[dufekin]

Let me fix these. First, some assumptions.

• Every incumbent runs for reelection and wins the primary.
• The opponents are "stock" members of the other party. In Missouri, that means that the Democrat is deceased. If the Democrat were alive, Talent wins a second term. "Star" opponents, such as Guiliani (NY) decline the honor.
• There are no minor-party insurgencies.

DEMOCRATS	REPUBLICANS
CERTAIN RE-ELECTION; NO OPPOSITION
Akaka (HI)	Thomas (WY)
	Lott (MS)
Kennedy (MA)	Kyl (AZ)
	Allen (VA)
NOT VULNERABLE; TOKEN OPPOSITION
Sarbanes (MD)	de Wine (OH)
Conrad (ND)
Byrd (WV)
Lieberman (CT)
Khol (WI)
Feinstein (CA)	Frist (TN)
Carper (DE)	Hutchison (TX)
Cantwell (WA)
POSSIBLY VULNERABLE TO STRONG OPPONENT
Stabenow (MI)	Snowe (ME)
Dayton (MN)	Hatch (UT)
Bingaman (NM)	Santorum (PA)
POSSIBLY TIGHT RACES OR BIG WINS
Clinton (NY)	Lugar (IN)
	Ensign (NV)
PROBABLY WILL EKE NARROW VICTORY
Nelson (FL)	Chafee*
Corzine (NJ)
Nelson (NE)
MIGHT HE LOSE TO DEMOCRAT? CLUELESS.
Jeffords (VT)
PROBABLY WILL LOSE TO GENERAL CANDIDATE
	Talent (MO)**
LIKELY TO LOSE
	Burns (MT)

* Chafee would win reelection easily as a Democrat, should he defect to that party.
** Assumes that opponent is deceased, like many Democratic voters in this state. Senator Talent likely would win against any living Democratic opponent.

[An American!]

"Let me fix these. First, some assumptions. "
I like your summary. Thank you. It is still early but this has been a good discussion and proved in some areas that there is more than one opinion on who is vulnerable and for what reasons. I listed some as vulnerable because I anticipate that they are leaving or pursuing Governor etc.