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Election Night Timeline Revisited
US Election Atlas ^ | 20 November 2004 | Vigilanteman

Posted on 11/20/2004 3:56:12 PM PST by Vigilanteman

Election Night Timeline

There is no media bias. Just look at the way our 2004 presidential election was handled. I was working a precinct in Pennsylvania, a state slighty larger than Ohio, when the state was declared for Kerry. We were still voting when this happened. All the networks did not declare Ohio for Bush until Kerry conceded the following day-- even though the margin was wider.

Meanwhile, the networks called Minnesota and Michigan for Kerry before all the polls closed in Alaska. New Hampshire was called for Kerry shortly thereafter. Who can forget how giddy Dan Rather of CBS was when New England was colored entirely for Kerry?

When all the polls closed in Alaska, a couple of the networks who decided to go out on a limb and call Ohio for Bush, finally declared he had clinched a tie. But CBS and NBC refused to call Ohio. Wisconsin (with Kerry leading narrowly) and Nevada, New Mexico and Iowa (with Bush leading by a greater percent) also remained uncalled when most of us went to bed. Except CBS and NBC were confident enough tocall Wisconsin for Kerry before most of us woke up.

The next morning, the news shows indicated Bush would be comfortably re-elected, except CBS and NBC. Nevada had finally been put in the Bush column, but New Mexico, Iowa and (of course) Ohio still remained in doubt.

By mid-morning, it became apparent Kerry would not find enough votes to challenge the results in Ohio, but New Mexico and Iowa still remained undecided, even though Bush now had 4 more electoral votes than the 270 needed to guarantee a clear majority.

It wasn't until a full week after the election that Iowa and New Mexico were finally put into the Bush column. Were the margins of victory so much narrower in the late-declaring Bush states, or was the result just not what NBC and CBS wanted. Look at the margins and you decide.

Bush margin over Kerry in Ohio: 136,483 votes
in Alaska: 79,178 votes
in Nevada: 21,500 votes
in New Mexico: 7,471 votes
in Iowa: 13,077 votes

Kerry margin over Bush in Pennsylvania: 129,927 votes
in Michigan: 151,891 votes
in Minnesota: 98,319 votes
in Wisconsin: 13,646 votes
in New Hampshire: 9,309 votes


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Alaska; US: Iowa; US: Michigan; US: Minnesota; US: Nevada; US: New Hampshire; US: Ohio; US: Pennsylvania; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: electionday; mediabias; seebs
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We report, you decide. Is there media bias? Is the Pope Catholic?
1 posted on 11/20/2004 3:56:13 PM PST by Vigilanteman
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To: Vigilanteman

I don't watch CBS but in retrospect maybe I should have. Just to have a good laugh at old Dan.

The bad news is the net works are terribly biased. The good news is we don't have to watch them.


2 posted on 11/20/2004 4:01:45 PM PST by Graybeard58
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To: Vigilanteman

A suggestion. Your table of comparisons would be a lot more meaningful if you added percentages.


3 posted on 11/20/2004 4:02:22 PM PST by Restorer (Europe is heavily armed, but only with envy.)
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To: Graybeard58
The bad news is the net works are terribly biased. The good news is we don't have to watch them.

DITTOS!!!

4 posted on 11/20/2004 4:04:24 PM PST by tubebender (If I had know I would live this long I would have taken better care of myself...)
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To: Vigilanteman

What's new? Of course the MSM held out as long as they possibly could to declare several states clearly leaning to Bush. You're absolutely right on in that they called PA and WI while they were still up for grabs. Can I say that I hate these liberal jerks? Okay, I hate these liberal jerks.


5 posted on 11/20/2004 4:04:56 PM PST by rj45mis
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To: Vigilanteman
We report, you decide. Is there media bias? Is the Pope Catholic?

Yes, the Pope is Catholic, but John Kerry is not.


6 posted on 11/20/2004 4:05:39 PM PST by Lunkhead_01
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To: Vigilanteman
What hindsight tells you is that Ohio was indeed never in doubt in any meaningful way and certainly not after the vote reporting had reached the 90% mark.

The doubt that resided in the heads of the Network Anchors was simply the one that was declared by Commander Kerry with a few words whispered over the phone to the alphabet networks:

"Ohio Is In Doubt - Make It So".

7 posted on 11/20/2004 4:08:33 PM PST by InterceptPoint
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To: Vigilanteman

Good point.


8 posted on 11/20/2004 4:08:58 PM PST by Deetes
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To: tubebender; Graybeard58

I got a huge charge out of watching the alphabets on election day and late into the night. Their glee at Kerry supposedly being ahead in the exit polling, and their letdown when President Bush started winning was fun to see.


9 posted on 11/20/2004 4:10:20 PM PST by Theresawithanh (Tagline go away, where tagline? He-e-e-e-e-e-re tagline.......)
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To: Theresawithanh
I got a huge charge out of watching the alphabets on election day and late into the night. Their glee at Kerry supposedly being ahead in the exit polling, and their letdown when President Bush started winning was fun to see.

Same here. My daughter and I got tired of watching Fox and tuned in to CNN and CBS for some comic relief.

10 posted on 11/20/2004 4:16:54 PM PST by Mr Ramsbotham (Laws against sodomy are honored in the breech.)
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To: Restorer
Agreed. I also find it rather curious that Pennsylvania was declared so quickly for Kerry when his margin in the smaller state of Michigan was much greater.

