Posted on 04/20/2005 5:22:15 AM PDT by Born Conservative
I have the Dems favored to win both of those races, but they may well have to spend far more time/resources there than they'd like to. If Capito or Ireland challenge Byrd on the GOP side, he'll have to work to be re-elected. And if he has a senior moment like Sen. Roth (R-DE) did in his 2000 re-election bid (when he fainted on camera), then all bets are off. As to Maryland, the GOP's only hope to make this a competitive race would be if Steele runs. If he does, I'd rate it only a slight Dem advantage and it will be a grind-it-out race.
Exactly.
"It is a shame the current Governor of RI does not run. He is a moderate/conservative and and a veteran to boot. He'd be an excellent senator from RI."
i was hoping he would jump in
maybe he will challenge Reed next time around
Why would a moderate republican (and by moderate, I assume you mean on social issues like abortion) cross over to vote for pro-life Casey?
I assume these "moderate" republicans are republicans for economic reasons and moderate for social reasons.
Then wouldn't Casey be the exact opposite of who they want to get elected?
Also, the numbers in this poll don't bear you out.
Only 25% of Republicans would vote for a pro-choice ind. candidate.
Fully 48% of Dems would.
That's a problem.
We shall see though.
I feel though on this board, there is a definite "I want Santorum" to lose attitude.
Which is just stupid.
I know it stems from the Specter/Tommey primary, but may I remind you all the Bush endorsed Specter.
Did you withold your vote(s) from the President in November because of that?
If you think that by voting for Casey you are in anyway helping the conservative cause, or the pro-life cause, you are foolish.
I've just been looking at articles from the Washington Post's archive prior to the 2000 election, Santorum was behind Klink and looked like a goner then too.
So I think all this gloom and doom is theatre.
I don't think there's any way in hell that Casey beats Santorum by 15 points, but I think this poll does show that people are open to considering an alternative, and that Casey's name gets him in the front door.
Everything I've heard indicates that Casey's a lousy candidate. And he's going to have to thread the needle very well on abortion if he wants to hold his base together. I think he's got a good shot of unseating Santorum, unfortunately, but not nearly as good as this misleading poll would have people believe.
But Daddy refused to sign any death warrants, despite the fact that it was in his job description and was legal in PA at the time.
Regarding Tennessee: Democrats do not win open Senate seats in the South in this millennium. 2006 shouldn't be any different. The MSM may love Ford, but his family's going to drag him down, big time.
The following Job approvals are down in the poll:
...President Bush
...Senator Specter
...Senator Santorum
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Santorum is handling his job as
United States Senator?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Approve 48% 70% 34% 40% 51% 45%
Disapprove 35 16 49 40 36 34
DK/NA 18 14 17 20 13 21
17. Looking ahead to the 2006 election for United States Senator, do you feel that
Rick Santorum deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve
to be reelected?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Deserves reelection 44% 72% 26% 38% 49% 41%
Does not 37 15 51 44 38 36
DK/NA 19 13 23 18 14 23
Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Central
Deserves reelection 36% 35% 45% 41% 47% 41% 55%
Does not 57 36 33 38 33 38 28
DK/NA 8 29 22 20 20 21 16
Casey is so wildly popular that slick eddy wiped the floor with him.
Independent? Quinnipiac? Snort!
The Hill - Published on: 4/12/2005
Issued: April 15, 2005 - Federal
The 10 most vulnerable U.S. House Republicans have raised twice as much as their Democratic counterparts this year, testifying to an enduring GOP fundraising advantage in member-to-member giving and the majority party’s influence among donors on K Street. The “ROMP” Republicans collected an average of $393,000, according to figures provided by the members' offices. Meanwhile, the "Frontline" Democrats raised an average of $190,000, according to Sarah Feinberg, spokesperson for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC). "ROMP," or Retain Our Majority Program, was designed by U.S. House Majority Leader Tom DeLay (R-Texas) in 1999 as a way to encourage all House Republicans to take an interest in retaining the GOP majority. The figures for the 10 Republicans lawmakers dwarf the numbers tallied by many of the 10 incumbents that DCCC Chairperson Rahm Emanuel’s (D-Ill.) "Frontline" program is attempting to protect. Both parties have made a push to persuade lawmakers from safe seats to transfer campaign money to their more marginal colleagues. However, the GOP figures suggest House Republican leaders have found a way to protect their incumbents earlier than the Democrats have, allowing the GOP to get a head start on competing for open seats. The GOP money edge was also reflected in the first-quarter fundraising figures released by the House campaign arms, with the National Republican Congressional Committee posting $19 million to the DCCC's $12.5 million. Several "Frontline" lawmakers declined to release their numbers, fueling speculation among Democratic leadership aides and senior party strategists that their numbers would be less than impressive. "If they don't release [their totals], that's not a good sign," said a Democratic leadership aide.
Coop note: I actually pulled the above Hill article from some political site that I neglected to record. My sincere apologies for any perceived plagiarism/theft.
And from the Carpetbagger:
* The House Dem campaign committee may have fallen a little short of its Republican counterpart in the first quarter of 2005, but Senate Dems are in excellent shape. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) raised $9.5 million in Q1, which is the best start in a non-election year since the elimination of unregulated soft money. Better yet, the DSCC ended the quarter with more than $5.6 million left in the bank and no outstanding debt. The NRSC took in slightly more through March, raising $9.8 million, but with just $2.4 million in the bank, ending the quarter with less than half the money the Dem committee has.
Meaningless poll, period.
Yep, just like Kathleen Kennedy Townsend did.
Umm...
Never heard of them, are they heavyweights like RI's congressman?
Actually a lot of editorials and letters to the editor in Philly Inquirer seem to indicate that the democrat rank and file are furious that Gov. Rendell is shoving Casey down their throat without a primary. They want a pro choice candidate. These Dems could be mad enough to sit out the election.
Actually a lot of editorials and letters to the editor in Philly Inquirer seem to indicate that the democrat rank and file are furious that Gov. Rendell is shoving Casey down their throat without a primary. They want a pro choice candidate. These Dems could be mad enough to sit out the election.
Delusional? Josh, apparently you think you know more than those actually making a living from this stuff. If Santorum were a longshot, he would not be #1 on the GOP's defended list. He would be thrown overboard, with the money diverted toward other races considered "winnable."
Nope. The truth is Dubya did better in '04 than in '00, especially in the western part of the state.
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