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Chávez arming to fight attack by U.S.
The Miami Herald ^ | Feb. 12, 2005 | Phil Gunson and Steven Dudley

Posted on 02/12/2005 7:28:32 AM PST by David1

CARACAS - Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez has long been known for his harsh anti-Bush rhetoric. But now he's stepping up military plans and weapons purchases to match his combative tone, and he is worrying U.S. policymakers.

Within the past two weeks the leftist populist leader has called himself a ''socialist'' and ''Fidelista,'' and offered a muscular new course for his self-described ''revolution'' on behalf of Venezuela's poor.

''I propose that we move to the offensive, just like the imperialists have moved to the bloody and ruthless offensive. If you don't believe me, look at Iraq . . .'' Chávez told a news conference in Brazil late last month.

''We have to embrace socialism as a thesis,'' he continued, in what observers said was his most direct public reference to his socialist views. He later added that any attack on Cuba or Venezuela ``would be an attack on both.''

Chávez has called President Bush the devil and worse, and he regularly blames Washington for a 2002 coup attempt against him. Critics brand him a would-be dictator, but Chávez has won two democratic elections and fended off a recall referendum just last year.

Still, his latest comments worry U.S. policymakers, mostly because they coincide with his push to obtain new weaponry and forge a new national military doctrine that would prepare his country for a war of resistance against a possible U.S. invasion.

Simultaneously, Chávez has said he is placing the 50,000 soldiers of the military reserve directly under his control and organizing his civilian supporters into armed militias to be known as ``popular defense units.''

OIL A COMPLICATION

Although U.S. officials have dismissed the idea of a military attack on Venezuela, they have expressed concern over Chávez' new stance since Venezuela remains the fourth-largest supplier of oil to the United States.

Earlier this week, the State Department's assistant secretary for Western Hemisphere affairs, Roger Noriega, challenged Chávez's efforts to create the militias and his purchase of 40 Russian helicopters and 100,000 AK-47 assault rifles.

Noriega told a TV interviewer that the weapons could end up in ''the hands of some criminal and irregular groups'' -- an apparent reference to leftist guerrillas in neighboring Colombia with whom Chávez has been accused of sympathizing.

Vice President José Vicente Rangel responded swiftly to Noriega's comments, saying they had ''the deliberate goal of provoking Venezuela'' and that the new guns would replace old weaponry.

The heightened U.S.Venezuela tensions coincide with new strategies for bilateral relations in both countries.

After years of Washington's trying to avoid confrontations with Chávez, a new U.S. ''policy review'' is expected soon to recommend trying to isolate Venezuela from its neighbors.

''We've tried to establish common ground with the Venezuelan government,'' Noriega said in the television interview. ``But, unfortunately, President Chávez has sabotaged our efforts.''

For his part, Chávez has been trying to extricate Venezuela from the U.S. economic sphere of influence by forging ties with countries such as China and Argentina and hinting that he may sell Venezuela's U.S. gasoline and refining business, Citgo.

But it is Venezuela's attempt to procure arms and create militias that has made the U.S. government jumpy.

''Even if these are to replace the older weapons, where are these older models going to go?'' wondered one State Department official, speaking on condition of anonymity. ``They're old. It doesn't mean they're useless.''

Other deals include the purchase of the 40 helicopters and the possible purchase of 50 Russian-made MiG 29 fighter jets. Media reports from Washington say the United States has petitioned Russia to rethink the sales.

While some officials worry that the AK-47s could end up in Colombian rebels' hands, others believe the weapons acquisition is a reasonable part of Chávez's shift in military doctrine.

As described by Gen. Melvin López, head of the National Defense Council (Venezuela's equivalent to the National Security Council), the new doctrine would focus on an ''asymmetric war'' -- a conflict between a superior and an inferior fighting force, like those in Afghanistan and Iraq.

Under the new doctrine, the only way to fend off a superior enemy is by using guerrilla tactics -- hence Chávez's efforts to create militia groups and bulk up reserve units.

In recent statements, López said asymmetrical war would involve ``the participation of the whole population; adapting ourselves to the geopolitical [situation] of the country.''

