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To: Leo Carpathian
Let's see how Europe deals with it, eh? They're going to have it within the next two weeks. That means no more poultry business, and quarantine of nearly all farm goods. (This strain of H5N1 infects farm animals, not just birds.)

Perfect arrival time as well - just as summer begins to cool off, and fall brings the human flu season out.

No, it won't effect world trade, or any of the markets. No reason to even notice. After all, SARS is as bad as it can get - really. Trust me.

Color coded circles for wild bird H5N1:
May = Red June - Orange July = Yellow August = Green

Square = Unconfirmed reports of dead birds

Human outbreaks, etiology unknown
Orange Oval = Sharkin, Udmurtia, Russia (fever, meningitis, gastro-intestinal)
Blue Oval = Tomsk, Tomsk, Russia (fever, meningitis)
Red Oval = Moklakap, Chita, Russia (fever, vomiting)

29 posted on 08/18/2005 3:30:12 PM PDT by datura (Molon Labe)
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To: datura
"No, it won't effect world trade, or any of the markets. No reason to even notice. After all, SARS is as bad as it can get - really. Trust me.

Your sarcasm is well taken, but this strain still lacks an efficient human to human transmission pattern. SARS would have been god awful if its transmission pattern was not for the most part attributable to fecal matter, nebulizer aerosols and some other still unknown [at least to me] pattern of transmission that made hospital workers terribly vulnerable.

Granted this is a flu variant and flu has a documented pattern of mutating and jumping species so the odds of a pandemic are much greater than the odds on SARS if you were "betting on the cum."

For what it is worth, my father spent a few days on deaths doorstep as a seven year old what the Spanish flu hit. Flu can be a big deal ... hopefully not this time.

30 posted on 08/18/2005 3:54:25 PM PDT by R W Reactionairy
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