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04 Election Statistics
private web site ^

Posted on 11/04/2004 1:55:18 PM PST by smag499

Election statistics web site. Great site. Bush won 82% of the counties in the United States according to this data. 2004 Results broken out by all types of data.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 11/04/2004 1:55:19 PM PST by smag499
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To: smag499

Where can I find something on demographics?

Christians vs non-Christians voting?

Age demos?

College educated vs non-college?

That sort of thing.

Thanks in advance!


2 posted on 11/04/2004 2:02:41 PM PST by Blzbba (Conservative Republican - Less gov't, less spending, less intrusion.)
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To: smag499

No one voted in Matagorda, TX???


3 posted on 11/04/2004 2:06:36 PM PST by Kirkwood (I think, therefore I am Republican!)
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To: Blzbba

The only place I have seen this so far is on exit polling at http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/

Click a state on the map and look for the link to exit polls for that state.


4 posted on 11/04/2004 2:07:33 PM PST by smag499
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To: smag499

President Bush won a historic victory yesterday by defeating John Kerry by more than 3.5 million votes,

58.6 million to 55.1 million (51% to 48%) and winning the Electoral College 286 to 252. In doing so, President Bush:

• Becomes the first presidential candidate to win more than 50% of the popular vote since 1988.

• Received the most votes by any presidential candidate in history - over 58 million, even breaking President Reagan’s 1984 mark of 54.5 million votes.

• Becomes the first President re-elected while gaining seats in the House and the Senate since 1936, and the first Republican President to be re-elected with House and Senate majorities since 1924.

• Received a higher percentage of the popular vote than any Democratic presidential candidate since 1964.

• Garnered 7 million more popular votes than in 2000 - more than twice the amount that President Clinton increased his vote between 1992 and 1996.

• Increased his percent of the vote from 2000 in 45 out of 50 states, including a 4 percent increase in John Kerry’s home state of Massachusetts. President Bush ran just as strongly in the key battleground states as he did nationally. In the 14 most competitive states (AR, CO, FL, IA, MI, MN, MO, NH, NM, NV, OH, PA, WI, and WV), President Bush won 51% of the vote to John Kerry’s 49% -- an improvement of 2 points from his 2000 performance in those states. Yesterday also revealed that the Republican Party has made historic gains with minority voters and women. Exit polling revealed that President Bush won 42% of Hispanics (up from 35% in 2000), 11% of African-Americans (up from 9% in 2000), 24% of Jewish voters (up from 19% in 2000), and 47% of women (up from 43% in 2000). In Florida, 55% of Hispanic voters supported President Bush, an increase of 6 points from 2000. Just as we predicted, undecided and late-deciding voters went to the President Bush by a small margin. Despite media predictions that Kerry would win up to 90% of late-deciding voters, exit polling reveals that President Bush won voters who decided in the week before the election, 51% to 48%. Furthermore, as we predicted, yesterday was the first time in modern political history that an equal number of Republicans and Democrats turned out for a presidential election. The Democrats’ 4-point advantage in 2000 evaporated, with Republicans and Democrats both at 37% of the electorate in 2004.

On a strategic and tactical level, Bush-Cheney '04 and the Republican National Committee helped the President turnout a record number of Republicans and make historic gains among swing groups through an unprecedented volunteer grassroots organization and the most sophisticated advertising and voter contact strategy in campaign history: Some highlights include:

• Combining traditional shoe-leather grassroots outreach with an unprecedented online effort to build a network of millions of volunteers who spread the President’s message and helped turnout the vote on Election Day

• Employing cutting-edge research to efficiently target Republicans and Swing Voters through media buys and voter contact, the first time a presidential campaign utilized such research.

• Advertising heavily on national cable and radio to deliver the President’s message to both influentials and voters who had moved away from traditional broadcast TV, another first for a presidential campaign.

• Building new support among Hispanic and African American voters through local outreach, arned media, and specialty media buys.

• Delivering maps and directions to polling places to our committed supporters and using sophisticated, targeted Internet advertising in the closing days of the campaign to get out the vote.


5 posted on 11/04/2004 2:09:51 PM PST by schaketo (http://www.gp.org/ Convince progressives to join the Green Party – Divide and conquer)
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To: Kirkwood

I think that county in Texas is populated only by cows. Wonder why the Democrats didn't get them to vote for Kerry?


6 posted on 11/04/2004 2:11:36 PM PST by smag499
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To: smag499

Interesting... a county with no people.


