Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

"The Angola health minister said the situation was 'critical.' Besides those dead a similar number are in hospital being treated for the disease."

The above comment on the number of patients in the hospital is a misconception in many of the media reports.  Marburg virus is killing over 90% of those infected.  The number of known cases in the hospital is small, because over 90% of those infected have died.  If there were 132 infected patients in the hospital, 20 to 40 per day would be dying.  Instead only a handful are admitted each day, and a handful are dying each day, because most of those infected have already died.

As noted in the WHO announcement of March 23, 2005 after the Marburg virus was identified:

"Retrospective analysis has now identified 102 cases in the outbreak, which dates back to October 2004. Of these case, 95 have been fatal."  Thus, the fatality rate based on those numbers is 93%.  However, the true rate is near 100%, because the latest cases have not been sick long enough to die.

There have been no recent reports of any Marburg infected patients in Angola who have recovered. 

Those still alive are still in the hospital.  The latest numbers indicate 121 out of 132 have died. That means there are only a handful who have been diagnosed with Marburg and are still alive.  It does not mean 132 are still in the hospital being treated.

Patients have only been living a few days in the hospital.  The daily death toll would be markedly higher if there were 132 hospitalized patients infected with the Ebola-like Marburg virus. The virus has also taken a toll on healthcare workers.  Six nurses and two physicians have died, as they try to treat patients, but lack basic barriers such as gloves, gowns, and masks.

Marburg also appears to have been transmitted in Angola's capital, Luanda, which has an international airport, raising concerns of further spread.

MA

1 posted on 03/27/2005 8:21:51 PM PST by Mother Abigail
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies ]


To: Mother Abigail
Marburg also appears to have been transmitted in Angola's capital, Luanda, which has an international airport, raising concerns of further spread.

Bad omen...

2 posted on 03/27/2005 8:27:06 PM PST by seadevil (...because you're a blithering idiot, that's why. Next question?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: Mother Abigail

Hemmoragic (sp?) fevers like Ebola and Marburg are really nasty. If I understand the nature of these diseases, even top-of-the-line medical care is generally ineffective. With the horrible medical care available in that part of the world, the only thing that can be done in many cases is to quarantine the area until the virus runs its course.


3 posted on 03/27/2005 8:29:46 PM PST by RebelBanker (To crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and to hear the lamentation of the women!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: Mother Abigail

Those poor people. It seems like that part of the world gets hit with diseases like this. I wonder how long it*s going to take something like this to arrive in America? We*ve been fortunate so far, but the way people fly all over the world it could be here before we know it.


4 posted on 03/27/2005 8:31:30 PM PST by NRA2BFree (Hosea 4:6 My people are destroyed for lack of knowledge ..)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: Mother Abigail

I thought Marburg was a bit less fatal that Ebola. (It's also shorter in length.) Unless something happened recently, the vector is still unknown for both.


5 posted on 03/27/2005 8:31:32 PM PST by Doctor Stochastic (Vegetabilisch = chaotisch is der Charakter der Modernen. - Friedrich Schlegel)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: Mother Abigail

Ken Alibek had some chilling accounts of Soviet experience with Marburg via bio weapon work. Truly nasty stuff if it ever got into the wrong hands.


11 posted on 03/27/2005 9:08:46 PM PST by mitchbert (Facts Are Stubborn Things .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: Mother Abigail

I'm sorry to say it, but if WHO and our CDC spent as much time, money, and effort dealing with things such as this, instead of stupid stuff maybe you wouldn't be posting so many of these type articles.

Please don't get me wrong - I for one, truly appreciate seeing this information........I'm just fed up with the bureaucracies that were (allegedly) created to deal with controlling contagious diseases that are now more interested in curbing (bad) habits instead of finding cures, or at least controlling communicable diseases.


16 posted on 03/27/2005 9:19:57 PM PST by Gabz (Wanna join my tag team?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson