Posted on 11/04/2004 1:55:18 PM PST by smag499
Election statistics web site. Great site. Bush won 82% of the counties in the United States according to this data. 2004 Results broken out by all types of data.
Where can I find something on demographics?
Christians vs non-Christians voting?
Age demos?
College educated vs non-college?
That sort of thing.
Thanks in advance!
No one voted in Matagorda, TX???
The only place I have seen this so far is on exit polling at http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/
Click a state on the map and look for the link to exit polls for that state.
President Bush won a historic victory yesterday by defeating John Kerry by more than 3.5 million votes,
58.6 million to 55.1 million (51% to 48%) and winning the Electoral College 286 to 252. In doing so, President Bush:
Becomes the first presidential candidate to win more than 50% of the popular vote since 1988.
Received the most votes by any presidential candidate in history - over 58 million, even breaking President Reagans 1984 mark of 54.5 million votes.
Becomes the first President re-elected while gaining seats in the House and the Senate since 1936, and the first Republican President to be re-elected with House and Senate majorities since 1924.
Received a higher percentage of the popular vote than any Democratic presidential candidate since 1964.
Garnered 7 million more popular votes than in 2000 - more than twice the amount that President Clinton increased his vote between 1992 and 1996.
Increased his percent of the vote from 2000 in 45 out of 50 states, including a 4 percent increase in John Kerrys home state of Massachusetts. President Bush ran just as strongly in the key battleground states as he did nationally. In the 14 most competitive states (AR, CO, FL, IA, MI, MN, MO, NH, NM, NV, OH, PA, WI, and WV), President Bush won 51% of the vote to John Kerrys 49% -- an improvement of 2 points from his 2000 performance in those states. Yesterday also revealed that the Republican Party has made historic gains with minority voters and women. Exit polling revealed that President Bush won 42% of Hispanics (up from 35% in 2000), 11% of African-Americans (up from 9% in 2000), 24% of Jewish voters (up from 19% in 2000), and 47% of women (up from 43% in 2000). In Florida, 55% of Hispanic voters supported President Bush, an increase of 6 points from 2000. Just as we predicted, undecided and late-deciding voters went to the President Bush by a small margin. Despite media predictions that Kerry would win up to 90% of late-deciding voters, exit polling reveals that President Bush won voters who decided in the week before the election, 51% to 48%. Furthermore, as we predicted, yesterday was the first time in modern political history that an equal number of Republicans and Democrats turned out for a presidential election. The Democrats 4-point advantage in 2000 evaporated, with Republicans and Democrats both at 37% of the electorate in 2004.
On a strategic and tactical level, Bush-Cheney '04 and the Republican National Committee helped the President turnout a record number of Republicans and make historic gains among swing groups through an unprecedented volunteer grassroots organization and the most sophisticated advertising and voter contact strategy in campaign history: Some highlights include:
Combining traditional shoe-leather grassroots outreach with an unprecedented online effort to build a network of millions of volunteers who spread the Presidents message and helped turnout the vote on Election Day
Employing cutting-edge research to efficiently target Republicans and Swing Voters through media buys and voter contact, the first time a presidential campaign utilized such research.
Advertising heavily on national cable and radio to deliver the Presidents message to both influentials and voters who had moved away from traditional broadcast TV, another first for a presidential campaign.
Building new support among Hispanic and African American voters through local outreach, arned media, and specialty media buys.
Delivering maps and directions to polling places to our committed supporters and using sophisticated, targeted Internet advertising in the closing days of the campaign to get out the vote.
I think that county in Texas is populated only by cows. Wonder why the Democrats didn't get them to vote for Kerry?
Interesting... a county with no people.
