Posted on 11/02/2004 9:45:17 AM PST by BuckeyeGOP
http://www.tradesports.com/jsp/intrade/trading/t_amd.jsp
I've followed this site for a couple weeks,,,,looks great for Bush!!! Soros musta pulled out, even he knows when to cut his losses!
Can you summarize? My firewall at work filters out any website with the word "sports" in it.
no mas...no mas
Contract B Qty Bid Ask A Qty Last Vol Chge
PRESIDENT.GWBUSH2004 57.2 +4.2
PRESIDENT.KERRY2004 43.0 -4.0
BUSH.OHIO 57.0 +5.1
Oh my. I would find a new job quick.
It will all be over (hopefully) in 12 hours or less.
Lord help me, but I'm actually watching the live action...it's like the stock market in the late 90's. For that part it's interesting (because it's election day).
Bush - trending higher - more buyers than sellers
Kerry - trending lower- many more sellers than buyers.
That worked well. Now you can spend company time on political websites instead,,,lol.
A little less at Futures Trading, but same pattern
http://www.intrade.com/
(I hope that it will pass the firewall)
PRESIDENT.GWBUSH2004
George W Bush is re-elected as United States President. 56.1 57.8 57.8 1126119 +4.8
PRESIDENT.KERRY2004
John Kerry to be elected as United States President 43.2 44.4 44.0 127210 -3.0
at http://www.intrade.com
something big is going out there..
Tradesports today, Bush Elected contract. Graph will update all day, with each manual refresh of the thread. Time is GMT (zulu).
Bush now at 57.2. Oddly only at 51.9 for the popular vote, although there's much less activity for that contract.
My work filters it out as gambling.
Try the numerical IP, 213.200.94.13, in place of www.tradesports.com. That may work if the filter is truly incompetent.
It will be over by 9:00 pm, an hour after Florida and Ohio close. If the vote spread is more than one percent, it's over. If it's less than one percent, it's send in the lawyers.
The Iowa markets which are actually based on popular vote show Kerry with a small lead. The Dems will be soiling themselves if Bush wins again despite losing the popular vote.
at what date and time do ALL the contracts go to (ZERO or 100%)?
In other words, is there some point at which no more trading is allowed, even if a winner has not yet been confirmed?
Not sure, but I think trading halts Nov 6 if not earlier.
The same data can be found at InTrade - clik on markets.
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