[zarf]

It's meaninless news. 8% is a national estimate.

It's a state by state thing now.

All that matters is the state results.

[VadeRetro]

Except if it's 8 percent nationally, it's an electoral blowout. There is no battleground state strategy for such a disaster. Kerry is toast. Roadkill. A dropped goldfish flopping on a hot sidewalk.

[rdl6989]

Has anybody seen any new polls for Florida, Ohio or any other battleground?

[Jackson Brown]

He's talking about VOTES cast! (exit polls of early voters)

CBS/NY Times Poll: Bush 51%, Kerry 43% Among Early Voters
October 31, 2004


[SNIP]
In many states (including battlegrounds like Florida) in-person early voting began weeks ago. Today one in five voters nationwide say they have already cast their ballot in some way, and still more were planning to do so before Tuesday when interviewed Thursday through Saturday.

13% of likely voters volunteered that they already voted when we asked if they were likely to vote this year; the remainder told us that they had done so when we asked the method by which were voting.

Early voters split about evenly, one-third each between Democrats, Republicans and Independents. They are a bit older: one-quarter are 65 or over, and eight in ten are above age 45. President Bush holds a lead among them.


ALREADY CAST A BALLOT: WHO DID YOU VOTE FOR?

Bush -- 51%
Kerry -- 43%
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/10/31/opinion/polls/main652496.shtml

[PeoplesRepublicOfWashington]

Do you really think it's likely that Bush could win the popular vote but loose the Electoral College? I don't.