[jstolzen]

FWIW, the money on tradesports seems to think Kerry will win. Dubya is down to 38, Kerry up to 62. And, W was at *59* earlier today.

Now, it's possible Soros or someone is walking down the contracts, but I seriously doubt it. More likely is that the Dem vote fraud machine has outmanuvered our honest, GOTV efforts in key battleground states.

I'm getting just a bit concerned. (And, yes, I've already posted this on the "panic" thread).

[hansel]

Someone's manipulating the markets.

There's no way Bush should be down at about 38 based on early voting data. early voting data is just that, too early.

[flashbunny]

they reacted to the phony exit polling results and never received the updated information.

If bush is at 38, that's a good way to triple your money in a few days.

[michaelt]

How would your average Tradesports trader know at this time that Dem vote fraud would do better than GOP GOTV efforts?

Now, who would be in a position to know such things? Dem big wigs. And those are the same people who would want to manipulate the market in favor of Kerry even without that knowledge. So they have an incentive to play with the market in either case.

[Cloud William]

Now, it's possible Soros or someone is walking down the contracts, but I seriously doubt it. More likely is that the Dem vote fraud machine has outmanuvered our honest, GOTV efforts in key battleground states.

More likely, tradesports users are reacting to the same skewed, inaccurate exit polling data that freaked us out a little earlier today. The scope of the voter fraud would have to be better known at this point to be reflected on tradesports.

[dartuser]

Come on guys ...

Its obvious that tradesport is reacting to the bogus exit polls ...

[aft_lizard]

The tradesports changed because of Freepers and NRO readers who got spooked at fraudulent exit polling data, smart money investment buy the Bush at the cheap and buy big.

[finnigan2]

"Now, it's possible Soros or someone is walking down the contracts, but I seriously doubt it."

I just heard Kudlow on MSNBC say there was rumor on the street that Soros was manipulating this market driven measure. I think that he and his partner have poured between 55 and 60 million dollars into Kerry support activities, so it wouldn't surprise me if he put another million or so into backing Kerry's election.

[paulsy]

"FWIW, the money on tradesports seems to think Kerry will win."

? Bush 51 Kerry 49 here:http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/RCP_Markets.html

[Tunehead54]

If I wanted to put a grand on Bush what could I make? I'm series. :-) I looked once but didn't see the straight B v K.