Posted on 10/28/2004 12:29:08 PM PDT by Merry
As the director of polling for The Washington Post, I join my fellow pollsters in the hospitality rooms at professional meetings to drink cheap wine and listen as they talk nervously about the present and agonize about the future:
Two consecutive Election Day debacles have shaken public confidence in exit polls, once viewed as the crown jewel of political surveys.
Cell phones, Caller ID and increasingly elaborate call screening technologies make it harder than ever to reach a random sample of Americans. Prompted by the popularity of do-not-call lists, a few state legislatures are considering laws that would lump pollsters in with telemarketers and bar them from calling people at home.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
Um... have you considered knocking on doors?
Too expensive to go door to door. for primary research. Agian the problem is not the sample, but the mix of the respondents, how many completes you get, and how clean/truthful the data are.
This was destined to be a close election.
Then the poodle imprudently latched onto the NYT explosives farce. He got ahead of the facts, as usual. He's an idiot, like his newly adopted Red Sox. Only he's a REAL idiot!
Note to self: Never take a car ride into unknown territory with M.M.
OK. But they could knock on doors to get a subsample to see whether their telephone polls are out of whack.
Or they could just wait until election night like everyone else to see how wrong they are.
Polling ping.
Merry, you always find the most interesting articles.
Thank you. I take that as a complement because the people on this board are so good at finding interesting articles. I'm glad to be in this company.
LOL!
It just seems to me that the ones you choose to post are topical and full of information we haven't read a bazillion times on here; I actually READ them without speed reading!
Thanks for taking the time; I had been worried about those cell phones.
mark to read later
Everybody answered the questions truthfully and willingly.
None of the pollsters had any agenda for their employer, or anybody.
Three organizations polled for President and got the same answer: Bush 51.39%, Kerry 47.39 % answer.
So what? They're not going to collect all that data and keep it under wraps. They're going to publish it.
And when they publish it, some Kerry voters will stay home because these three perfect corporations tell them it's hopeless. And some Bush voters will stay home because these three perfect corporations tell them it's unnecessary.
But how many stay home? Who knows?
So you have perfect polling, but unpredictable outcome.
raising doubts whether such polls accurately reflect the views of the public or merely report the opinions of stay-at-home Americans who are too bored, too infirm or too lonely to hang up.
The lonely and bored favor Kerry.
Not just the expense .. it's the TIME INVOLVED IN GOING DOOR TO DOOR.
These pollsters do this stuff via email or by phone .. that's how they can do 1 day or 3 day polls.
I vote in every election, I never respond to a phone call regarding a poll. If they came to the door I would ask them to leave like any other unwanted solicitor.
Voting is a civic duty, participating in a poll is not.
Why do you exerpt from a source that requires regestration?
I don't think there is a hassle with posting from this source, and would like to know what is in the rest of the article and I don't like to register with a bunch of sites.
GO PRESIDENT BUSH!!!!
Then I finished their poll, and answered all the questions they had!
The Washington Post was listed on the Free Republic list of papers that have to exerpted because of copyright rules. If I tried to post the entire thing, Free Republic would have stopped me. I agree it's a pain to keep registering for sites.
I read polls like Horoscopes....fun, but that's about it.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.