States with the Smallest Margin of Victory
States with the Largest Margin of Victory
States with Highest Percent of Vote
States with Lowest Percent of Vote
State Ranks
County Ranks
Congressional District Ranks
Counties with Highest Percent of Vote
Counties with Lowest Percent of Vote
Counties with Highest Number of Votes
Counties with Lowest Number of Votes
Counties with Lowest Percent of Vote and Win
Counties with Highest Percent of Vote and Lose
Congressional Districts with Highest Percent of Vote
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what was the source for GW increasing his percentage in 45 out of 50 states? i ran another analysis that showed 47 out of 50 with only 1 (VT)lower and 2 (MT and SD) essentially the same.
what was the source for GW increasing his percentage in 45 out of 50 states? i ran another analysis that showed 47 out of 50 with only 1 (VT)lower and 2 (MT and SD) essentially the same.
Bush's raw vote totals seem to have increased in every state except AK, CA, and WA, but all these states also show fewer Democrat votes, so this must simply mean that all the results from these states are not in yet.
Bush's largest increases from 2000 came in FL (+925K) and GA (+448K), OH (+445K), PA (+467K), and TX (+696K).
Looking at the margin of total Bush votes less combined Dem and Nader votes, Bush showed improvement in every single state except DC and VT. In other words, Bush closed the gap or widened his lead in all other states.
Kerry and Nader got fewer votes this time than Gore and Kerry combined last time in AL, AK, AZ, CA, CT, KS, NE, NJ, NY, RI, UT and WA. Some of these western states might not fully be reporting.
NY is pretty interesting: Bush increased his votes by 377K, while KerryNader got 281K fewer votes than GoreNader.
In Alabama, Bush increased his totals by 233K while KerryNader fell 12K. Bush's percentage increased from 56.97% to 62.70% (percentage is of Bush-Dem-Nader, not including 3rd party candidates).
In AZ, Bush has increased his total 123.7K while KerryNader got 6K less. Bush went from 51.67% to 55.55%.
In CT, Bush increased his total 125K while KerryNader fell by 20K. Bush increased from 38.91% to 44.40%.
In NJ, Bush increased his total 303K while KerryNader fell 65K. Bush increased his total from 40.54% to 46.62%.
In RI, Bush increased 30K while KerryNader fell 23K. Bush increased from 32.23% to 39.12%.
Bush's biggest increase in share of the vote came in Hawaii, where he increased his share from 37.79% to 45.63%. He increased his total votes by 56,264 while KerryNader increased his by 4,409.
In VT, Bush's share fell from 41.42% to 39.10%. And while Cheney did indeed deliver WY to Bush, Bush got only 69.50% versus 70.98% last time. This represents the biggest drop in vote percentage for the Bush Cheney team after VT. It it keeps losing 1.49% of the vote in each presidential race, then in 2060, Wyoming will become a blue state. However, even though the Dems increased their percentage, the Republicans gained 19,182 votes while the Dems gained 12,873 votes. The reason the Dem vote percentage increased is because of the new votes, they were higher than 30%.
FL was the great performer. Bush increased his vote total by 925K, to 3.8 million. KerryNader increased by 483K. So while both sides had GOTV, Bush had a lot more.
(I posted yesterday, but on a thread that had pretty much run its course)
No High School 49% (Bush) 50% (Kerry)
Postgrad Study 44% (Bush) 55% (Kerry)
I think moral issues were important, esp. "gay marriage," BUT . . .
Fox just posted its own poll, and you can see that as always, these fools SEPARATED "War on Terrorism" and "Iraq." If you combine those, as I think is appropriate, "War on Terror/Iraq" had ranked 40%.
We shouldn't underestimate morality as a voting issue, but we can't ever be DEMS and lie to ourselves: Properly perceived, this was a mandate on the Iraq War/War on Terror.
Funny, I thought for sure that Glasscock would go big for Kerry.
Counties with Lowest Percent of Vote
Bush Kerry
Matagorda, TX 0.00% Matagorda, TX 0.00%
District of Columbia, DC 9.23% Madison, ID 7.10%
Shannon, SD 12.49% Ochiltree, TX 7.91%
San Francisco, CA 15.43% Garfield, MT 7.94%
New York, NY 16.61% Glasscock, TX 8.26%
BTTT
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