The Bush win is even stronger than it looks

[zamboni]

The Bush win is even stronger than it looks

The pundits have made much of the point that this was pretty much a repeat of the 2000 election and that the election map looks almost identical to four years ago. In 2000, Bush won 30 states and this time he won 31.

There are only three states that are different from 2000. This time New Mexico and Iowa went for Bush and New Hampshire went away from Bush.

However, this misses the real strength of the Bush win. Bush did not just repeat what he did in 2000. He went way beyond that by dramatically increasing his percentage of the vote in many states across the nation. He did better than he did the last time in 32 states altogether, including many of the states that he did not carry. Seventeen of these states had a shift of five percentage points or more for Bush and four had a double digit shift for Bush.

The top ten states showing a significant shift for Bush are shown below, which include some of notable Democrat strongholds:

State	Bush % Shift
Alabama	12
Hawaii	10
Oklahoma	10
Tennessee	10
New Jersey	9
Connecticut	8
Rhode Island	8
Louisiana	7
New York	7

Here is the complete list:

State	2000 Bush Margin	2004 Bush Margin	Margin Change
Alabama	14	26	12
Alaska	31	27	-4
Arizona	6	11	5
Arkansas	5	9	4
California	-11	-11	0
Colorado	9	7	-2
Connecticut	-18	-10	8
Delaware	-13	-7	6
District of Columbia	-76	-81	-5
Florida	0	5	5
Georgia	12	18	6
Hawaii	-19	-9	10
Idaho	39	38	-1
Illinois	-12	-10	2
Indiana	16	21	5
Iowa	-1	1	2
Kansas	21	25	4
Kentucky	16	20	4
Louisiana	8	15	7
Maine	-5	-8	-3
Maryland	-16	-13	3
Massachusetts	-27	-25	2
Michigan	-5	-3	2
Minnesota	-2	-3	-1
Mississippi	17	20	3
Missouri	3	8	5
Montana	25	20	-5
Nebraska	29	35	6
Nevada	4	3	-1
New Hampshire	1	-1	-2
New Jersey	-16	-7	9
New Mexico	0	1	1
New York	-25	-18	7
North Carolina	13	12	-1
North Dakota	28	27	-1
Ohio	4	2	-2
Oklahoma	22	32	10
Oregon	0	-4	-4
Pennsylvania	-5	-2	3
Rhode Island	-29	-21	8
South Carolina	16	17	1
South Dakota	22	21	-1
Tennessee	4	14	10
Texas	21	23	2
Utah	41	44	3
Vermont	-10	-20	-10
Virginia	8	9	1
Washington	-5	-7	-2
West Virginia	6	13	7
Wisconsin	0	-1	-1
Wyoming	40	40	0

[Donna Lee Nardo]

BUMP!

[Intolerant in NJ]

Pennsylvania -2...and there are many thousands of absentee ballots which are not due back until November 10 - because they were mailed out late - Pennsylvania may not be over yet......

[Mercat]

117 point improvement. awesome. thanks.

[Still German Shepherd]

Fantastic information, thanks so much.

[ladyinred]

This was a massive win, the highest amount of votes ever, yet they are still spinning it as soooooo CLOSE! Liars never can tell the truth.

[falpro]

Go PA!!

[Kozak]

Frankly, we won Wisconsin, I'm sure the lose is in the "margin of fraud". Sooooo glad it didn't matter.
In 08 I'll be voting from NC.

[eagle11]

I predicted Bush would win PA, it was obvious how paniced Kerry was Gov. Rendell's offhand statement that the overseas absentees "wouldn't matter", until he reassured they would all be counted on Sean Hanity. Plus PA drifted between Kerry and Bush since the GOP Convention. PA is ours, and discounting fraud, CA would've been even closer.

[DCH838]

Been listening all day how the country is so evenly and tragically divided. One needs only to look at the county-by-county electoral map to see that voters have de-bunked that B.S. Also note ALL ELEVEN definition of marriage initiatives passed with HUGE majorities.