I suspect someone in the networks had inside information on just how many ballots the Rendell machine would be able to manufacture just in case.

11 posted on 11/20/2004 4:20:22 PM PST by Vigilanteman (crime would drop like a sprung trapdoor if we brought back good old-fashioned hangings)
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To: Vigilanteman

More clear to me was the refusal to call the election over when Bush got to 269. Given the state delegation split in the House, Bush needed 269 to win, while Kerry needed 270.

I guess it could have been being guy-shy after the last election? I guess it could have been hoping to hold on to views at 1 AM? But most likely it was bias.


12 posted on 11/20/2004 4:20:35 PM PST by JLS
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To: Vigilanteman

Please note, USA Today reports as follows:

" In the exception to TV networks' caution in projecting winners on election night, Fox News Channel and NBC awarded Ohio's crucial electoral votes to Bush shortly before 1 a.m. Wednesday, more than 12 hours before Kerry conceded the state and the race.

ABC, CBS, and CNN held off on declaring Ohio red for Bush or blue for Kerry. CNN added a new color to the palette of red and blue states —green, for "too close to call" — until finally awarding it to Bush on Wednesday when Kerry conceded."


13 posted on 11/20/2004 4:44:01 PM PST by tvn
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To: Vigilanteman

Actually Fox was the first to call Ohio. Brit Hume saw the lead go from 140000 to 100000 for Bush in like 10 minutes. You could see it in his eyes he was starting to sweat it, kept looking for reiforcement from Barone the Ohio SOS etc. I could just see him saying to himself "Oh sh1& not again" thinking about 2000. But 10 minutes later the lead was back up to 130000 and he was visibly relieved. If i wasn't so worried myself i would have sympathized LOL


14 posted on 11/20/2004 4:47:43 PM PST by traderrob6
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To: Graybeard58
I was flipping back and forth watching all of them. Most interesting was that, until it came time to call Ohio, it seemes that CBS was being the most agressive in caling states, and Fox was most careful.

I think this was because CBS needed to give people some reason to watch (I realized that was the reason I kept turning to them) and Fox didn't want to be accused of calling too soon.

If you weren't watching Dan Rather after 1:00 AM pacific then you missed one of the greatest displays of contortionism of all time. He was trying to figure out all the different wats that Kerry could still pull it out.

Classic!

15 posted on 11/20/2004 4:48:03 PM PST by WuzaDem (Are You Conservative? http://areyouconservative.typepad.com)
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To: InterceptPoint
Kerry's camp demanded the media NOT call Ohio for President Bush.

FNC and Tom Brokejaw called the state for Bush and the rest of them cowered before the dems and made no call.

16 posted on 11/20/2004 4:52:46 PM PST by OldFriend (PRAY FOR POWERS EQUAL TO THE TASKS)
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To: tubebender; All
I'm sorry but you're wrong. Until the veil of credibility is pierced throughout the population at large, MSM can still play their games as this piece reflects. Not everybody has cable or the internet. This is why it is more important we remain vigilant not lay back in comfort.
The Libs still control the institutions and will hold on with a grip tighter than death.
17 posted on 11/20/2004 4:54:28 PM PST by britt reed (A man can prove anything, but is God convinced?)
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To: Vigilanteman
I was feeling very good about things before 8:00 PM EST. By then, it had become clear that the exit polls were bogus, and it also appeared that Ohio would be crucial.

Most of Kentucky and most of Indiana closed at 6:00; when the remainder of those two states closed at 7:00, they were instantly called for President Bush, and actual vote totals were released. Both of those states adjoin Ohio, and the results foretold good news.

The Indiana returns showed President Bush running 2 to 3% ahead of his 2000 performance from the start.

The early Kentucky returns showed President Bush running a couple of points behind his 2000 numbers, but it was clear from the Congressional race (won by Anne Northup) that most of Louisville had already reported. Recall also that Senator Bunning was trailing badly early on. So it was evident that Dubya would outperform his 2000 figures in two states adjacent to Ohio.

Then, at 7:48, West Virginia, which also abuts Ohio, was called for the President. I don't recall seeing any hard numbers from WV until much later, but the fact that it was called so quickly indicated a comfortable win, as indeed turned out to be the case.

Of course, the networks had two good reasons to delay the call in Ohio: their obvious bias in Kerry's favor, and the desire to maintain some drama deep into the night. The whole production was annoying, but I can honestly say I wasn't worried after 8:00 PM.

18 posted on 11/20/2004 4:55:32 PM PST by southernnorthcarolina (I'm from so far back in the woods, even the Episcopalians handle snakes.)
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To: Vigilanteman
Also if you remember, it took them a very long time to call Virginia.
19 posted on 11/20/2004 5:52:33 PM PST by qam1 (McGreevy likes his butts his way, I like mine my way - so NO SMOKING BANS in New Jersey)
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To: Vigilanteman
they explained it on Fox News: in states where the early vote seemed to confirm the exit polls (which were slanted towards kerry for "some" reason), the networks felt safe calling the state. that's why MI, PA, & etc. fell early for Kerry, but the networks didn't feel like they could call NC,SC, and MS (for cryin' out loud) for bush.

finally, Fox was smart enough to sh*tcan the exit polls altogether, which is why they were able to call ohio earlier -- in some cases seven days earlier -- than other networks.

20 posted on 11/20/2004 7:36:26 PM PST by smonk
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