If Bush wins Florida it's over. If Kerry wins Florida Bush is packing his bags for Crawford.
i can understand why Florida "COULD" go to Kerry by its demographic make-up...but OHIO just baffles me? I will never consider that state a part of the heartland EVER again if they sell out to the hand out socialist regime....
Florida is relatively safe. Ohio is the real concern. If Ohio falls for Kerry, it is possible -- likely -- that he can run the table in the midwest and win.
BS Pollyanna, do the math. Currently Bush is at 227EV, with FL and NM gets it to 259. Undecided states are NH(4), PA(21), MI(17), OH(20), WI(10), MN(10), IA(7), and maybe HI(4). He's not going to win NJ if he doesn't win enough of the others to get to 269. Currently he's down in NH, tied or down in PA and OH, down in MI, and slightly up to down in WI, MN, IA, and HI. OH and WI seem to have tanked over the weekend, WI's slide has been more than a single day, and an IA win is 50/50 right now and might not be enough. The Blackwell decision not to fight the Clinton hack's blocking of challengers were made before the OH numbers crashed, and thus may end up biting us in the butt. Sure those are Sunday numbers that could be an outlier, but you really think the Bush campaign's polling unit was so stupid as to not factor in Halloween? MN and WI both have same day registration, another fraud vehicle. Kerry could very easily steal this one, with Bush stuck at 259, 263, or 266.
That being said, the race is still Bush's to lose, he still is likely up nationally by 2, undecideds will most likely split(benefiting Bush), the odds still favor the President, and it is paramount that everyone plow full speed ahead with their GOTV and actual voting. But overconfident/false bravado garbage does no one any favors.
Just to be clear, OH is not lost, but in danger. I predict a Bush victory in both the EC and popular vote.
However there is a very real possibility that he will lose with only 259-266 EV, and closely lose multiple states to large, systematic vote fraud schemes. If that happens, I predict he will ultimately discuss and outline this, then state for the good of the country he will not go through a lengthy multi-state legal fight to overturn the election, but instead push the new Congress to pass a detailed comprehensive anti-vote fraud act, addressing registration, absentee voting, military voting, ballot integrity, and requirements for both picture id's and social security numbers presented at polling places. Kerry and the Dems would get their four years but lose their fraud machine, and the public momentum would be on the GOP side. Somewhat similar to the Progressive reforms 100 years ago.