claimed that they had more of them to achive leverage with Russia. This story sounds like B.S. designed to put a positive light on the business man telling it.
Thanks for the ping.
Bookmarking this one.
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