The latest shift in Iowa Election Market is towards Bush on all contracts. Probably a combination of the Osama tape, the "ex-American Al Qaida ranter" tape, and the continuing demolition of the CBS/NYT latest "October surprise fizzle".
See the graphs of the contracts at:
http://128.255.244.60/graphs/graph_Pres04_WTA.cfm
It should be quite interesting to see if and how the numbers change after Friday's UBL videotape and what I prefer to call the "October Suicide."