Chávez recently said the new popular defense units would comprise 10 to 500 members each and would fall outside the normal military hierarchy and directly under the president's command, in effect creating Chávez's own, private revolutionary army. They are to be organized ``in the barrio, in the factory.''

If the ''imperialists'' intervene in Venezuela, Chávez added, ``they will face the people . . . ready to defend their sovereignty, their country and their dignity.''

OTHERS' TECHNIQUES

Venezuela's new strategy comes from the same roots as 'the prolonged popular war of Mao Zedong, Ho Chi Minh and Vo Nguyen Giap in Asia, and `the war of all the people' in Cuba,' '' said one of the Chávez government's ideologues, Mexico-based academic Heinz Dieterich.

Cuba has long projected the ''war of all the people'' not only as the strategy it would use to wear down and eventually defeat a possible U.S. invasion but as the kind of aggressive posture that might even deter a U.S. attack.

That is not far from the vision of Gen. Alberto Müeller, a studied military tactician as well as a former senator and Chávez campaign aide. Müeller is expected to be named to the special government commission that will put the country's new military doctrine in writing.

In an interview with The Herald, Müeller said the new doctrine of ''decentralized defense'' was to signal the United States not to attack.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: chavez; hugochavez; latinamerica; paranoidbastard; venezuela
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To: David1

No. That's a cover. He's arming to take over more land. Colombia, etc. IMO.


21 posted on 02/12/2005 7:48:52 AM PST by bvw
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To: David1
"Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez has long been known for his harsh anti-Bush rhetoric. But now he's stepping up military plans and weapons purchases to match his combative tone, and he is worrying U.S. policymakers."

Jimmy Carter is probably waving his pom-poms with glee.
22 posted on 02/12/2005 7:49:14 AM PST by rollo tomasi (Working hard to pay for deadbeats and corrupt politicians)
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To: David1
Assuming (a very dubious assumption) that UGO THE MAGNIFICENT was actually elected even once, Venezuela is an ongoing story of why freedom is far more important than mere democracy and must take precedence.

We ought not to tolerate his continued wasting of oxygen.

For Venezuelans, slavery is when UGO takes control of your country; hope is when the US takes note of what this communist punk is up to; and freedom is when he is thoroughly ventilated along with his top commissars and hanged by the ankles in the public square of Caracas for an appropriate outraging of the corpses. The sooner the better.

23 posted on 02/12/2005 7:51:10 AM PST by BlackElk (Dean of Discipline of the Tomas de Torquemada Gentlemen's Club)
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To: pangaea6
Isn't this same fella that Jimmy Carter embraced his election and had a lovefest with?

It would have to be. Carter has a perfect record of supporting losers at the world leader level who systematically and thoroughly abuse their people whether intentionally and negligently.

Carter is the master of economic and social malaise. The one thing he cannot and will not tolerate is a cheerful, optimistic, prosperous, and self-reliant people.

24 posted on 02/12/2005 7:52:46 AM PST by JCEccles
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To: kingsurfer

Right -- the Somoza regime was no picnic. It was said that, in essence, five bigshot families controlled or owned most of the country and decided its fortunes. So, out of the frying pan (which was fairly local and contained), into the fire (which made it instantly a threat of the first magnitude, the international communist conspiracy -- a direct threat to the US -- that is, until that scheme came apart at the seams in 1989-90).


25 posted on 02/12/2005 7:52:59 AM PST by Migraine
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To: David1

Another Castro. Perfect! END SARCASM!


26 posted on 02/12/2005 7:53:02 AM PST by conservativecorner
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To: David1

My guess: He wants to attack Colombia and/or Guyana because Venezuela has territorial disputes with both countries. Chavez is a rabid nationalist and populist. That's quite a brutal combination.


27 posted on 02/12/2005 7:53:15 AM PST by Kurt_D
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To: Migraine

I hear they are relatively stable now with a semi-functioning democracy. Do you know it is or not?
I certainly hope so. If countries in Latin America can show that democracy means you can prosper then it would a great example.