7 posted on 11/04/2004 2:15:36 PM PST by Kirkwood (I think, therefore I am Republican!)
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To: smag499
States with the Smallest Margin of Victory
State EV Total Vote B K %Margin Margin Bush Kerry Other
1 WI 10 2,977,696 2 1 0.46% 13,646 49.33% 49.79% 0.88%
2 IA 7 1,491,287 1 2 0.94% 14,045 50.05% 49.11% 0.83%
3 NM 5 709,874 1 2 1.35% 9,553 50.11% 48.76% 1.13%
4 NH 4 676,115 2 1 1.38% 9,309 48.98% 50.36% 0.66%
5 PA 21 5,664,847 2 1 2.17% 123,128 48.62% 50.79% 0.59%
6 OH 20 5,462,560 1 2 2.39% 130,650 50.96% 48.57% 0.47%
7 NV 5 821,866 1 2 2.62% 21,567 50.49% 47.86% 1.65%
8 MI 17 4,812,169 2 1 3.16% 151,891 47.94% 51.10% 0.96%
9 MN 10 2,820,915 2 1 3.46% 97,512 47.62% 51.07% 1.31%
10 OR 7 1,716,071 2 1 3.93% 67,495 47.32% 51.25% 1.43%


States with the Largest Margin of Victory
State EV Total Vote B K %Margin Margin Bush Kerry Other
1 DC 3 205,854 2 1 80.09% 164,869 9.23% 89.32% 1.44%
2 UT 5 851,615 1 2 44.46% 378,658 70.96% 26.50% 2.54%
3 WY 3 242,676 1 2 39.85% 96,695 68.98% 29.14% 1.88%
4 ID 4 596,867 1 2 38.13% 227,566 68.43% 30.31% 1.26%
5 NE 5 752,501 1 2 33.86% 254,802 66.29% 32.43% 1.28%
6 OK 7 1,463,875 1 2 31.16% 456,079 65.58% 34.42% 0.00%
7 ND 3 311,768 1 2 27.37% 85,336 62.87% 35.49% 1.64%
8 AK 3 246,155 1 2 26.74% 65,812 61.70% 34.96% 3.34%
9 KS 6 1,154,079 1 2 25.71% 296,661 62.17% 36.47% 1.36%
10 AL 9 1,879,396 1 2 25.69% 482,799 62.52% 36.83% 0.65%


States with Highest Percent of Vote
Bush Kerry Nader
Utah 70.96% District of Columbia 89.32% Alaska 1.58%
Wyoming 68.98% Massachusetts 62.11% New York 1.50%
Idaho 68.43% Rhode Island 59.56% Vermont 1.43%
Nebraska 66.29% Vermont 59.14% Montana 1.36%
Oklahoma 65.58% New York 57.76% Utah 1.26%
Badnarik Peroutka Cobb
Indiana 0.76% Utah 0.75% Connecticut 0.61%
Idaho 0.64% Alaska 0.67% Hawaii 0.40%
Illinois 0.62% Idaho 0.52% Maine 0.40%
Arizona 0.60% Montana 0.38% Massachusetts 0.39%
Georgia 0.56% South Carolina 0.33% California 0.32%


States with Lowest Percent of Vote
Bush Kerry Nader
District of Columbia 9.23% Utah 26.50% Virginia 0.00%
Massachusetts 36.95% Wyoming 29.14% Pennsylvania 0.00%
Vermont 38.88% Idaho 30.31% Oregon 0.00%
Rhode Island 38.89% Nebraska 32.43% Oklahoma 0.00%
New York 40.49% Oklahoma 34.42% Ohio 0.00%


State Ranks
Rank Bush Kerry
1 31 20
2 20 31


County Ranks
Rank Bush Kerry
1 2,533 580
2 579 2,532


Congressional District Ranks
Rank Bush Kerry
1 155 42
2 42 155


Counties with Highest Percent of Vote
Bush Kerry Nader
Ochiltree, TX 91.97% District of Columbia, DC 89.32% Grand, UT 2.78%
Madison, ID 91.90% Shannon, SD 84.61% Delaware, NY 2.44%
Roberts, TX 91.65% San Francisco, CA 83.24% Tompkins, NY 2.42%
Glasscock, TX 91.56% Macon, AL 82.64% Chemung, NY 2.35%
Arthur, NE 90.15% Menominee, WI 82.57% Hettinger, ND 2.35%
Badnarik Peroutka Cobb
Franklin, IN 7.07% Juab, UT 2.89% Sharkey, MS 4.71%
Loving, TX 3.75% Knox, ME 2.62% Isanti, MN 2.26%
Essex, VT 2.67% Sanpete, UT 2.57% Humboldt, CA 1.21%
Sharkey, MS 2.40% Idaho, ID 2.53% Newberry, SC 1.16%
Mississippi, AR 1.48% Millard, UT 2.32% Franklin, MA 1.03%


