[watsonfellow]

DM1

First of all, no one is running against Chaffee, so he's pretty much cruising to re-election (unless he is defeated in a gop primary).

Second, Ford is polling really really badly in Tenn, his own dem biased polls show him behind any republican challenger.

We really only have one seat to worry about. This one. That's it.

The Dems have to worry about.

Washington
Michigan
Minnesota
Nebraska
North Dakota
Florida
Maryland
West Virginia


Also
Wisconsin (I've heard Kohl may retire and Thompson would jump in).

The question isn't will we pick up seats in 2006, but how many?

[moose2004]

I completely agree with your post, thank you for your sensible analysis.

[DM1]

"First of all no one is running against Chaffee"

4/18/2005
Rhode Island Senatorial Campaign War ChestsWPRI:

Since announcing his candidacy on February Third, Secretary of State Matt Brown more than half a (m) million dollars.

He’s challenging Republican Senator Lincoln Chafee, who raised just over 136-thousand dollars during the same period from January First through March 31st.

According to The Providence Journal, after expenses, Brown had almost 400-thousand dollars left, while Chafee had 765-thousand of the more than one (m) million dollars he had amassed since he last faced the voters in 2000.

Less than two weeks into his campaign for Chafee’s seat, former Attorney General Sheldon Whitehouse opened his Senate account with 360-thousand dollars. Whitehouse is a Democrat, like Brown.

___________

Way to do your research pal lol ;)

[kabar]

For starters, the Dems don't have to worry about WV or Maryland. Byrd will win easily and no matter who the Dems nominate to replace Sarbanes, he/she will win.

North Dakota: The Dems have held one Senate seat since 1960 and the other since 1987. Conrad wins easily except if GOP Governor John Hoeven runs.

Nebraska: The GOP may strike a deal with Nelson not to run a strong candidate against him in return for getting his vote on some key issues.