BUSH SOARING IN TRADESPORTS...Kerry crashing and burning. (Rush is mentioning it right now)

Tradesports.com ^

[Future Useless Eater]

>>Bush now at 57.2. Oddly only at 51.9 for the popular vote, although there's much less activity for that contract.


nothing odd about that at all... Bush could win the election
(thats what the first 57.2 represents)

...but still lose the popular vote (thats why the 2nd number is lower)

[Admin Moderator]

bttt!!

[montag813]

This is all likely just PROFIT TAKING....relax people. this doesnt mean anything. Bush had been way oversold.

[snowsislander]

It's turning into a rout:

	Bid	Ask	Last	Vol	Chge
  PRESIDENT.GWBUSH2004	57.1	57.3	57.0	1.1m	+4.0
  PRESIDENT.KERRY2004	42.9	43.2	43.0	127.7k	-4.0

My prediction stands at 400+ in the Electoral College.

[drangundsturm]

I believe this follows the 1 hour news rule but you'd have to check the faq.

That means all trades unwind within 1 hour of the winner being declared in major media outlets.

[politicsfan]

Can you summarize? My firewall at work filters out any website with the word "sports" in it.

Go you www.intrade.com. If lists the probabilities of certian events occuring. You can buy those particular events. If the event happens the value of the future contract goes to 100, if it doesn't then 0. Right now Bush winning is 56 (means 56% chance of winning). If you bet $56 it becomes $100 if bush wins.

[eddie willers]

This is all likely just PROFIT TAKING

Wouldn't it be going down if it was profit taking?

[snarks_when_bored]

As of 12:33.32 CST:

CONTRACT	B Qty	Bid	Ask	A Qty	Last	Vol	Chge
PRESIDENT.GWBUSH2004	3	58.0	58.6	26	58.6	1.1m	+5.6
PRESIDENT.KERRY2004	105	42.0	42.1	6	42.0	127.9k	-5.0

[MNnice]

Take away NYC and L.A. and Bush wins in a landslide ... that's what 10-20 million votes from only two locations can do to a popular vote total.

[Legion04]

I hope kerry turns out to be mondale all over again...shove their rhetoric and hate propgaganda right back down their throats!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Graymatter]

>>It will all be over (hopefully) in 12 hours or less.

*whimper*

[TruthShallSetYouFree]

I went down the list of all the state-by-state betting on Tradesports. If all states with Bush currently favored end up ultimately voting for him, Bush would win with 279 electoral votes to 259 for Kerry.

[Wyatt's Torch]

Here's the State-by-State (EC) list:

[TruthShallSetYouFree]

Thanks. Saved me from playing around with Excel for an hour.

[DoughtyOne]

As I've said on other threads, poor old John can go cry on Hanoi Jane's shoulder. A.H.s!

[snarks_when_bored]

Tightening up a bit ... As of 1:12.29 CST:

CONTRACT	B Qty	Bid	Ask	A Qty	Last	Vol	Chge
PRESIDENT.GWBUSH2004	47	55.5	56.0	161	56.0	1.1m	+3.0
PRESIDENT.KERRY2004	6	43.2	43.3	19	43.2	128.8k	-3.8

[snarks_when_bored]

Done.

[Vision]

Actually, Bush has crashed on Tradesports in the last 15 minutes. They're tied at 50/50. The worst it's ever been. I bet it's the first round of exit polls

[Anticommie]

Lord help me, but I'm actually watching the live action...it's like the stock market in the late 90's.

LOL You've got this one right.

[Doctor Stochastic]

Mine filters out gambling sites. I once wanted to contact the Nevada gaming board about electronic generation of random numbers (of concern to them and me both), I was blocked. I can't even get (legitimate) theatre schedules as the plays sometimes run at casinos. (I can get rock concerts produced at high school auditoriums.) I guess FR will be screened soon.