28 posted on 02/12/2005 7:55:00 AM PST by kingsurfer
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To: David1

Brilliant implementation of the highly acclaimed North Korean model of governance.


29 posted on 02/12/2005 7:56:52 AM PST by RFEngineer
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To: jocon307
Once again, let us give thanks we live in the USA.
Amen. I've told my own children this a thousand times, and I tell my students that as well.
30 posted on 02/12/2005 7:58:26 AM PST by Clara Lou (Hillary Clinton: "We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good.")
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To: Clara Lou

I think the same goes for most people living in the Western world. I mnea there are literally billions of people leaving in poverty or under dictatorship. We are all lucky to have the benefit of living in a free, prosperous, democratic society.


31 posted on 02/12/2005 7:59:52 AM PST by kingsurfer
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To: Clara Lou

"I've told my own children this a thousand times, and I tell my students that as well."

good on ya Clara Lou! keep telling them the TRUTH! It's amazing how many people won't.


32 posted on 02/12/2005 8:03:23 AM PST by jocon307 (Vote George Washington for the #1 spot)
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To: David1

What do people in nordeste Brasil think about this cabron?


33 posted on 02/12/2005 8:09:04 AM PST by BobS
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To: RFEngineer

And it's time for us to ratchet up the old Cold War. Ronald Reagan won the battle and instigated the demise of the Evil Empire, but will Jimmy Carter, Fidel Castro, Robert Mugabe, and Hugo Chavez win the war?


34 posted on 02/12/2005 8:14:30 AM PST by dufekin (Saddam Hussein: both a TERRORIST and a COMMUNIST, deposed thank God and the American soldier!)
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To: conservativecorner

There's only one way to deal with an idiot like this one, and that is to cut him off at his knees. Blockade all oil exports coming out of his country, I know it would probably hurt us in the short term but the long term benefits would be tremendous. His whole house of cards would collapse overnight and he'd be just another self-deluded Socialist fool dumped upon the ashe heap of history.


35 posted on 02/12/2005 8:19:26 AM PST by Mr. C (I'm game for another "Tea Party" ... How about you?)
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To: pangaea6
...but Chávez has won two democratic elections and fended off a recall referendum just last year.

Those elections were as democratic as Saddam's. As Stalin said, "It doesn't matter who votes. What matters is who counts the votes." When Carter blessed them we should have known this would be coming.

36 posted on 02/12/2005 8:21:58 AM PST by Mind-numbed Robot (Not all things that need to be done need to be done by the government.)
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To: Migraine
". . . the Somoza regime was no picnic. It was said that, in essence, five bigshot families controlled or owned most of the country and decided its fortunes."

Sounds like a more violent version of Mexico.

37 posted on 02/12/2005 8:22:01 AM PST by Oatka
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To: David1
He later added that any attack on Cuba or Venezuela ``would be an attack on both.''

The Moonbat Doctrine

38 posted on 02/12/2005 8:23:34 AM PST by CaptRon (Pedecaris alive or Raisuli dead)
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To: Oatka

I found this good link about the last century over there. Makes a good paraphrased read.

http://www.moreorless.au.com/killers/somoza.htm


39 posted on 02/12/2005 8:23:59 AM PST by kingsurfer
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To: kingsurfer
I hear they are relatively stable now with a semi-functioning democracy. Do you know it is or not? I certainly hope so. If countries in Latin America can show that democracy means you can prosper then it would a great example. They are relatively stable, having had three elections in which the Sandinistas were rebuffed every time. However, bear in mind that everything communism touches turns to fecal matter (and it doesn't take long). With that in mind, Nicaragua's meager progress economically is to be compared with that of, say, Albania, or maybe Bulgaria. They need to overcome two persistent mentalities among the populace: peasant and socialist. That is, they need a middle class. For that, massive education is the key. That, and time. They are still very poor and have the unseemly gaps between rich and poor that communism so often successfully exploits. I hope they make it. Unfortunately, just as progress seemed most promising, hurricane Mitch hammered them back into the dark ages in 1998.
40 posted on 02/12/2005 8:31:29 AM PST by Migraine
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