Counties with Lowest Percent of Vote
Bush Kerry
Matagorda, TX 0.00% Matagorda, TX 0.00%
District of Columbia, DC 9.23% Madison, ID 7.10%
Shannon, SD 12.49% Ochiltree, TX 7.91%
San Francisco, CA 15.43% Garfield, MT 7.94%
New York, NY 16.61% Glasscock, TX 8.26%


Counties with Highest Number of Votes
Bush Kerry Nader
Los Angeles, CA 954,764 Los Angeles, CA 1,670,341 Suffolk, NY 13,251
Cook, IL 583,774 Cook, IL 1,389,631 Erie, NY 8,980
Harris, TX 580,553 Wayne, MI 580,199 New York, NY 7,996
Maricopa, AZ 539,776 Philadelphia, PA 517,054 Nassau, NY 6,020
Orange, CA 455,500 Harris, TX 472,320 Salt Lake, UT 5,786
Badnarik Peroutka Cobb
Cook, IL 11,103 Los Angeles, CA 5,580 Los Angeles, CA 8,974
Los Angeles, CA 10,365 Salt Lake, UT 2,140 Middlesex, MA 2,856
Maricopa, AZ 5,450 Orange, CA 1,824 Hartford, CT 2,784
Harris, TX 5,217 Cuyahoga, OH 1,667 New Haven, CT 2,659
Travis, TX 5,069 San Diego, CA 1,515 Alameda, CA 1,926


Counties with Lowest Number of Votes
Bush Kerry
Matagorda, TX 0 Matagorda, TX 0
Loving, TX 65 Loving, TX 12
Kenedy, TX 82 King, TX 18
King, TX 137 Arthur, NE 24
San Juan, CO 216 Blaine, NE 36


Counties with Lowest Percent of Vote and Win
Bush Kerry
Suffolk, NY 48.99% Mono, CA 49.27%
Niagara, NY 49.12% Pope, MN 49.30%
Mono, CA 49.27% Manistee, MI 49.40%
Danville, VA 49.37% Hot Spring, AR 49.40%
Penobscot, ME 49.43% Chester, SC 49.43%


Counties with Highest Percent of Vote and Lose
Bush Kerry
Burke, GA 49.69% Peoria, IL 49.68%
Chatham, NC 49.68% Orange, FL 49.64%
Pemiscot, MO 49.68% Washington, PA 49.64%
Boone, MO 49.66% Russell, AL 49.63%
Perry, IN 49.63% Magoffin, KY 49.60%


Congressional Districts with Highest Percent of Vote
Bush Kerry Nader
District 3, AZ 0.00% District 3, AZ 0.00% District 3, AZ 0.00%
District 4, AZ 0.00% District 4, AZ 0.00% District 4, AZ 0.00%
District 5, AZ 0.00% District 5, AZ 0.00% District 5, AZ 0.00%
District 6, AZ 0.00% District 6, AZ 0.00% District 6, AZ 0.00%
District 5, CA 0.00% District 5, CA 0.00% District 5, CA 0.00%


8 posted on 11/04/2004 2:21:29 PM PST by vannrox (The Preamble to the Bill of Rights - without it, our Bill of Rights is meaningless!)
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To: schaketo

what was the source for GW increasing his percentage in 45 out of 50 states? i ran another analysis that showed 47 out of 50 with only 1 (VT)lower and 2 (MT and SD) essentially the same.


9 posted on 11/04/2004 2:21:33 PM PST by Goodwillhntg (GW.... GODS WISDOM!!)
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To: schaketo

what was the source for GW increasing his percentage in 45 out of 50 states? i ran another analysis that showed 47 out of 50 with only 1 (VT)lower and 2 (MT and SD) essentially the same.


10 posted on 11/04/2004 2:22:10 PM PST by Goodwillhntg (GW.... GODS WISDOM!!)
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To: schaketo
With all due respect, has it not been determined that the exit polling was useless? Or does this represent other exit polling efforts?
11 posted on 11/04/2004 2:22:16 PM PST by vrwinger ("Need some wood?")
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To: Goodwillhntg
I have just done some analysis of the 2000 versus 2004 election results.

