It’s more like President Bush 5-7 points. Take that to the BANK!! Look, Comrade Kerry is losing in Hawaii. Hawaii, which has gone only two, times Republican (Nixon & Reagan) since statehood. Kerry now has to send Al Gore, of all people, there to save him. Now what’s that tell you?
Yes, I believe it is good news when Al Gore is sent out to stump. I only wish they could have sent TaRAYza, but I heard she is still recovering from the hangover from the Red Sox victory.
Not much. The electorate has changed post 9/11. States like NJ and HI have been affected more than most, but just because they're 15% further right than 2000 doesn't mean other states have been impacted in the same manner. 5-7% is possible, but in my estimation unlikely. Bush has consistently polled 2-3% higher than Kerry, and I think that's where it'll finish.