[finnman69]

ARG has a 40% Rat sample to 45% GOP.

and FYI, Bush has never had a lead in the ARG poll. NOT ONCE.

Tells you about the ARG polls.

[gswilder]

Yes, the ebb and flow of polls. That's all it is. Since Mid-August, Bush has been up or tied in over 60 national polls. Some by as many as 14 points, averaged around 7 for September, and around 3 for October. In how many polls has Kerry been ahead since Mid-August? (2-3) How big has Kerry's lead been in these 2-3 polls? (1-2 points) How long has Kerry's lead lasted in these 2-3 polls (a couple of days - week at most).

Where are Bush and Kerry campaigning mostly? Gore 2000 states. Sending Dems to Hawaii this last weekend would been like the republicans having to goto LA or SC this weekend. Every poll (EVERY POLL) shows Bush leading Kerry 15-20% on who to best handle the war in Iraq and the war on Terror. Now what issue is at the top of the list for voters? Now it is even more front and center with OBL's video.

Yes, the ebb and flow of polls. Gotta take them all together and as just one indicator. Ebb and Flow. Bush has been bobbing up and down ON the surface. Kerry has been bobbing up and down BELOW the surface.