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1 posted on 10/30/2004 2:04:53 PM PDT by Timeout
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To: Timeout

Well within the margin of error.


2 posted on 10/30/2004 2:05:56 PM PDT by NittanyLion
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To: Timeout

When does anyone get sick of reading about Kerry narrowing the gap?


3 posted on 10/30/2004 2:06:30 PM PDT by Tumbleweed_Connection (www.whatyoucrave.com)
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To: Timeout

Don't believe it. Everybody I know is voting for Bush. He'll get over 60% on Tuesday. The socialists are just messing with us.


4 posted on 10/30/2004 2:06:43 PM PDT by Bubbatuck (Demonrats: The End is Near!)
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To: Timeout

Kerry had a good day of polling Friday. Still, I rather be up than down.


5 posted on 10/30/2004 2:07:16 PM PDT by finnman69 (cum puella incedit minore medio corpore sub quo manifestus globus, inflammare animos)
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To: Timeout

Almost no undecideds left.


6 posted on 10/30/2004 2:07:31 PM PDT by Raycpa (Alias, VRWC_minion,)
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To: Timeout

Remember, the "weekend effect" is not caused by people changing their minds. It's caused by sampling bias.


8 posted on 10/30/2004 2:07:43 PM PDT by zook
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To: Timeout

No offense, but, you thought that a holiday weekend with the loss of DST would result in the LOSS of a weekend effect?

If anything, it's accentuated.

Focus on Tuesday. In spite of all the early voting, it's still the only day that counts...

until Kerry sues and then we have to battle the courts.


10 posted on 10/30/2004 2:08:00 PM PDT by GEC
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To: Timeout
I can't find anyone who still thinks it's going to be close. I sure don't.
12 posted on 10/30/2004 2:08:24 PM PDT by VadeRetro (A self-reliant conservative citizenry is a better bet than the subjects of an overbearing state. -MS)
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To: Timeout

Pollsters and MSM attempting to turn our elections into "reality TV" through creative editting.


15 posted on 10/30/2004 2:08:52 PM PDT by stopillegalimmigration
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To: Timeout

come on we all knew the MSM was not gonna allow a poll showing the Pres out to any kind of a lead. Monday and Tues morning polls will show a dead heat.


19 posted on 10/30/2004 2:09:52 PM PDT by mk2000
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To: Timeout

I can't wait to see the numbers for polls taken on Halloween, when parents are out taking kids trick or treating...

I think the poll consensus after this weekend is going to be "too close to call".


20 posted on 10/30/2004 2:10:03 PM PDT by ambrose
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To: Timeout

According to abcnews.com bush was .2 away from being at 50% today and that today's results were only negligibly different than yesterday's... only slight changes...


30 posted on 10/30/2004 2:12:47 PM PDT by Gustafm1000
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To: Timeout

Hasn't it occured to everyone that these polls are so volatile because they are random samplings of how people feel at the moment? I'm not saying they don't matter, but look at the RCPolitics listing of polls--they're awash in Red (Bush) leads. The trend is far more important than these up and down numbers.


38 posted on 10/30/2004 2:15:30 PM PDT by Darkwolf377
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To: Timeout

Am I wrong in thinking that a head to head national poll has no significance at all this late in the game?


40 posted on 10/30/2004 2:15:55 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: Timeout

When we look back on this election, we will find that the MSM did everything possible to keep Kerry in the race.

Our local "red rag," the Des Moines Register has been doing this for years -- short changing the Republican vote.


41 posted on 10/30/2004 2:16:45 PM PDT by Paraclete
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To: Timeout
If there is a tendency for republicans too under-sample in weekend polling data, it would be for any weekend. The theory is that republicans are out doing things with their families, etc., while democrats spend more time at home. This would be no different on the weekend following the election. The Washington Post poll has been back and forth for some time. It swings toward Kerry and then back to Bush again. I'm actually pleased Bush is still up. He has a lead in almost every national poll. Even though its close in the polls, I'd rather be us. It may very well be that the polls won't show any significant movement either way. When the polls are averaged, the Bush lead has been a remarkably stable 2-3 points for some time now. I think Bush will go into the election somewhat ahead in the polls. The ground game will be very important. Bush could win big if the electorate produces "security moms" and "9-11 democrats."
45 posted on 10/30/2004 2:17:06 PM PDT by infohawk
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To: Timeout

Don't sweat it. Bush 44 states, Kerry 6+DC on November 2. Cheers


50 posted on 10/30/2004 2:18:33 PM PDT by pissant
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To: Timeout
FORGET THE POLLS! Do something instead:

Democrats for Bush Flyer -- Print it, copy it, distribute it
54 posted on 10/30/2004 2:21:21 PM PDT by Antoninus (A conservative bases his politics on his morals. ... A liberal bases his morals on his politics.)
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To: Timeout

I think my tolerance for mood swings generated by polls is rapidly approaching an end.

Let's see-

Sunday
Monday
Tuesday

Three more days of polling hysteria. Should start a hourly countdown till its blessed end.


56 posted on 10/30/2004 2:23:37 PM PDT by Soul Seeker
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To: Timeout

At this point, tracking polls are nonsense. We've gotten our October surprise, people have made up their minds. Kerry always goes up on the weekends anyway. I'm thinking about just staying off FR and TV until Tuesday night.

Bush has this wrapped up, people. Feel good.


69 posted on 10/30/2004 2:29:52 PM PDT by Gunder
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