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Urgent Katrina Update: New NHC Forecast Direct Hit on New Orleans as a CAT 4
MHC | August 26, 2005

Posted on 08/26/2005 8:03:22 PM PDT by janetjanet998

Therefore...the official forecast brings Katrina to 115 knots...or a category four on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale. The GFDL is more aggressive and calls for 124 knots and 922 mb. The FSU superensemble is even more aggressive bringing Katrina to 131 knots.

track info HERE


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Louisiana; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: disaster; hurricanekatrina; lakepontchartrain; neworleans; pontchartrain; weather
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To: dufekin
If the levees around New Orleans fail (and they came perilously close several times in the past century),

I am currently in New Orleans. Most people went to bed tonight thinking it is going to hit FL. I think they will be shocked on Saturday it it heads this way. The levees are much improved since Betsy, but still it's a bowl.

41 posted on 08/26/2005 9:49:11 PM PDT by liberty2004
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To: ClearBlueSky

Aren't you in the NO area? I'm in Lake Charles and am keeping my on this thing.


42 posted on 08/26/2005 9:49:56 PM PDT by CajunConservative
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To: Conservative Firster
Nice graphic!


43 posted on 08/26/2005 9:50:09 PM PDT by spycatcher
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To: ClearBlueSky

Yea ya right, Blue!!


44 posted on 08/26/2005 9:50:46 PM PDT by nola61
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To: liberty2004

No kidding!! Guess we'll be boarding up and heading out. And I thought I'd have a quiet weekend! Geesh!!!!!


45 posted on 08/26/2005 9:56:39 PM PDT by nola61
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To: janetjanet998

It will miss NO, as they always do.


46 posted on 08/26/2005 9:56:57 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=rwfromkansas)
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To: rwfromkansas
It will miss NO, as they always do.

I pray you are right. I wish this on no one, but I hope it misses us.

47 posted on 08/26/2005 10:00:17 PM PDT by liberty2004
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To: nola61
o kidding!! Guess we'll be boarding up and heading out.

until this afternoon, I thought it was heading east. It isn't looking good. The weekend is definitely going to be crazy.

48 posted on 08/26/2005 10:01:15 PM PDT by liberty2004
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To: liberty2004

Of course, I could be wrong; I just say it will miss it due to my distrust of the models.

However, we really will not have a good handle on this until tomorrow afternoon at the earliest.

If it still is headed toward NO, GET OUT OF DODGE immediately because your luck may have run out.


49 posted on 08/26/2005 10:02:27 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=rwfromkansas)
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To: rwfromkansas
f it still is headed toward NO, GET OUT OF DODGE immediately because your luck may have run out.,

The problem is that this one is going to surprise a lot of people because of the shift. I think the roads will be a parking lot by the time people realize they need to leave. We are staying. We actually live on a ridge (in Metairie), 12 feet above sea level.

50 posted on 08/26/2005 10:06:07 PM PDT by liberty2004
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To: liberty2004

Lucky you! I'm in the bowl of the bowl, Mid-City!


51 posted on 08/26/2005 10:14:03 PM PDT by nola61
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To: All

Check out all the rigs in red (possible hurricane force)

http://hurricane.methaz.org/hurapak/AAL122005_gomex_oil.html


52 posted on 08/26/2005 10:15:56 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: liberty2004

Storm surge is based on ABOVE sea level. Might want to keep an eye on that. Twelve feet don't sound like much to me.


53 posted on 08/26/2005 10:16:10 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: nola61
Lucky you! I'm in the bowl of the bowl, Mid-City!

oh my. I hope you have time to get out. I am still hoping we wake up and get news that it is going east or southwest into Mexico.

54 posted on 08/26/2005 10:17:41 PM PDT by liberty2004
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To: nola61

Hurricane Party

Chorus: Hurricane Party got out of control
I'm lying in the gutter eating tootsie rolls
With red-ant bites all over my ass
beating on my buddies with a baseball bat

Had a little party, me and my friends
A hurricane was coming to new orleans again
Somebody brought scotch, somebody brought beer
Shoulda’ kept the hooch and thrown ‘em out of here
A friendly game, a penny a hand
Smoke a cigar, act like a man
Waiting for the gale force wind to blow
Shuffle up the cards and let the liquor flow

Chorus

Somebody’s girlfriend showed up by surprise
with cookies in her hand and dollar signs in her eyes
I started dipping her cookies in scotch
She won all my money and a pocket watch
I passed out and I woke up
the house was empty so was my cup
Out on the front lawn I heard ‘em shout
I wish they’d come in so I could throw ‘em out

Chorus

Everybody’s wrestling, out in the dirt
I laughed so hard until my stomach hurt
They saw me clean , they heard me laugh
They started charging at me so I grabbed the bat


If you're not where the Mouth is when the water hits the levee head down to the foot of Canal St.

55 posted on 08/26/2005 10:18:40 PM PDT by nunya bidness (Remember, they hated Him first.)
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To: liberty2004
12 feet above sea level.

Man, that must be the highest point in 50 miles. You chose the right place to live. You still have the wind though. I would leave tonight if it were me. If I lived in the bowl, I would already be traveling. I think of this fine art photography gallery in NO that I bought a rather expensive image from, along with other galleries, with tens of millions of dollars worth of art (NO is second to NYC in art galleries). I wonder what their contingency plans are. Maybe it is just insurance policies, but the loss will be tragic.

56 posted on 08/26/2005 10:18:55 PM PDT by Torie
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To: topher
Oh, great. Not only it might clobber Louisiana, but it will definitely shut in Natural Gas and Oil on the Gulf Coast. We may see $70 per barrel oil.

If Hurricane Katrina hits the New Orleans area directly it could cause a MAJOR disruption of petroleum supplies given the massive amount of petroleum facilities southeast of the city. The very possibility of the very first scenario from the fictional movie Oil Storm--where a major hurricane severely damages a large fraction of US petroleum capacity--could become a frightening reality. The possibility of oil reaching US$80 per barrel could happen--and the US economy screeches to a frightening halt, with the possibility several large airlines going out of business, starting with United Airlines and Delta Airlines.

57 posted on 08/26/2005 10:23:57 PM PDT by RayChuang88
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To: nunya bidness

Just where I'm at darlin', the foot of Canal Street. Guess I'll burn my Palm Sunday palms, buy a can of Spam, move the cars to the neutral ground, and pray to St. Anthony to help me find the place when it's all over.
ARE YOU WITH ME!!!! ( love ya, Fred!)


58 posted on 08/26/2005 10:24:05 PM PDT by nola61
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To: liberty2004

I used to live in Kenner.
Went through two 100 year floods in the span of two weeks.
Goodness...I lived there only six months!
I'll never forget all the boats going to the still open grocery stores.
The folks there are amazing!

BTW, has anyone mentioned that the rigs are being evacuated?


59 posted on 08/26/2005 10:25:54 PM PDT by dixiechick2000 ("Virtute et armis" - By valor and arms)
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To: Torie
Man, that must be the highest point in 50 miles. You chose the right place to live. Yo

Actually my Grandparents had the property since early 1900's. They witnessed the 47 hurricane and of course Betsy. It is one of the highest points in the area. It definitely makes one feel better about staying.

60 posted on 08/26/2005 10:26:52 PM PDT by liberty2004
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