Bush's raw vote totals seem to have increased in every state except AK, CA, and WA, but all these states also show fewer Democrat votes, so this must simply mean that all the results from these states are not in yet.

Bush's largest increases from 2000 came in FL (+925K) and GA (+448K), OH (+445K), PA (+467K), and TX (+696K).

Looking at the margin of total Bush votes less combined Dem and Nader votes, Bush showed improvement in every single state except DC and VT. In other words, Bush closed the gap or widened his lead in all other states.

Kerry and Nader got fewer votes this time than Gore and Kerry combined last time in AL, AK, AZ, CA, CT, KS, NE, NJ, NY, RI, UT and WA. Some of these western states might not fully be reporting.

NY is pretty interesting: Bush increased his votes by 377K, while KerryNader got 281K fewer votes than GoreNader.

In Alabama, Bush increased his totals by 233K while KerryNader fell 12K. Bush's percentage increased from 56.97% to 62.70% (percentage is of Bush-Dem-Nader, not including 3rd party candidates).

In AZ, Bush has increased his total 123.7K while KerryNader got 6K less. Bush went from 51.67% to 55.55%.

In CT, Bush increased his total 125K while KerryNader fell by 20K. Bush increased from 38.91% to 44.40%.

In NJ, Bush increased his total 303K while KerryNader fell 65K. Bush increased his total from 40.54% to 46.62%.

In RI, Bush increased 30K while KerryNader fell 23K. Bush increased from 32.23% to 39.12%.

Bush's biggest increase in share of the vote came in Hawaii, where he increased his share from 37.79% to 45.63%. He increased his total votes by 56,264 while KerryNader increased his by 4,409.

In VT, Bush's share fell from 41.42% to 39.10%. And while Cheney did indeed deliver WY to Bush, Bush got only 69.50% versus 70.98% last time. This represents the biggest drop in vote percentage for the Bush Cheney team after VT. It it keeps losing 1.49% of the vote in each presidential race, then in 2060, Wyoming will become a blue state. However, even though the Dems increased their percentage, the Republicans gained 19,182 votes while the Dems gained 12,873 votes. The reason the Dem vote percentage increased is because of the new votes, they were higher than 30%.

FL was the great performer. Bush increased his vote total by 925K, to 3.8 million. KerryNader increased by 483K. So while both sides had GOTV, Bush had a lot more.

(I posted yesterday, but on a thread that had pretty much run its course)

12 posted on 11/04/2004 2:28:31 PM PST by Koblenz (Holland: a very tolerant country. Until someone shoots you on a public street in broad daylight...)
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To: smag499
This is funny. If you look at the voters by education section, you see the post grad's are just as "dumb" (dumber) as those who never graduated high school. Everyone in between leans more conservative.

No High School 49% (Bush) 50% (Kerry)

Postgrad Study 44% (Bush) 55% (Kerry)

13 posted on 11/04/2004 2:48:10 PM PST by SpookBrat
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To: Blzbba
Something of a myth has already developed, that "moral issues" were the main driving force. Fox said this, based on its poll, where "moral issues" were the #1 thing mentioned by something like 25% of the respondents.

I think moral issues were important, esp. "gay marriage," BUT . . .

Fox just posted its own poll, and you can see that as always, these fools SEPARATED "War on Terrorism" and "Iraq." If you combine those, as I think is appropriate, "War on Terror/Iraq" had ranked 40%.

We shouldn't underestimate morality as a voting issue, but we can't ever be DEMS and lie to ourselves: Properly perceived, this was a mandate on the Iraq War/War on Terror.

14 posted on 11/04/2004 3:34:32 PM PST by LS
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To: vannrox

Funny, I thought for sure that Glasscock would go big for Kerry.


Counties with Lowest Percent of Vote
Bush Kerry
Matagorda, TX 0.00% Matagorda, TX 0.00%
District of Columbia, DC 9.23% Madison, ID 7.10%
Shannon, SD 12.49% Ochiltree, TX 7.91%
San Francisco, CA 15.43% Garfield, MT 7.94%
New York, NY 16.61% Glasscock, TX 8.26%


15 posted on 11/04/2004 3:59:41 PM PST by Hillary's Lovely Legs (My idea of rebooting is kicking somebody in the butt twice)
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To: smag499

BTTT


16 posted on 11/04/2004 4:02:50 PM PST by Fiddlstix (This Tagline for sale. (Presented by TagLines R US))
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