[donozark]

Some are saying the same re:Colorado enate race, Coors vs. Salazar. 5% of Precincts not counted yet. Wouldn't it be a hoot if both reversed in our favor? One can only dream...

[SeeRushToldU_So]

Bookmark bump

[Intolerant in NJ]

PA is ours...hope it works out that way, but it's hard to get beyond the outright fraud that takes thousands of votes in Philly - daughter was listening to local talk show on way to school tonight and they were being inundated with calls about the crookedness in Phiully yesterday - one poll worker was wearing a badge that said "Remember the Troops" - she was harrassed for forty five minutes by some "independent" monitor who claimed this was "intimidating" the voters (finally allowed to keep the badge by a poll judge) - as though honoring our troops is something that bothers 'rat voters, I guess - very difficult to overcome such chicanery.......

[shield]

Wow!! We'll never hear this from the MSM!!!

[KnutCase]

Those of us older guys have a better understanding of political trends than the younger ones. The trend toward conservatism in this country began with Barry Goldwater (on a national level). A few of us who grew up under FDR could see from the beginning that policies put in place under FDR would eventually lead us down a parallel path with socialism and communism and domination of the population by a select few who could enrich themselves at our expense. Goldwater got the conservative message out to a wide audience. Although he did not succeed in his quest for the presidency, the seed was planted in many young minds and we are now seeing the results of his vision. Things have not been reversed but we have certainly slowed socialistic progress. Hopefully some day we will get back to a point where an individual can determine his own fate.

[Plutarch]

California shows no improvement, but remember that in 2000 Bush spent millions trying to win the state.

[BushCountry]

This says it all. The pundits are most likely saying this to prevent all the koolaide drinkers from drinking too deep!

[NetSurfer]

Actually, CA went from 41.7% for GWB to 44.3% thus far, and we don't have the hundreds of thousands of absentee ballots counted, yet. Those trend more in favor of GWB.

Go here

[Snoopers-868th]

I think it exposes the fraud. I don't know if I can explain it and I certainly can't with numbers but this is my pea brain concept of what happened in 2000 and 2001. In 2000, the voters for the Dems were basically complacent, they were not voting to re-elect and I do believe that most people do not get into the issues nor the politics surrounding a candidate. Thus, the low turn-out for most elections. Those of us that hated Clinton, the damage he and Hillary did, the damage to the White House and the Office of the President were eager to vote for our man.

That being said, I reflect on the Nixon 'win' that became Kennedy's. The Republicans in 2000 knew they had to work hard and began the push to get the base vote out. They were successful at accomplishing that which the Dems did not expect and then they fought--which the Dems really did not expect.

This year, the Republicans continued to work to get the base out plus more, but the Dems discovering that their 2000 fraud could no longer guarantee a win because the Republicans did not back down the Dems, determined to win at all cost, needed to be even more aggressive. This time through legal means and against our voting system and "one's right to have their vote counted" conveniently ignoring right to have their legal vote counted.

The Dems fraudulent ways were stopped by the lawyers prior to the election. The Republican win was undeniable even with the illegal voting that we all know took place.

The Dems fraud is still in the count but they have been exposed--hopefully we do not go back to complacency. I also think this should quiet the idea that Bush stole the election in 2000.

[kcar]

Kerry was wise to stand down re: Ohio. In 2000 Gore wrongly chose to besmirk an entire battleground state, setting a dangerous precedent of judicial activism and partisan furor in what should be an election of voters. The result: Florida hasn't forgotten or forgiven those damn yankee lawyers and wasn't much of a battleground this year (or in 2002). You take a fairly evenly divided state, tell them they're all crooked or fools one year and then proceed ad nauseum to discredit their basic competence and intelligence, and come back again four years later to this "battleground" state and deploy 10,000 lawyers and international observers, and what do you expect?